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Which forecast represents the local weather best?: Preliminary case study findings from My Loi village, northcentral Vietnam

All three forecasts under-predicted temperatures, while AccuWeather overestimated and Windyty underestimated the total rainfall (for the two months, by 100 mm); however no systematic error could be determined to reduce the error.  As uncertainties are rapidly increasing with longer lead time than t...

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Main Authors: Roy, Antika, Simelton, Elisabeth, Quinn, Claire
Format: Brief
Language:Inglés
Published: CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security 2017
Subjects:
climate change
agriculture
food security
weather forecasting
advisory services
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/80500
Summary:All three forecasts under-predicted temperatures, while AccuWeather overestimated and Windyty underestimated the total rainfall (for the two months, by 100 mm); however no systematic error could be determined to reduce the error.  As uncertainties are rapidly increasing with longer lead time than two days ahead, the researchers advise to follow several forecast sources to get a range of scenarios.

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