Socio-economic, environmental and health trade-offs in Bangladesh’s food system transformation

The transition to healthier diets might be accompanied by trade-offs that occur in other parts of the food system. In this study the trade-offs between socio-economic, environmental, and health indicators were analyzed in different dietary scenarios for Bangladesh between 2022 and 2050. We used a gl...

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Autores principales: de Lange, Thijs, van Dijk, Michiel, Kuiper, Marijke, van Zeist, Willem-Jan, Bartelings, Heleen, Mizan, Arefin, van Meijl, Hans
Formato: Preprint
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: 2024
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/169134
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author de Lange, Thijs
van Dijk, Michiel
Kuiper, Marijke
van Zeist, Willem-Jan
Bartelings, Heleen
Mizan, Arefin
van Meijl, Hans
author_browse Bartelings, Heleen
Kuiper, Marijke
Mizan, Arefin
de Lange, Thijs
van Dijk, Michiel
van Meijl, Hans
van Zeist, Willem-Jan
author_facet de Lange, Thijs
van Dijk, Michiel
Kuiper, Marijke
van Zeist, Willem-Jan
Bartelings, Heleen
Mizan, Arefin
van Meijl, Hans
author_sort de Lange, Thijs
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The transition to healthier diets might be accompanied by trade-offs that occur in other parts of the food system. In this study the trade-offs between socio-economic, environmental, and health indicators were analyzed in different dietary scenarios for Bangladesh between 2022 and 2050. We used a global economic simulation model with updated national food consumption data, extended with a footprint module to track environmental impacts through the food value chain in Bangladesh and its trading partners. The study compares a business-as-usual (BAU) diet with the EAT-Lancet diet and the Bangladesh food-based dietary guidelines (FBDG). The BAU diet has a higher intake of animal products and sugar, and a lower intake of vegetables, fruits, legumes and nuts than the EAT-Lancet and FBDG diets. It was found that promoting a diet with more plant-based proteins would have a strong positive impact on dietary health and an overall positive impact on the environment compared to the BAU scenario, due to the reduced impact of animal protein production on greenhouse gas emissions and the reduced impact of rice production on water use and nitrogen application. In addition, the transition to sustainable and healthy diets had minor impacts on the wages of low-skilled workers, Bangladesh’s self-sufficiency, and the affordability of food and cereals. In particular, the FDBG diet scenario scored best on self-sufficiency and cereal affordability compared to the other two scenarios, and the increase in low-skilled wages was comparable to the BAU diet scenario.
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spelling CGSpace1691342025-12-08T10:06:44Z Socio-economic, environmental and health trade-offs in Bangladesh’s food system transformation de Lange, Thijs van Dijk, Michiel Kuiper, Marijke van Zeist, Willem-Jan Bartelings, Heleen Mizan, Arefin van Meijl, Hans environment health socioeconomic aspects food systems The transition to healthier diets might be accompanied by trade-offs that occur in other parts of the food system. In this study the trade-offs between socio-economic, environmental, and health indicators were analyzed in different dietary scenarios for Bangladesh between 2022 and 2050. We used a global economic simulation model with updated national food consumption data, extended with a footprint module to track environmental impacts through the food value chain in Bangladesh and its trading partners. The study compares a business-as-usual (BAU) diet with the EAT-Lancet diet and the Bangladesh food-based dietary guidelines (FBDG). The BAU diet has a higher intake of animal products and sugar, and a lower intake of vegetables, fruits, legumes and nuts than the EAT-Lancet and FBDG diets. It was found that promoting a diet with more plant-based proteins would have a strong positive impact on dietary health and an overall positive impact on the environment compared to the BAU scenario, due to the reduced impact of animal protein production on greenhouse gas emissions and the reduced impact of rice production on water use and nitrogen application. In addition, the transition to sustainable and healthy diets had minor impacts on the wages of low-skilled workers, Bangladesh’s self-sufficiency, and the affordability of food and cereals. In particular, the FDBG diet scenario scored best on self-sufficiency and cereal affordability compared to the other two scenarios, and the increase in low-skilled wages was comparable to the BAU diet scenario. 2024-05-14 2025-01-15T17:24:32Z 2025-01-15T17:24:32Z Preprint https://hdl.handle.net/10568/169134 en Open Access de Lange, Thijs; van Dijk, Michiel; Kuiper, Marijke; van Zeist, Willem-Jan; et al. 2024. Socio-economic, environmental and health trade-offs in Bangladesh’s food system transformation. Preprint available May 14, 2024. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-4411544/v1
spellingShingle environment
health
socioeconomic aspects
food systems
de Lange, Thijs
van Dijk, Michiel
Kuiper, Marijke
van Zeist, Willem-Jan
Bartelings, Heleen
Mizan, Arefin
van Meijl, Hans
Socio-economic, environmental and health trade-offs in Bangladesh’s food system transformation
title Socio-economic, environmental and health trade-offs in Bangladesh’s food system transformation
title_full Socio-economic, environmental and health trade-offs in Bangladesh’s food system transformation
title_fullStr Socio-economic, environmental and health trade-offs in Bangladesh’s food system transformation
title_full_unstemmed Socio-economic, environmental and health trade-offs in Bangladesh’s food system transformation
title_short Socio-economic, environmental and health trade-offs in Bangladesh’s food system transformation
title_sort socio economic environmental and health trade offs in bangladesh s food system transformation
topic environment
health
socioeconomic aspects
food systems
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/169134
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