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Anticipating change: scenarios as a tool for increasing adaptivity in multistakeholder setting

Current trends to improve the adaptiveness of community forest management focus on monitoring past actions and emphasize internal dynamics. We show how scenario methods can be used to 1) enable managers to better understand landscape and larger scale forces for change and to work with stakeholders a...

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Main Authors: Wollenberg, Eva Karoline, Edmunds, D., Buck, L.
Format: Book Chapter
Language:Inglés
Published: CRC Press 2001
Subjects:
change
decision making
planning
community involvement
adaptation
social forestry
analysis
forest management
methodology
techniques
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/18386
Summary:Current trends to improve the adaptiveness of community forest management focus on monitoring past actions and emphasize internal dynamics. We show how scenario methods can be used to 1) enable managers to better understand landscape and larger scale forces for change and to work with stakeholders at these levels and 2) improve adaptiveness not only by responding to changes, but also by anticipating them. We review methods related to scenario analysis and discuss how they can be adapted to community management settings to improve the responsiveness and the collaboration among stakeholders.

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