Statistical and neural network ananlysis of pesticide losses to surface water in small agricultural catchments in Sweden

The aim of this thesis was to explain variations in pesticide leaching from the pesticide properties (DT50, koc, log Pow, Sw and combinations of these) using multiple linear regression and artificial neural networks. The data came mainly from Vemmenhög, a catchment nine square kilometres in size dom...

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Autor principal: Adielsson, Stina
Formato: Otro
Lenguaje:sueco
Inglés
Publicado: 2005
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://stud.epsilon.slu.se/11836/
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author Adielsson, Stina
author_browse Adielsson, Stina
author_facet Adielsson, Stina
author_sort Adielsson, Stina
collection Epsilon Archive for Student Projects
description The aim of this thesis was to explain variations in pesticide leaching from the pesticide properties (DT50, koc, log Pow, Sw and combinations of these) using multiple linear regression and artificial neural networks. The data came mainly from Vemmenhög, a catchment nine square kilometres in size dominated by agriculture, located in the south of Sweden. The analysed period is May to November 1997-2003. The artificial neural network, a feed-forward back propagation network, did not work in this case. For the regression analysis, a stepwise selection was used. Analyses were performed both on data where all zero-losses were excluded and on data where substances used in low amounts were excluded. Excluding the pesticides that were applied in low amounts gave better results than excluding those with zero-loss. With loss rate as a response variable, it was possible to find significant functions explaining up to 99% of the variability for individual years. The combination of variables in the functions with the highest degree of explanation (r2) differed for different years, but DT50/koc was the most frequently occurring variable. Grouping the years, the best significant function for 1997-2003 (excluding pesticides used in low amounts) contained DT50/koc and log Pow, with an r2 value of 70% (P<0.0001). It was generally not possible to use the formulas to predict pesticide loss for individual years, but it proved to be more reliable for the grouped years. The highest model efficiency found was 0.56. The result implies that a large part of the long-term leaching can be explained by pesticide properties.
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spelling RepoSLU118362017-10-16T08:47:42Z https://stud.epsilon.slu.se/11836/ Statistical and neural network ananlysis of pesticide losses to surface water in small agricultural catchments in Sweden Adielsson, Stina Dept. of Soil Sciences Soil biology The aim of this thesis was to explain variations in pesticide leaching from the pesticide properties (DT50, koc, log Pow, Sw and combinations of these) using multiple linear regression and artificial neural networks. The data came mainly from Vemmenhög, a catchment nine square kilometres in size dominated by agriculture, located in the south of Sweden. The analysed period is May to November 1997-2003. The artificial neural network, a feed-forward back propagation network, did not work in this case. For the regression analysis, a stepwise selection was used. Analyses were performed both on data where all zero-losses were excluded and on data where substances used in low amounts were excluded. Excluding the pesticides that were applied in low amounts gave better results than excluding those with zero-loss. With loss rate as a response variable, it was possible to find significant functions explaining up to 99% of the variability for individual years. The combination of variables in the functions with the highest degree of explanation (r2) differed for different years, but DT50/koc was the most frequently occurring variable. Grouping the years, the best significant function for 1997-2003 (excluding pesticides used in low amounts) contained DT50/koc and log Pow, with an r2 value of 70% (P<0.0001). It was generally not possible to use the formulas to predict pesticide loss for individual years, but it proved to be more reliable for the grouped years. The highest model efficiency found was 0.56. The result implies that a large part of the long-term leaching can be explained by pesticide properties. 2005-04-08 Other NonPeerReviewed application/pdf sv https://stud.epsilon.slu.se/11836/1/adielsson_s_171016.pdf Adielsson, Stina, 2005. Statistical and neural network ananlysis of pesticide losses to surface water in small agricultural catchments in Sweden. UNSPECIFIED, Uppsala. Uppsala: (NL, NJ) > Dept. of Soil Sciences <https://stud.epsilon.slu.se/view/divisions/4023.html> urn:nbn:se:slu:epsilon-s-7850 eng
spellingShingle Dept. of Soil Sciences
Soil biology
Adielsson, Stina
Statistical and neural network ananlysis of pesticide losses to surface water in small agricultural catchments in Sweden
title Statistical and neural network ananlysis of pesticide losses to surface water in small agricultural catchments in Sweden
title_full Statistical and neural network ananlysis of pesticide losses to surface water in small agricultural catchments in Sweden
title_fullStr Statistical and neural network ananlysis of pesticide losses to surface water in small agricultural catchments in Sweden
title_full_unstemmed Statistical and neural network ananlysis of pesticide losses to surface water in small agricultural catchments in Sweden
title_short Statistical and neural network ananlysis of pesticide losses to surface water in small agricultural catchments in Sweden
title_sort statistical and neural network ananlysis of pesticide losses to surface water in small agricultural catchments in sweden
topic Dept. of Soil Sciences
Soil biology
url https://stud.epsilon.slu.se/11836/
https://stud.epsilon.slu.se/11836/