Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential
Wheat is the most widely grown food crop, with 761 Mt produced globally in 2020. To meet the expected grain demand by mid-century, wheat breeding strategies must continue to improve upon yield-advancing physiological traits, regardless of climate change impacts. Here, the best performing doubled hap...
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | Inglés |
| Published: |
IOP Publishing
2022
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/129183 |
| _version_ | 1855517465410273280 |
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| author | Guarin, Jose Rafael Martre, Pierre Ewert, Frank Webber, Heidi Dueri, Sibylle Calderini, Daniel F. Reynolds, Matthew P. Molero, Gemma Miralles, Daniel García, Guillermo Slafer, Gustavo A. Giunta, Francesco Pequeno, Diego Notelo Luz Stella, Tommaso Mukhtar Ahmed Alderman, Phillip D. Basso, Bruno Berger, Andres Bindi, Marco Bracho-Mujica, Gennady Cammarano, Davide Yi Chen Dumont, Benjamin Rezaei, Ehsan Eyshi Fereres, Elias Ferrise, Roberto Gaiser, Thomas Yujing Gao García Vila, Margarita Gayler, Sebastian Hochman, Zvi Hoogenboom, Gerrit Hunt, Leslie A. Kersebaum, Kurt-Christian Nendel, Claas Olesen, Jørgen E. Palosuo, Taru Priesack, Eckart Pullens, Johannes W. M. Rodríguez, Alfredo Rötter, Reimund P. Ruiz Ramos, Margarita Semenov, Mikhail A. Senapati, Nimai Siebert, Stefan Srivastava, Amit Stockle, Claudio Supit, Iwan Fulu Tao Thorburn, Peter J. Wang, Enli Weber, Tobias Karl David Liujun Xiao Zhao Zhang Chuang Zhao Zhao, Jin Zhigan Zhao Yan Zhu Asseng, Senthold |
| author_browse | Alderman, Phillip D. Asseng, Senthold Basso, Bruno Berger, Andres Bindi, Marco Bracho-Mujica, Gennady Calderini, Daniel F. Cammarano, Davide Chuang Zhao Dueri, Sibylle Dumont, Benjamin Ewert, Frank Fereres, Elias Ferrise, Roberto Fulu Tao Gaiser, Thomas García Vila, Margarita García, Guillermo Gayler, Sebastian Giunta, Francesco Guarin, Jose Rafael Hochman, Zvi Hoogenboom, Gerrit Hunt, Leslie A. Kersebaum, Kurt-Christian Liujun Xiao Martre, Pierre Miralles, Daniel Molero, Gemma Mukhtar Ahmed Nendel, Claas Olesen, Jørgen E. Palosuo, Taru Pequeno, Diego Notelo Luz Priesack, Eckart Pullens, Johannes W. M. Reynolds, Matthew P. Rezaei, Ehsan Eyshi Rodríguez, Alfredo Ruiz Ramos, Margarita Rötter, Reimund P. Semenov, Mikhail A. Senapati, Nimai Siebert, Stefan Slafer, Gustavo A. Srivastava, Amit Stella, Tommaso Stockle, Claudio Supit, Iwan Thorburn, Peter J. Wang, Enli Webber, Heidi Weber, Tobias Karl David Yan Zhu Yi Chen Yujing Gao Zhao Zhang Zhao, Jin Zhigan Zhao |
| author_facet | Guarin, Jose Rafael Martre, Pierre Ewert, Frank Webber, Heidi Dueri, Sibylle Calderini, Daniel F. Reynolds, Matthew P. Molero, Gemma Miralles, Daniel García, Guillermo Slafer, Gustavo A. Giunta, Francesco Pequeno, Diego Notelo Luz Stella, Tommaso Mukhtar Ahmed Alderman, Phillip D. Basso, Bruno Berger, Andres Bindi, Marco Bracho-Mujica, Gennady Cammarano, Davide Yi Chen Dumont, Benjamin Rezaei, Ehsan Eyshi Fereres, Elias Ferrise, Roberto Gaiser, Thomas Yujing Gao García Vila, Margarita Gayler, Sebastian Hochman, Zvi Hoogenboom, Gerrit Hunt, Leslie A. Kersebaum, Kurt-Christian Nendel, Claas Olesen, Jørgen E. Palosuo, Taru Priesack, Eckart Pullens, Johannes W. M. Rodríguez, Alfredo Rötter, Reimund P. Ruiz Ramos, Margarita Semenov, Mikhail A. Senapati, Nimai Siebert, Stefan Srivastava, Amit Stockle, Claudio Supit, Iwan Fulu Tao Thorburn, Peter J. Wang, Enli Weber, Tobias Karl David Liujun Xiao Zhao Zhang Chuang Zhao Zhao, Jin Zhigan Zhao Yan Zhu Asseng, Senthold |
| author_sort | Guarin, Jose Rafael |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Wheat is the most widely grown food crop, with 761 Mt produced globally in 2020. To meet the expected grain demand by mid-century, wheat breeding strategies must continue to improve upon yield-advancing physiological traits, regardless of climate change impacts. Here, the best performing doubled haploid (DH) crosses with an increased canopy photosynthesis from wheat field experiments in the literature were extrapolated to the global scale with a multi-model ensemble of process-based wheat crop models to estimate global wheat production. The DH field experiments were also used to determine a quantitative relationship between wheat production and solar radiation to estimate genetic yield potential. The multi-model ensemble projected a global annual wheat production of 1050 ± 145 Mt due to the improved canopy photosynthesis, a 37% increase, without expanding cropping area. Achieving this genetic yield potential would meet the lower estimate of the projected grain demand in 2050, albeit with considerable challenges. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace129183 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2022 |
| publishDateRange | 2022 |
| publishDateSort | 2022 |
