The rice sector
Recent major local shocks have negatively affected Myanmar’s economy and its people. Disruptions in the world economy linked to the outbreak of COVID-19 in early 2020 and the Ukraine war in 2022 and 2023 have led to sharp price increases for petroleum products, wheat, vegetable oils, and other food...
| Autores principales: | , , |
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| Formato: | Capítulo de libro |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
International Food Policy Research Institute
2024
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/155118 |
| _version_ | 1855526856722219008 |
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| author | Dorosh, Paul A. Aung, Nilar Minten, Bart |
| author_browse | Aung, Nilar Dorosh, Paul A. Minten, Bart |
| author_facet | Dorosh, Paul A. Aung, Nilar Minten, Bart |
| author_sort | Dorosh, Paul A. |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Recent major local shocks have negatively affected Myanmar’s economy
and its people. Disruptions in the world economy linked to the outbreak
of COVID-19 in early 2020 and the Ukraine war in 2022 and 2023
have led to sharp price increases for petroleum products, wheat, vegetable oils,
and other food products, as well as agricultural inputs, such as chemical fertilizers.
Myanmar’s rice sector has also been adversely affected by increases in
insecurity in rural areas, higher world prices, and reduced cross-border exports
to China.
This chapter explores the implications of these shocks for Myanmar’s rice
exports, domestic rice production, and domestic rice prices. First, we discuss
Myanmar’s rice economy. Next, we describe the equations, database, and
parameters of the partial equilibrium model of Myanmar’s rice economy used
in this analysis. We then present model simulation results, covering the effects
of the income and price shocks in 2022, negative rice production shocks
accompanied by lower rice exports in 2023, and implications of a cessation of
cross-border rice exports to China. The final section summarizes the results,
discusses policy implications, and suggests areas for further work. |
| format | Book Chapter |
| id | CGSpace155118 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2024 |
| publishDateRange | 2024 |
| publishDateSort | 2024 |
| publisher | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| publisherStr | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1551182025-11-06T04:02:01Z The rice sector Dorosh, Paul A. Aung, Nilar Minten, Bart shock economic situation farm inputs exports rice prices agricultural production markets Recent major local shocks have negatively affected Myanmar’s economy and its people. Disruptions in the world economy linked to the outbreak of COVID-19 in early 2020 and the Ukraine war in 2022 and 2023 have led to sharp price increases for petroleum products, wheat, vegetable oils, and other food products, as well as agricultural inputs, such as chemical fertilizers. Myanmar’s rice sector has also been adversely affected by increases in insecurity in rural areas, higher world prices, and reduced cross-border exports to China. This chapter explores the implications of these shocks for Myanmar’s rice exports, domestic rice production, and domestic rice prices. First, we discuss Myanmar’s rice economy. Next, we describe the equations, database, and parameters of the partial equilibrium model of Myanmar’s rice economy used in this analysis. We then present model simulation results, covering the effects of the income and price shocks in 2022, negative rice production shocks accompanied by lower rice exports in 2023, and implications of a cessation of cross-border rice exports to China. The final section summarizes the results, discusses policy implications, and suggests areas for further work. 2024-10-10 2024-10-02T19:57:27Z 2024-10-02T19:57:27Z Book Chapter https://hdl.handle.net/10568/155118 en https://hdl.handle.net/10568/152392 Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Dorosh, Paul; Aung, Nilar; and Minten, Bart. 2024. The rice sector. In Myanmar’s agrifood system: Historical development, recent shocks, future opportunities. Boughton, Duncan; Belton, Ben; Lambrecht, Isabel B.; Masias, Ian; and Minten, Bart (Eds.). Chapter 11, pp. 279-307. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/155118 |
| spellingShingle | shock economic situation farm inputs exports rice prices agricultural production markets Dorosh, Paul A. Aung, Nilar Minten, Bart The rice sector |
| title | The rice sector |
| title_full | The rice sector |
| title_fullStr | The rice sector |
| title_full_unstemmed | The rice sector |
| title_short | The rice sector |
| title_sort | rice sector |
| topic | shock economic situation farm inputs exports rice prices agricultural production markets |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/155118 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT doroshpaula thericesector AT aungnilar thericesector AT mintenbart thericesector AT doroshpaula ricesector AT aungnilar ricesector AT mintenbart ricesector |