Estimating the income elasticity of demand for international air travel : the financial crisis and its effect on irish income

During the 2008 financial crisis, aggregate income along with the number of air travellers in Ireland both decreased significantly. This thesis aims to estimate the income elasticity of demand for international air travel in Ireland using a difference-in-differences instrumental variables model (DID...

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Main Author: Craig, Connor
Format: H2
Language:Inglés
Published: SLU/Dept. of Economics 2019
Subjects:
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author Craig, Connor
author_browse Craig, Connor
author_facet Craig, Connor
author_sort Craig, Connor
collection Epsilon Archive for Student Projects
description During the 2008 financial crisis, aggregate income along with the number of air travellers in Ireland both decreased significantly. This thesis aims to estimate the income elasticity of demand for international air travel in Ireland using a difference-in-differences instrumental variables model (DID/IV), where Norway is used as a control group and the financial crisis serves as an exogenous instrument for a change in income. Using this exogenous variation caused by the crisis as an instrumental variable for the effect of income on international passenger numbers generates income elasticity estimates of between 4.645 to 9.310. This implies that a 1% change in income leads to a 4.645% to 9.310% change in the demand for international air travel. Assuming that aggregate incomes are rising over time, then the findings of this study suggest that international air passenger numbers will increase significantly. This will have important implications for policymakers aiming to reduce the future amount of carbon emissions being released into the Earth’s atmosphere.
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institution Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
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spelling RepoSLU149772020-06-04T12:17:37Z Estimating the income elasticity of demand for international air travel : the financial crisis and its effect on irish income Craig, Connor income elasticity international air travel demand financial crisis natural experiment During the 2008 financial crisis, aggregate income along with the number of air travellers in Ireland both decreased significantly. This thesis aims to estimate the income elasticity of demand for international air travel in Ireland using a difference-in-differences instrumental variables model (DID/IV), where Norway is used as a control group and the financial crisis serves as an exogenous instrument for a change in income. Using this exogenous variation caused by the crisis as an instrumental variable for the effect of income on international passenger numbers generates income elasticity estimates of between 4.645 to 9.310. This implies that a 1% change in income leads to a 4.645% to 9.310% change in the demand for international air travel. Assuming that aggregate incomes are rising over time, then the findings of this study suggest that international air passenger numbers will increase significantly. This will have important implications for policymakers aiming to reduce the future amount of carbon emissions being released into the Earth’s atmosphere. SLU/Dept. of Economics 2019 H2 eng https://stud.epsilon.slu.se/14977/
spellingShingle income elasticity
international air travel demand
financial crisis
natural experiment
Craig, Connor
Estimating the income elasticity of demand for international air travel : the financial crisis and its effect on irish income
title Estimating the income elasticity of demand for international air travel : the financial crisis and its effect on irish income
title_full Estimating the income elasticity of demand for international air travel : the financial crisis and its effect on irish income
title_fullStr Estimating the income elasticity of demand for international air travel : the financial crisis and its effect on irish income
title_full_unstemmed Estimating the income elasticity of demand for international air travel : the financial crisis and its effect on irish income
title_short Estimating the income elasticity of demand for international air travel : the financial crisis and its effect on irish income
title_sort estimating the income elasticity of demand for international air travel : the financial crisis and its effect on irish income
topic income elasticity
international air travel demand
financial crisis
natural experiment