Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests
(1) Background: Land-use change threatens biodiversity globally, making it essential to anticipate future impacts. (2) Methods: We assess future land-use change scenarios as a tool for analyzing the taxonomic and functional richness of birds in the Serrano forest. We developed two change scenarios:...
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| Format: | info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo |
| Language: | Inglés |
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MDPI
2025
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| Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/24822 https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/16/6/1001 https://doi.org/10.3390/f16061001 |
| _version_ | 1855039013343199232 |
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| author | Silvetti, Luna Emilce Arcamone, Julieta Rocio Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio Landi, Marcos A. Bellis, Laura Marisa |
| author_browse | Arcamone, Julieta Rocio Bellis, Laura Marisa Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio Landi, Marcos A. Silvetti, Luna Emilce |
| author_facet | Silvetti, Luna Emilce Arcamone, Julieta Rocio Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio Landi, Marcos A. Bellis, Laura Marisa |
| author_sort | Silvetti, Luna Emilce |
| collection | INTA Digital |
| description | (1) Background: Land-use change threatens biodiversity globally, making it essential to anticipate future impacts. (2) Methods: We assess future land-use change scenarios as a tool for analyzing the taxonomic and functional richness of birds in the Serrano forest. We developed two change scenarios: The “Business as usual” scenario assumes that the trend of land-use change observed between 2004 and 2019 will continue without modifications by 2035 and 2050. The “Sustainable” scenario seeks to achieve a sustainable relationship between anthropogenic land-use activities and ecosystem conservation. We created distribution models and derived the potential distribution of the taxonomic and functional richness of forest and understory specialist birds in the change scenarios. (3) Results: The taxonomic and functional richness of both bird groups was strongly affected in the “Business as usual” change scenario, which presented extreme deforestation events, while the “Sustainable” change scenario tended to maintain bird richness over time. We detected areas with a reduction in richness greater than 20% and areas where richness increased due to being distant from urbanization and exotic forests. |
| format | info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo |
| id | INTA24822 |
| institution | Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA -Argentina) |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| publishDateRange | 2025 |
| publishDateSort | 2025 |
| publisher | MDPI |
| publisherStr | MDPI |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | INTA248222025-12-30T14:41:42Z Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests Silvetti, Luna Emilce Arcamone, Julieta Rocio Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio Landi, Marcos A. Bellis, Laura Marisa Bosques Cambio de Uso de la Tierra Conservación de la Diversidad Biológica Pájaros Forests Land Use Change Biodiversity Conservation Birds Región Chaqueña, Argentina (1) Background: Land-use change threatens biodiversity globally, making it essential to anticipate future impacts. (2) Methods: We assess future land-use change scenarios as a tool for analyzing the taxonomic and functional richness of birds in the Serrano forest. We developed two change scenarios: The “Business as usual” scenario assumes that the trend of land-use change observed between 2004 and 2019 will continue without modifications by 2035 and 2050. The “Sustainable” scenario seeks to achieve a sustainable relationship between anthropogenic land-use activities and ecosystem conservation. We created distribution models and derived the potential distribution of the taxonomic and functional richness of forest and understory specialist birds in the change scenarios. (3) Results: The taxonomic and functional richness of both bird groups was strongly affected in the “Business as usual” change scenario, which presented extreme deforestation events, while the “Sustainable” change scenario tended to maintain bird richness over time. We detected areas with a reduction in richness greater than 20% and areas where richness increased due to being distant from urbanization and exotic forests. Instituto de Fisiología y Recursos Genéticos Vegetales Fil: Silvetti, Luna Emilce. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina Fil: Silvetti, Luna Emilce. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales “Mario Gulich”; Argentina Fil: Arcamone, Julieta Rocio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina Fil: Arcamone, Julieta Rocio. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales “Mario Gulich”; Argentina Fil: Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA). Instituto de Fisiología y Recursos Genéticos Vegetales; Argentina Fil: Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Unidad de Estudios Agropecuarios (UDEA); Argentina Fil: Landi, Marcos A. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina Fil: Landi, Marcos A. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Instituto de Diversidad y Ecología Animal; Argentina Fil: Bellis, Laura Marisa. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina Fil: Bellis, Laura Marisa. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales “Mario Gulich”; Argentina. Fil: Bellis, Laura Marisa. Universidad Nacional de Córdoba. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas, Físicas y Naturales; Argentina 2025-12-30T14:38:06Z 2025-12-30T14:38:06Z 2025-06 info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/24822 https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/16/6/1001 1999-4907 https://doi.org/10.3390/f16061001 eng info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0) application/pdf MDPI Forests 16 (6) : 1001. (June 2025) |
| spellingShingle | Bosques Cambio de Uso de la Tierra Conservación de la Diversidad Biológica Pájaros Forests Land Use Change Biodiversity Conservation Birds Región Chaqueña, Argentina Silvetti, Luna Emilce Arcamone, Julieta Rocio Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio Landi, Marcos A. Bellis, Laura Marisa Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests |
| title | Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests |
| title_full | Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests |
| title_fullStr | Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests |
| title_full_unstemmed | Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests |
| title_short | Land-Use Change Scenarios and Their Implications for Bird Conservation in Subtropical Forests |
| title_sort | land use change scenarios and their implications for bird conservation in subtropical forests |
| topic | Bosques Cambio de Uso de la Tierra Conservación de la Diversidad Biológica Pájaros Forests Land Use Change Biodiversity Conservation Birds Región Chaqueña, Argentina |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/24822 https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/16/6/1001 https://doi.org/10.3390/f16061001 |
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