Mid-Season High-Resolution Satellite Imagery for Forecasting Site-Specific Corn Yield

A timely and accurate crop yield forecast is crucial to make better decisions on crop management, marketing, and storage by assessing ahead and implementing based on expected crop performance. The objective of this study was to investigate the potential of high-resolution satellite imagery data coll...

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Main Authors: Peralta, Nahuel Raúl, Assefa, Yared, Du, Juan, Barden, Charles J., Ciampitti, Ignacio A.
Format: info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo
Language:Inglés
Published: MDPI 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/8/10/848
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/4937
https://doi.org/10.3390/rs8100848
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author Peralta, Nahuel Raúl
Assefa, Yared
Du, Juan
Barden, Charles J.
Ciampitti, Ignacio A.
author_browse Assefa, Yared
Barden, Charles J.
Ciampitti, Ignacio A.
Du, Juan
Peralta, Nahuel Raúl
author_facet Peralta, Nahuel Raúl
Assefa, Yared
Du, Juan
Barden, Charles J.
Ciampitti, Ignacio A.
author_sort Peralta, Nahuel Raúl
collection INTA Digital
description A timely and accurate crop yield forecast is crucial to make better decisions on crop management, marketing, and storage by assessing ahead and implementing based on expected crop performance. The objective of this study was to investigate the potential of high-resolution satellite imagery data collected at mid-growing season for identification of within-field variability and to forecast corn yield at different sites within a field. A test was conducted on yield monitor data and RapidEye satellite imagery obtained for 22 cornfields located in five different counties (Clay, Dickinson, Rice, Saline, and Washington) of Kansas (total of 457 ha). Three basic tests were conducted on the data: (1) spatial dependence on each of the yield and vegetation indices (VIs) using Moran’s I test; (2) model selection for the relationship between imagery data and actual yield using ordinary least square regression (OLS) and spatial econometric (SPL) models; and (3) model validation for yield forecasting purposes. Spatial autocorrelation analysis (Moran’s I test) for both yield and VIs (red edge NDVI = NDVIre, normalized difference vegetation index = NDVIr, SRre = red-edge simple ratio, near infrared = NIR and green-NDVI = NDVIG) was tested positive and statistically significant for most of the fields (p < 0.05), except for one. Inclusion of spatial adjustment to model improved the model fit on most fields as compared to OLS models, with the spatial adjustment coefficient significant for half of the fields studied. When selected models were used for prediction to validate dataset, a striking similarity (RMSE = 0.02) was obtained between predicted and observed yield within a field. Yield maps could assist implementing more effective site-specific management tools and could be utilized as a proxy of yield monitor data. In summary, high-resolution satellite imagery data can be reasonably used to forecast yield via utilization of models that include spatial adjustment to inform precision agricultural management decisions.
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institution Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA -Argentina)
language Inglés
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spelling INTA49372019-04-22T12:09:35Z Mid-Season High-Resolution Satellite Imagery for Forecasting Site-Specific Corn Yield Peralta, Nahuel Raúl Assefa, Yared Du, Juan Barden, Charles J. Ciampitti, Ignacio A. Técnicas de Predicción Imágenes por Satélites Maíz Rendimiento Agricultura de Precisión Forecasting Satellite Imagery Maize Yields Precision Agriculture A timely and accurate crop yield forecast is crucial to make better decisions on crop management, marketing, and storage by assessing ahead and implementing based on expected crop performance. The objective of this study was to investigate the potential of high-resolution satellite imagery data collected at mid-growing season for identification of within-field variability and to forecast corn yield at different sites within a field. A test was conducted on yield monitor data and RapidEye satellite imagery obtained for 22 cornfields located in five different counties (Clay, Dickinson, Rice, Saline, and Washington) of Kansas (total of 457 ha). Three basic tests were conducted on the data: (1) spatial dependence on each of the yield and vegetation indices (VIs) using Moran’s I test; (2) model selection for the relationship between imagery data and actual yield using ordinary least square regression (OLS) and spatial econometric (SPL) models; and (3) model validation for yield forecasting purposes. Spatial autocorrelation analysis (Moran’s I test) for both yield and VIs (red edge NDVI = NDVIre, normalized difference vegetation index = NDVIr, SRre = red-edge simple ratio, near infrared = NIR and green-NDVI = NDVIG) was tested positive and statistically significant for most of the fields (p < 0.05), except for one. Inclusion of spatial adjustment to model improved the model fit on most fields as compared to OLS models, with the spatial adjustment coefficient significant for half of the fields studied. When selected models were used for prediction to validate dataset, a striking similarity (RMSE = 0.02) was obtained between predicted and observed yield within a field. Yield maps could assist implementing more effective site-specific management tools and could be utilized as a proxy of yield monitor data. In summary, high-resolution satellite imagery data can be reasonably used to forecast yield via utilization of models that include spatial adjustment to inform precision agricultural management decisions. EEA Balcarce Fil: Peralta, Nahuel Raúl. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA). Estación Experimental Agropecuaria Balcarce; Argentina. Kansas State University. Department of Agronomy; Estados Unidos Fil: Assefa, Yared. Kansas State University. Department of Agronomy; Estados Unidos Fil: Du, Juan. Kansas State University. Department of Statistics; Estados Unidos Fil: Barden, Charles J. Kansas State University. Department of Horticulture and Natural Resources; Estados Unidos Fil: Ciampitti, Ignacio A. Kansas State University. Department of Agronomy; Estados Unidos 2019-04-22T12:05:05Z 2019-04-22T12:05:05Z 2016-10 info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/8/10/848 http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/4937 2072-4292 https://doi.org/10.3390/rs8100848 eng info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0) application/pdf MDPI Remote Sensing 8 (10) : 848 (2016)
spellingShingle Técnicas de Predicción
Imágenes por Satélites
Maíz
Rendimiento
Agricultura de Precisión
Forecasting
Satellite Imagery
Maize
Yields
Precision Agriculture
Peralta, Nahuel Raúl
Assefa, Yared
Du, Juan
Barden, Charles J.
Ciampitti, Ignacio A.
Mid-Season High-Resolution Satellite Imagery for Forecasting Site-Specific Corn Yield
title Mid-Season High-Resolution Satellite Imagery for Forecasting Site-Specific Corn Yield
title_full Mid-Season High-Resolution Satellite Imagery for Forecasting Site-Specific Corn Yield
title_fullStr Mid-Season High-Resolution Satellite Imagery for Forecasting Site-Specific Corn Yield
title_full_unstemmed Mid-Season High-Resolution Satellite Imagery for Forecasting Site-Specific Corn Yield
title_short Mid-Season High-Resolution Satellite Imagery for Forecasting Site-Specific Corn Yield
title_sort mid season high resolution satellite imagery for forecasting site specific corn yield
topic Técnicas de Predicción
Imágenes por Satélites
Maíz
Rendimiento
Agricultura de Precisión
Forecasting
Satellite Imagery
Maize
Yields
Precision Agriculture
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/8/10/848
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/4937
https://doi.org/10.3390/rs8100848
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