Performance of outbreak management plans for emerging plant diseases: the case of almond leaf scorch caused by Xylella fastidiosa in mainland Spain

Outbreak response to quarantine pathogens and pests in the European Union (EU) is regulated by the EU Plant Health Law, but the performance of outbreak management plans in terms of their effectiveness and efficiency has been quantified only to a limited extent. As a case study, the disease dynamics...

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Autores principales: Cendoya, Martina, Lázaro, Elena, Navarro-Quiles, Ana, López-Quílez, Antonio, Conesa, David, Vicent, Antonio
Formato: Artículo
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: APS 2024
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11939/8957
https://apsjournals.apsnet.org/doi/epdf/10.1094/PHYTO-12-23-0465-R
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author Cendoya, Martina
Lázaro, Elena
Navarro-Quiles, Ana
López-Quílez, Antonio
Conesa, David
Vicent, Antonio
author_browse Cendoya, Martina
Conesa, David
Lázaro, Elena
López-Quílez, Antonio
Navarro-Quiles, Ana
Vicent, Antonio
author_facet Cendoya, Martina
Lázaro, Elena
Navarro-Quiles, Ana
López-Quílez, Antonio
Conesa, David
Vicent, Antonio
author_sort Cendoya, Martina
collection ReDivia
description Outbreak response to quarantine pathogens and pests in the European Union (EU) is regulated by the EU Plant Health Law, but the performance of outbreak management plans in terms of their effectiveness and efficiency has been quantified only to a limited extent. As a case study, the disease dynamics of almond leaf scorch, caused by Xylella fastidiosa (Xf), in the affected area of Alicante, Spain, were approximated using an individual-based spatial epidemiological model. The emergence of this outbreak was dated based on phylogenetic studies, and official surveys were used to delimit the current extent of the disease. Different survey strategies and disease control measures were compared to determine their effectiveness and efficiency for outbreak management in relation to a baseline scenario without interventions. One-step and two-step survey approaches were compared with different confidence levels, buffer zone sizes and eradication radii, including those set by the EU legislation for Xf. The effect of disease control interventions was also considered by decreasing the transmission rate in the buffer zone. All outbreak management plans reduced the number of infected trees (effectiveness) but large differences were observed in the number of susceptible trees not eradicated (efficiency). The two-step survey approach and high confidence level increased the efficiency, while also reducing the transmission rate. Only the outbreak management plans with the two-step survey approach removed infected trees completely, but they required greater survey efforts. Although control measures reduced disease spread, surveillance was the key factor in the effectiveness and efficiency of the outbreak management plans.
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spelling ReDivia89572025-04-25T14:49:35Z Performance of outbreak management plans for emerging plant diseases: the case of almond leaf scorch caused by Xylella fastidiosa in mainland Spain Cendoya, Martina Lázaro, Elena Navarro-Quiles, Ana López-Quílez, Antonio Conesa, David Vicent, Antonio Almond leaf scorch Control Delimitation Surveillance H20 Plant diseases Xylella fastidiosa Outbreak response to quarantine pathogens and pests in the European Union (EU) is regulated by the EU Plant Health Law, but the performance of outbreak management plans in terms of their effectiveness and efficiency has been quantified only to a limited extent. As a case study, the disease dynamics of almond leaf scorch, caused by Xylella fastidiosa (Xf), in the affected area of Alicante, Spain, were approximated using an individual-based spatial epidemiological model. The emergence of this outbreak was dated based on phylogenetic studies, and official surveys were used to delimit the current extent of the disease. Different survey strategies and disease control measures were compared to determine their effectiveness and efficiency for outbreak management in relation to a baseline scenario without interventions. One-step and two-step survey approaches were compared with different confidence levels, buffer zone sizes and eradication radii, including those set by the EU legislation for Xf. The effect of disease control interventions was also considered by decreasing the transmission rate in the buffer zone. All outbreak management plans reduced the number of infected trees (effectiveness) but large differences were observed in the number of susceptible trees not eradicated (efficiency). The two-step survey approach and high confidence level increased the efficiency, while also reducing the transmission rate. Only the outbreak management plans with the two-step survey approach removed infected trees completely, but they required greater survey efforts. Although control measures reduced disease spread, surveillance was the key factor in the effectiveness and efficiency of the outbreak management plans. 2024-07-08T12:20:29Z 2024-07-08T12:20:29Z 2024 article acceptedVersion Cendoya, M., Lázaro, E., Navarro-Quiles, A., López-Quílez, A., Conesa, D., & Vicent, A. (2024). Performance of outbreak management plans for emerging plant diseases: the case of almond leaf scorch caused by Xylella fastidiosa in mainland Spain. Phytopathology, 114(7), 1566-1576. 0031-949X https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11939/8957 10.1094/PHYTO-12-23-0465-R https://apsjournals.apsnet.org/doi/epdf/10.1094/PHYTO-12-23-0465-R en info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/HE/101060593/EU/Beyond Xylella, Integrated Management Strategies for Mitigating Xylella fastidiosa impact in Europe/BeXyl info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/AEI/Programa Estatal para Impulsar la Investigación Científico-Técnica y su Transferencia/PID2022-136455NB-100/ES/Más allá de la modelización habitual de datos espaciales y temporales: una aproximación jerárquica bayesiana Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internacional http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ openAccess APS electronico
spellingShingle Almond leaf scorch
Control
Delimitation
Surveillance
H20 Plant diseases
Xylella fastidiosa
Cendoya, Martina
Lázaro, Elena
Navarro-Quiles, Ana
López-Quílez, Antonio
Conesa, David
Vicent, Antonio
Performance of outbreak management plans for emerging plant diseases: the case of almond leaf scorch caused by Xylella fastidiosa in mainland Spain
title Performance of outbreak management plans for emerging plant diseases: the case of almond leaf scorch caused by Xylella fastidiosa in mainland Spain
title_full Performance of outbreak management plans for emerging plant diseases: the case of almond leaf scorch caused by Xylella fastidiosa in mainland Spain
title_fullStr Performance of outbreak management plans for emerging plant diseases: the case of almond leaf scorch caused by Xylella fastidiosa in mainland Spain
title_full_unstemmed Performance of outbreak management plans for emerging plant diseases: the case of almond leaf scorch caused by Xylella fastidiosa in mainland Spain
title_short Performance of outbreak management plans for emerging plant diseases: the case of almond leaf scorch caused by Xylella fastidiosa in mainland Spain
title_sort performance of outbreak management plans for emerging plant diseases the case of almond leaf scorch caused by xylella fastidiosa in mainland spain
topic Almond leaf scorch
Control
Delimitation
Surveillance
H20 Plant diseases
Xylella fastidiosa
url https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11939/8957
https://apsjournals.apsnet.org/doi/epdf/10.1094/PHYTO-12-23-0465-R
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