Feeding climate and biodiversity goals with novel plant-based meat and milk alternatives
Abstract Plant-based animal product alternatives are increasingly promoted to achieve more sustainable diets. Here, we use a global economic land use model to assess the food system-wide impacts of a global dietary shift towards these alternatives. We find a substantial reduction in the global envir...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | Inglés |
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Springer
2023
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/131912 |
| _version_ | 1855531773105012736 |
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| author | Kozicka, Marta Havlík, Petr Valin, Hugo Wollenberg, Eva Karoline Deppermann, Andre Leclère, David Lauri, Pekka Moses, Rebekah Boere, Esther Frank, Stefan Davis, Chris Park, Esther Gurwick, Noel |
| author_browse | Boere, Esther Davis, Chris Deppermann, Andre Frank, Stefan Gurwick, Noel Havlík, Petr Kozicka, Marta Lauri, Pekka Leclère, David Moses, Rebekah Park, Esther Valin, Hugo Wollenberg, Eva Karoline |
| author_facet | Kozicka, Marta Havlík, Petr Valin, Hugo Wollenberg, Eva Karoline Deppermann, Andre Leclère, David Lauri, Pekka Moses, Rebekah Boere, Esther Frank, Stefan Davis, Chris Park, Esther Gurwick, Noel |
| author_sort | Kozicka, Marta |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Abstract Plant-based animal product alternatives are increasingly promoted to achieve more sustainable diets. Here, we use a global economic land use model to assess the food system-wide impacts of a global dietary shift towards these alternatives. We find a substantial reduction in the global environmental impacts by 2050 if globally 50% of the main animal products (pork, chicken, beef and milk) are substituted—net reduction of forest and natural land is almost fully halted and agriculture and land use GHG emissions decline by 31% in 2050 compared to 2020. If spared agricultural land within forest ecosystems is restored to forest, climate benefits could double, reaching 92% of the previously estimated land sector mitigation potential. Furthermore, the restored area could contribute to 13-25% of the estimated global land restoration needs under target 2 from the Kunming Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework by 2030, and future declines in ecosystem integrity by 2050 would be more than halved. The distribution of these impacts varies across regions—the main impacts on agricultural input use are in China and on environmental outcomes in Sub-Saharan Africa and South America. While beef replacement provides the largest impacts, substituting multiple products is synergistic. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace131912 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2023 |
| publishDateRange | 2023 |
| publishDateSort | 2023 |
| publisher | Springer |
| publisherStr | Springer |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1319122025-11-11T18:55:20Z Feeding climate and biodiversity goals with novel plant-based meat and milk alternatives Kozicka, Marta Havlík, Petr Valin, Hugo Wollenberg, Eva Karoline Deppermann, Andre Leclère, David Lauri, Pekka Moses, Rebekah Boere, Esther Frank, Stefan Davis, Chris Park, Esther Gurwick, Noel meat meat substitutes-meat analogues climate change climate change mitigation milk by-products-dairy byproducts biodiversity deforestation greenhouse gas emissions Abstract Plant-based animal product alternatives are increasingly promoted to achieve more sustainable diets. Here, we use a global economic land use model to assess the food system-wide impacts of a global dietary shift towards these alternatives. We find a substantial reduction in the global environmental impacts by 2050 if globally 50% of the main animal products (pork, chicken, beef and milk) are substituted—net reduction of forest and natural land is almost fully halted and agriculture and land use GHG emissions decline by 31% in 2050 compared to 2020. If spared agricultural land within forest ecosystems is restored to forest, climate benefits could double, reaching 92% of the previously estimated land sector mitigation potential. Furthermore, the restored area could contribute to 13-25% of the estimated global land restoration needs under target 2 from the Kunming Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework by 2030, and future declines in ecosystem integrity by 2050 would be more than halved. The distribution of these impacts varies across regions—the main impacts on agricultural input use are in China and on environmental outcomes in Sub-Saharan Africa and South America. While beef replacement provides the largest impacts, substituting multiple products is synergistic. 2023-08-13 2023-09-20T08:53:13Z 2023-09-20T08:53:13Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/131912 en Open Access application/pdf Springer Kozicka, M.; Havlík, P.; Valin, H.; Wollenberg, E.; Deppermann, A.; Leclère, D.; Lauri, P.; Moses, R.; Boere, E.; Frank, S.; Davis, C.; Park, E.; Gurwick, N. (2023) Feeding climate and biodiversity goals with novel plant-based meat and milk alternatives. Nature Communications 14(1): 5316. ISSN: 2041-1723 |
| spellingShingle | meat meat substitutes-meat analogues climate change climate change mitigation milk by-products-dairy byproducts biodiversity deforestation greenhouse gas emissions Kozicka, Marta Havlík, Petr Valin, Hugo Wollenberg, Eva Karoline Deppermann, Andre Leclère, David Lauri, Pekka Moses, Rebekah Boere, Esther Frank, Stefan Davis, Chris Park, Esther Gurwick, Noel Feeding climate and biodiversity goals with novel plant-based meat and milk alternatives |
| title | Feeding climate and biodiversity goals with novel plant-based meat and milk alternatives |
| title_full | Feeding climate and biodiversity goals with novel plant-based meat and milk alternatives |
| title_fullStr | Feeding climate and biodiversity goals with novel plant-based meat and milk alternatives |
| title_full_unstemmed | Feeding climate and biodiversity goals with novel plant-based meat and milk alternatives |
| title_short | Feeding climate and biodiversity goals with novel plant-based meat and milk alternatives |
| title_sort | feeding climate and biodiversity goals with novel plant based meat and milk alternatives |
| topic | meat meat substitutes-meat analogues climate change climate change mitigation milk by-products-dairy byproducts biodiversity deforestation greenhouse gas emissions |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/131912 |
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