Guidelines for statistically sound and risk-based surveys of Phyllosticta citricarpa

At the request of the European Commission, EFSA prepared these specific guidelines to guide the surveyor through the design of statistically sound and risk-based surveys for Phyllosticta citricarpa, integrating the key biological information. Based on examples, three different survey designs are sim...

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Autores principales: Lázaro, Elena, Parnell, Stephen, Vicent, Antonio, Schans, Jan, Schenk, Martijn, Schrader, Gritta, Cortinas-Abrahantes, Jose, Zancanaro, Gabriele, Vos, Sybren
Formato: article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Wiley Online Library 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11939/7471
https://efsa.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.2903/sp.efsa.2020.EN-1893
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author Lázaro, Elena
Parnell, Stephen
Vicent, Antonio
Schans, Jan
Schenk, Martijn
Schrader, Gritta
Cortinas-Abrahantes, Jose
Zancanaro, Gabriele
Vos, Sybren
author_browse Cortinas-Abrahantes, Jose
Lázaro, Elena
Parnell, Stephen
Schans, Jan
Schenk, Martijn
Schrader, Gritta
Vicent, Antonio
Vos, Sybren
Zancanaro, Gabriele
author_facet Lázaro, Elena
Parnell, Stephen
Vicent, Antonio
Schans, Jan
Schenk, Martijn
Schrader, Gritta
Cortinas-Abrahantes, Jose
Zancanaro, Gabriele
Vos, Sybren
author_sort Lázaro, Elena
collection ReDivia
description At the request of the European Commission, EFSA prepared these specific guidelines to guide the surveyor through the design of statistically sound and risk-based surveys for Phyllosticta citricarpa, integrating the key biological information. Based on examples, three different survey designs are simulated:(i) detection surveys to substantiate pest freedom, (ii) delimiting surveys to determine the boundaries of an infested zone, and (iii) buffer zone surveys to monitor a zone ensuring pest detection at low levels of prevalence.The first step of the survey design consists of setting the goals of the survey, characterising the host plant population and the methods used to identify the pest. All survey parameters are quantified taking into accountthe importance of the related assumptions. The more accurateand robust the information used for selecting and estimating the survey parameters, the more robust the conclusions of the survey will be. The second step of the survey design consists of the sample size (i.e. number of trees)calculation using the survey parameters as inputs of the proposed statistical tool (EFSA RiBESS+).The last step of the survey design is the allocation of the samples in the survey area which depends on the information available on the target population and risk factors. The robustness of the conclusions of surveys designed using the proposed approaches strongly depends on the survey preparation. The methodology proposed allows surveys to be compared across time and space, thus contributing to the harmonisation of the P.citricarpasurveys across the EU. The extremely flexible approach allows the surveys to be tailored to each specific situation in the Member States, taking into account the citrus tree distribution and available resources. The success of a good survey design relies on the technical aspects of the survey preparation and on the involvement of the risk managers.
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spelling ReDivia74712025-04-25T14:48:21Z Guidelines for statistically sound and risk-based surveys of Phyllosticta citricarpa Lázaro, Elena Parnell, Stephen Vicent, Antonio Schans, Jan Schenk, Martijn Schrader, Gritta Cortinas-Abrahantes, Jose Zancanaro, Gabriele Vos, Sybren Buffer zone Confidence level Delimiting Design prevalence Detection Epidemiological units Infested zone U40 Surveying methods H20 Plant diseases At the request of the European Commission, EFSA prepared these specific guidelines to guide the surveyor through the design of statistically sound and risk-based surveys for Phyllosticta citricarpa, integrating the key biological information. Based on examples, three different survey designs are simulated:(i) detection surveys to substantiate pest freedom, (ii) delimiting surveys to determine the boundaries of an infested zone, and (iii) buffer zone surveys to monitor a zone ensuring pest detection at low levels of prevalence.The first step of the survey design consists of setting the goals of the survey, characterising the host plant population and the methods used to identify the pest. All survey parameters are quantified taking into accountthe importance of the related assumptions. The more accurateand robust the information used for selecting and estimating the survey parameters, the more robust the conclusions of the survey will be. The second step of the survey design consists of the sample size (i.e. number of trees)calculation using the survey parameters as inputs of the proposed statistical tool (EFSA RiBESS+).The last step of the survey design is the allocation of the samples in the survey area which depends on the information available on the target population and risk factors. The robustness of the conclusions of surveys designed using the proposed approaches strongly depends on the survey preparation. The methodology proposed allows surveys to be compared across time and space, thus contributing to the harmonisation of the P.citricarpasurveys across the EU. The extremely flexible approach allows the surveys to be tailored to each specific situation in the Member States, taking into account the citrus tree distribution and available resources. The success of a good survey design relies on the technical aspects of the survey preparation and on the involvement of the risk managers. 2021-06-28T12:08:50Z 2021-06-28T12:08:50Z 2020 article publishedVersion Lázaro, E., Parnell, S., Vicent, A., Schans, J., Schenk, M. et al. (2020). Guidelines for statistically sound and risk‐based surveys of Phyllosticta citricarpa. EFSA supporting publications,17(7), EN-1893. 2397-8325 (online ISSN) http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11939/7471 10.2903/sp.efsa.2020.EN-1893 https://efsa.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.2903/sp.efsa.2020.EN-1893 en Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas 3.0 España http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/ openAccess Wiley Online Library electronico
spellingShingle Buffer zone
Confidence level
Delimiting
Design prevalence
Detection
Epidemiological units
Infested zone
U40 Surveying methods
H20 Plant diseases
Lázaro, Elena
Parnell, Stephen
Vicent, Antonio
Schans, Jan
Schenk, Martijn
Schrader, Gritta
Cortinas-Abrahantes, Jose
Zancanaro, Gabriele
Vos, Sybren
Guidelines for statistically sound and risk-based surveys of Phyllosticta citricarpa
title Guidelines for statistically sound and risk-based surveys of Phyllosticta citricarpa
title_full Guidelines for statistically sound and risk-based surveys of Phyllosticta citricarpa
title_fullStr Guidelines for statistically sound and risk-based surveys of Phyllosticta citricarpa
title_full_unstemmed Guidelines for statistically sound and risk-based surveys of Phyllosticta citricarpa
title_short Guidelines for statistically sound and risk-based surveys of Phyllosticta citricarpa
title_sort guidelines for statistically sound and risk based surveys of phyllosticta citricarpa
topic Buffer zone
Confidence level
Delimiting
Design prevalence
Detection
Epidemiological units
Infested zone
U40 Surveying methods
H20 Plant diseases
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11939/7471
https://efsa.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.2903/sp.efsa.2020.EN-1893
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