Climate change, mobility and security: Insights from econometric analyses across fragile regions
Climate change is a growing driver of insecurity, displacement, and vulnerability in fragile and conflict-affected regions (Bellemare, 2015; Collier, 2008; Freeman, 2017; Schlenker & Lobell, 2010), disproportionately affecting poor, agriculture-dependent communities, displaced populations, and their...
| Autores principales: | , , , |
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| Formato: | Brief |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
2025
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175770 |
| _version_ | 1855515495543865344 |
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| author | Mastrorillo, Marina Villa, Victor Belli, Anna Pacillo, Grazia |
| author_browse | Belli, Anna Mastrorillo, Marina Pacillo, Grazia Villa, Victor |
| author_facet | Mastrorillo, Marina Villa, Victor Belli, Anna Pacillo, Grazia |
| author_sort | Mastrorillo, Marina |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Climate change is a growing driver of insecurity, displacement, and vulnerability in fragile and conflict-affected regions (Bellemare, 2015; Collier, 2008; Freeman, 2017; Schlenker & Lobell, 2010), disproportionately affecting poor, agriculture-dependent communities, displaced populations, and their hosts (Läderach et al., 2021; UNHCR, 2024). By 2040, the number of countries facing extreme climate-related hazards is projected to rise from three to 65, most of which host displaced people (Craparo et al., forthcoming). This policy brief summarizes econometric findings from six econometric studies in Nigeria, Kenya, Jordan, Mali, Ethiopia, and the Horn of Africa. Using datasets such as DHS, IOM’s DTM, and UNHCR surveys, combined with climate, price, and conflict data, the studies examine links between climate variability, mobility, malnutrition, and resilience. Methods include Structural Equation Modeling, Difference-in-Differences, Propensity Score Matching, and spatial techniques. The findings highlight the urgency of integrated, evidence-based responses to climate risks in fragile settings. |
| format | Brief |
| id | CGSpace175770 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| publishDateRange | 2025 |
| publishDateSort | 2025 |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1757702025-11-05T12:28:59Z Climate change, mobility and security: Insights from econometric analyses across fragile regions Mastrorillo, Marina Villa, Victor Belli, Anna Pacillo, Grazia food security conflict sensitivity refugees climate action displaced persons Climate change is a growing driver of insecurity, displacement, and vulnerability in fragile and conflict-affected regions (Bellemare, 2015; Collier, 2008; Freeman, 2017; Schlenker & Lobell, 2010), disproportionately affecting poor, agriculture-dependent communities, displaced populations, and their hosts (Läderach et al., 2021; UNHCR, 2024). By 2040, the number of countries facing extreme climate-related hazards is projected to rise from three to 65, most of which host displaced people (Craparo et al., forthcoming). This policy brief summarizes econometric findings from six econometric studies in Nigeria, Kenya, Jordan, Mali, Ethiopia, and the Horn of Africa. Using datasets such as DHS, IOM’s DTM, and UNHCR surveys, combined with climate, price, and conflict data, the studies examine links between climate variability, mobility, malnutrition, and resilience. Methods include Structural Equation Modeling, Difference-in-Differences, Propensity Score Matching, and spatial techniques. The findings highlight the urgency of integrated, evidence-based responses to climate risks in fragile settings. 2025-07-01 2025-07-23T10:03:00Z 2025-07-23T10:03:00Z Brief https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175770 en Open Access application/pdf Mastrorillo, M.; Villa, V.; Belli, A.; Pacillo, G. (2025) Climate change, mobility and security: Insights from econometric analyses across fragile regions. 10 p. |
| spellingShingle | food security conflict sensitivity refugees climate action displaced persons Mastrorillo, Marina Villa, Victor Belli, Anna Pacillo, Grazia Climate change, mobility and security: Insights from econometric analyses across fragile regions |
| title | Climate change, mobility and security: Insights from econometric analyses across fragile regions |
| title_full | Climate change, mobility and security: Insights from econometric analyses across fragile regions |
| title_fullStr | Climate change, mobility and security: Insights from econometric analyses across fragile regions |
| title_full_unstemmed | Climate change, mobility and security: Insights from econometric analyses across fragile regions |
| title_short | Climate change, mobility and security: Insights from econometric analyses across fragile regions |
| title_sort | climate change mobility and security insights from econometric analyses across fragile regions |
| topic | food security conflict sensitivity refugees climate action displaced persons |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175770 |
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