| publisher | IOP Publishing |
| publisherStr | IOP Publishing |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1291832025-12-08T09:54:28Z Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential Guarin, Jose Rafael Martre, Pierre Ewert, Frank Webber, Heidi Dueri, Sibylle Calderini, Daniel F. Reynolds, Matthew P. Molero, Gemma Miralles, Daniel García, Guillermo Slafer, Gustavo A. Giunta, Francesco Pequeno, Diego Notelo Luz Stella, Tommaso Mukhtar Ahmed Alderman, Phillip D. Basso, Bruno Berger, Andres Bindi, Marco Bracho-Mujica, Gennady Cammarano, Davide Yi Chen Dumont, Benjamin Rezaei, Ehsan Eyshi Fereres, Elias Ferrise, Roberto Gaiser, Thomas Yujing Gao García Vila, Margarita Gayler, Sebastian Hochman, Zvi Hoogenboom, Gerrit Hunt, Leslie A. Kersebaum, Kurt-Christian Nendel, Claas Olesen, Jørgen E. Palosuo, Taru Priesack, Eckart Pullens, Johannes W. M. Rodríguez, Alfredo Rötter, Reimund P. Ruiz Ramos, Margarita Semenov, Mikhail A. Senapati, Nimai Siebert, Stefan Srivastava, Amit Stockle, Claudio Supit, Iwan Fulu Tao Thorburn, Peter J. Wang, Enli Weber, Tobias Karl David Liujun Xiao Zhao Zhang Chuang Zhao Zhao, Jin Zhigan Zhao Yan Zhu Asseng, Senthold climate change crops food supply photosynthesis crop modelling food security model ensembles wheat yield increases breeding genetics Wheat is the most widely grown food crop, with 761 Mt produced globally in 2020. To meet the expected grain demand by mid-century, wheat breeding strategies must continue to improve upon yield-advancing physiological traits, regardless of climate change impacts. Here, the best performing doubled haploid (DH) crosses with an increased canopy photosynthesis from wheat field experiments in the literature were extrapolated to the global scale with a multi-model ensemble of process-based wheat crop models to estimate global wheat production. The DH field experiments were also used to determine a quantitative relationship between wheat production and solar radiation to estimate genetic yield potential. The multi-model ensemble projected a global annual wheat production of 1050 ± 145 Mt due to the improved canopy photosynthesis, a 37% increase, without expanding cropping area. Achieving this genetic yield potential would meet the lower estimate of the projected grain demand in 2050, albeit with considerable challenges. 2022-12-01 2023-03-03T16:21:21Z 2023-03-03T16:21:21Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/129183 en Open Access application/pdf IOP Publishing Guarin, J. R., Martre, P., Ewert, F., Webber, H., Dueri, S., Calderini, D., Reynolds, M., Molero, G., Miralles, D., Garcia, G., Slafer, G., Giunta, F., Pequeno, D. N. L., Stella, T., Ahmed, M., Alderman, P. D., Basso, B., Berger, A. G., Bindi, M., … Asseng, S. (2022). Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential. In Environmental Research Letters (Vol. 17, Issue 12, p. 124045). IOP Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aca77c |
| spellingShingle | climate change crops food supply photosynthesis crop modelling food security model ensembles wheat yield increases breeding genetics Guarin, Jose Rafael Martre, Pierre Ewert, Frank Webber, Heidi Dueri, Sibylle Calderini, Daniel F. Reynolds, Matthew P. Molero, Gemma Miralles, Daniel García, Guillermo Slafer, Gustavo A. Giunta, Francesco Pequeno, Diego Notelo Luz Stella, Tommaso Mukhtar Ahmed Alderman, Phillip D. Basso, Bruno Berger, Andres Bindi, Marco Bracho-Mujica, Gennady Cammarano, Davide Yi Chen Dumont, Benjamin Rezaei, Ehsan Eyshi Fereres, Elias Ferrise, Roberto Gaiser, Thomas Yujing Gao García Vila, Margarita Gayler, Sebastian Hochman, Zvi Hoogenboom, Gerrit Hunt, Leslie A. Kersebaum, Kurt-Christian Nendel, Claas Olesen, Jørgen E. Palosuo, Taru Priesack, Eckart Pullens, Johannes W. M. Rodríguez, Alfredo Rötter, Reimund P. Ruiz Ramos, Margarita Semenov, Mikhail A. Senapati, Nimai Siebert, Stefan Srivastava, Amit Stockle, Claudio Supit, Iwan Fulu Tao Thorburn, Peter J. Wang, Enli Weber, Tobias Karl David Liujun Xiao Zhao Zhang Chuang Zhao Zhao, Jin Zhigan Zhao Yan Zhu Asseng, Senthold Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential |
| title | Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential |
| title_full | Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential |
| title_fullStr | Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential |
| title_full_unstemmed | Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential |
| title_short | Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential |
| title_sort | evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential |
| topic | climate change crops food supply photosynthesis crop modelling food security model ensembles wheat yield increases breeding genetics |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/129183 |
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