Which forecast represents the local weather best?: Preliminary case study findings from My Loi village, northcentral Vietnam

All three forecasts under-predicted temperatures, while AccuWeather overestimated and Windyty underestimated the total rainfall (for the two months, by 100 mm); however no systematic error could be determined to reduce the error.  As uncertainties are rapidly increasing with longer lead time than t...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Roy, Antika, Simelton, Elisabeth, Quinn, Claire
Formato: Brief
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security 2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/80500
Descripción
Sumario:All three forecasts under-predicted temperatures, while AccuWeather overestimated and Windyty underestimated the total rainfall (for the two months, by 100 mm); however no systematic error could be determined to reduce the error.  As uncertainties are rapidly increasing with longer lead time than two days ahead, the researchers advise to follow several forecast sources to get a range of scenarios.