Prognostisering av sortimentsutfall från stående skog med hjälp av befintliga data : anpassat till Sveaskog Norrbottens planeringsprocess

This study in the subject of forest planning is made for Sveaskog and its aim is to develop tools that prognosticate outcome in terms of volumes per sort from not yet cut forest stands. The degree of detail is just to get reliable results for at least one months volumes, for Sveaskogs own forestland...

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Autor principal: Eriksson, Mikael
Formato: H1
Lenguaje:sueco
Inglés
Publicado: SLU/Dept. of Forest Resource Management 2010
Materias:
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author Eriksson, Mikael
author_browse Eriksson, Mikael
author_facet Eriksson, Mikael
author_sort Eriksson, Mikael
collection Epsilon Archive for Student Projects
description This study in the subject of forest planning is made for Sveaskog and its aim is to develop tools that prognosticate outcome in terms of volumes per sort from not yet cut forest stands. The degree of detail is just to get reliable results for at least one months volumes, for Sveaskogs own forestland in the market region of Norrbotten that is about 100 000 m3fub. The course of action to accomplish this is regression analysis and the data consists of cut tracts on own forestland in Norrbotten during the years 2006, 2007 and 2008. That is a little more than 4 million m3fub. Two tools were made. One that uses planned tracts data (PT) for computation and one that uses the stand register data (BR). The PT-tool has the best precision of basically two obvious reasons. First PT is further in the supply chain and therefore closer to the answer, the industry measuring. Second, BR had some pretty serious practical issues attached to it at this time. An internal validation was made with all the data and it showed that the calculated total volume for PT was 0,2 % below the true volume and the same volume for BR was 4,7 % above. More detailed, roughly the PT-tool estimates all sorts but burning wood and GROT fair while the BR-tool estimates all sorts but pine and spruce timber poor. Finally, the aim of the study is reached because the tools are completed and the PT-tool shows promising results for practical use while the BR-tool right now can be tested but later be redone with better structured data.
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institution Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
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Inglés
publishDate 2010
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publisher SLU/Dept. of Forest Resource Management
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spelling RepoSLU9422012-04-20T14:11:44Z Prognostisering av sortimentsutfall från stående skog med hjälp av befintliga data : anpassat till Sveaskog Norrbottens planeringsprocess Prognostication of assortments from standing forests with available data : adapted to Sveaskog Norrbottens planning process Eriksson, Mikael logistisk regression utbytesberäkning sortiment traktbank, indelningsregister This study in the subject of forest planning is made for Sveaskog and its aim is to develop tools that prognosticate outcome in terms of volumes per sort from not yet cut forest stands. The degree of detail is just to get reliable results for at least one months volumes, for Sveaskogs own forestland in the market region of Norrbotten that is about 100 000 m3fub. The course of action to accomplish this is regression analysis and the data consists of cut tracts on own forestland in Norrbotten during the years 2006, 2007 and 2008. That is a little more than 4 million m3fub. Two tools were made. One that uses planned tracts data (PT) for computation and one that uses the stand register data (BR). The PT-tool has the best precision of basically two obvious reasons. First PT is further in the supply chain and therefore closer to the answer, the industry measuring. Second, BR had some pretty serious practical issues attached to it at this time. An internal validation was made with all the data and it showed that the calculated total volume for PT was 0,2 % below the true volume and the same volume for BR was 4,7 % above. More detailed, roughly the PT-tool estimates all sorts but burning wood and GROT fair while the BR-tool estimates all sorts but pine and spruce timber poor. Finally, the aim of the study is reached because the tools are completed and the PT-tool shows promising results for practical use while the BR-tool right now can be tested but later be redone with better structured data. SLU/Dept. of Forest Resource Management 2010 H1 swe eng https://stud.epsilon.slu.se/942/
spellingShingle logistisk regression
utbytesberäkning
sortiment
traktbank,
indelningsregister
Eriksson, Mikael
Prognostisering av sortimentsutfall från stående skog med hjälp av befintliga data : anpassat till Sveaskog Norrbottens planeringsprocess
title Prognostisering av sortimentsutfall från stående skog med hjälp av befintliga data : anpassat till Sveaskog Norrbottens planeringsprocess
title_full Prognostisering av sortimentsutfall från stående skog med hjälp av befintliga data : anpassat till Sveaskog Norrbottens planeringsprocess
title_fullStr Prognostisering av sortimentsutfall från stående skog med hjälp av befintliga data : anpassat till Sveaskog Norrbottens planeringsprocess
title_full_unstemmed Prognostisering av sortimentsutfall från stående skog med hjälp av befintliga data : anpassat till Sveaskog Norrbottens planeringsprocess
title_short Prognostisering av sortimentsutfall från stående skog med hjälp av befintliga data : anpassat till Sveaskog Norrbottens planeringsprocess
title_sort prognostisering av sortimentsutfall från stående skog med hjälp av befintliga data : anpassat till sveaskog norrbottens planeringsprocess
topic logistisk regression
utbytesberäkning
sortiment
traktbank,
indelningsregister