Which forecast represents the local weather best?: Preliminary case study findings from My Loi village, northcentral Vietnam

All three forecasts under-predicted temperatures, while AccuWeather overestimated and Windyty underestimated the total rainfall (for the two months, by 100 mm); however no systematic error could be determined to reduce the error.  As uncertainties are rapidly increasing with longer lead time than t...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Roy, Antika, Simelton, Elisabeth, Quinn, Claire
Format: Brief
Language:Inglés
Published: CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/80500
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author Roy, Antika
Simelton, Elisabeth
Quinn, Claire
author_browse Quinn, Claire
Roy, Antika
Simelton, Elisabeth
author_facet Roy, Antika
Simelton, Elisabeth
Quinn, Claire
author_sort Roy, Antika
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description All three forecasts under-predicted temperatures, while AccuWeather overestimated and Windyty underestimated the total rainfall (for the two months, by 100 mm); however no systematic error could be determined to reduce the error.  As uncertainties are rapidly increasing with longer lead time than two days ahead, the researchers advise to follow several forecast sources to get a range of scenarios.
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publishDate 2017
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publisherStr CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security
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spelling CGSpace805002024-01-23T12:04:31Z Which forecast represents the local weather best?: Preliminary case study findings from My Loi village, northcentral Vietnam Roy, Antika Simelton, Elisabeth Quinn, Claire climate change agriculture food security weather forecasting advisory services All three forecasts under-predicted temperatures, while AccuWeather overestimated and Windyty underestimated the total rainfall (for the two months, by 100 mm); however no systematic error could be determined to reduce the error.  As uncertainties are rapidly increasing with longer lead time than two days ahead, the researchers advise to follow several forecast sources to get a range of scenarios. 2017-03-14 2017-03-23T13:23:22Z 2017-03-23T13:23:22Z Brief https://hdl.handle.net/10568/80500 en Open Access application/pdf CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security Roy A, Simelton E, Quinn C. 2017. Which forecast represents the local weather best?: Preliminary case study findings from My Loi village, northcentral Vietnam. CCAFS Info Note. Hanoi, Vietnam: CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS).
spellingShingle climate change
agriculture
food security
weather forecasting
advisory services
Roy, Antika
Simelton, Elisabeth
Quinn, Claire
Which forecast represents the local weather best?: Preliminary case study findings from My Loi village, northcentral Vietnam
title Which forecast represents the local weather best?: Preliminary case study findings from My Loi village, northcentral Vietnam
title_full Which forecast represents the local weather best?: Preliminary case study findings from My Loi village, northcentral Vietnam
title_fullStr Which forecast represents the local weather best?: Preliminary case study findings from My Loi village, northcentral Vietnam
title_full_unstemmed Which forecast represents the local weather best?: Preliminary case study findings from My Loi village, northcentral Vietnam
title_short Which forecast represents the local weather best?: Preliminary case study findings from My Loi village, northcentral Vietnam
title_sort which forecast represents the local weather best preliminary case study findings from my loi village northcentral vietnam
topic climate change
agriculture
food security
weather forecasting
advisory services
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/80500
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