Functional Connectivity in Future Land-Use Change Scenarios as a Tool for Assessing Priority Conservation Areas for Key Bird Species: A Case Study from the Chaco Serrano

Planning conservation for multiple species while accounting for habitat availability and connectivity under uncertain land-use changes presents a major challenge. This study proposes a protocol to identify strategic conservation areas by assessing the functional connectivity of key bird species unde...

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Main Authors: Arcamone, Julieta Rocio, Silvetti, Luna Emilce, Bellis, Laura Marisa, Baldini, Carolina, Alvarez, María Paula, Naval-Fernández, María Cecilia, Albornoz, Jimena Victoria, Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio
Format: Artículo
Language:Inglés
Published: MDPI 2025
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/24819
https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/15/6874
https://doi.org/10.3390/su17156874
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author Arcamone, Julieta Rocio
Silvetti, Luna Emilce
Bellis, Laura Marisa
Baldini, Carolina
Alvarez, María Paula
Naval-Fernández, María Cecilia
Albornoz, Jimena Victoria
Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio
author_browse Albornoz, Jimena Victoria
Alvarez, María Paula
Arcamone, Julieta Rocio
Baldini, Carolina
Bellis, Laura Marisa
Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio
Naval-Fernández, María Cecilia
Silvetti, Luna Emilce
author_facet Arcamone, Julieta Rocio
Silvetti, Luna Emilce
Bellis, Laura Marisa
Baldini, Carolina
Alvarez, María Paula
Naval-Fernández, María Cecilia
Albornoz, Jimena Victoria
Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio
author_sort Arcamone, Julieta Rocio
collection INTA Digital
description Planning conservation for multiple species while accounting for habitat availability and connectivity under uncertain land-use changes presents a major challenge. This study proposes a protocol to identify strategic conservation areas by assessing the functional connectivity of key bird species under future land-use scenarios in the Chaco Serrano of Córdoba, Argentina. We modeled three land-use scenarios for 2050: business as usual, sustainability, and intensification. Using the Equivalent Connected Area index, we evaluated functional connectivity for Chlorostilbon lucidus, Polioptila dumicola, Dryocopus schulzii, Milvago chimango, and Saltator aurantiirostris for 1989, 2019, and 2050, incorporating information about habitat specialization and dispersal capacity to reflect differences in ecological responses. All species showed declining connectivity from 1989 to 2019, with further losses expected under future scenarios. Connectivity declines varied by species and were not always proportional to habitat loss, highlighting the complex relationship between land-use change and functional connectivity. Surprisingly, the sustainability scenario led to the greatest losses in connectivity, emphasizing that habitat preservation alone does not ensure connectivity. Using the Integral Connectivity Index, we identified habitat patches critical for maintaining connectivity, particularly those vulnerable under the business as usual scenario. With a spatial prioritization analysis we identified priority conservation areas to support future landscape connectivity. These findings underscore the importance of multispecies, connectivity-based planning and offer a transferable framework applicable to other regions.
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institution Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA -Argentina)
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spelling INTA248192025-12-30T14:09:43Z Functional Connectivity in Future Land-Use Change Scenarios as a Tool for Assessing Priority Conservation Areas for Key Bird Species: A Case Study from the Chaco Serrano Arcamone, Julieta Rocio Silvetti, Luna Emilce Bellis, Laura Marisa Baldini, Carolina Alvarez, María Paula Naval-Fernández, María Cecilia Albornoz, Jimena Victoria Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio Cambio de Uso de la Tierra Conservación de la Diversidad Biológica Pájaros Conservación de la Naturaleza Land Use Change Biodiversity Conservation Birds Nature Conservation Región Chaqueña, Argentina Planning conservation for multiple species while accounting for habitat availability and connectivity under uncertain land-use changes presents a major challenge. This study proposes a protocol to identify strategic conservation areas by assessing the functional connectivity of key bird species under future land-use scenarios in the Chaco Serrano of Córdoba, Argentina. We modeled three land-use scenarios for 2050: business as usual, sustainability, and intensification. Using the Equivalent Connected Area index, we evaluated functional connectivity for Chlorostilbon lucidus, Polioptila dumicola, Dryocopus schulzii, Milvago chimango, and Saltator aurantiirostris for 1989, 2019, and 2050, incorporating information about habitat specialization and dispersal capacity to reflect differences in ecological responses. All species showed declining connectivity from 1989 to 2019, with further losses expected under future scenarios. Connectivity declines varied by species and were not always proportional to habitat loss, highlighting the complex relationship between land-use change and functional connectivity. Surprisingly, the sustainability scenario led to the greatest losses in connectivity, emphasizing that habitat preservation alone does not ensure connectivity. Using the Integral Connectivity Index, we identified habitat patches critical for maintaining connectivity, particularly those vulnerable under the business as usual scenario. With a spatial prioritization analysis we identified priority conservation areas to support future landscape connectivity. These findings underscore the importance of multispecies, connectivity-based planning and offer a transferable framework applicable to other regions. Instituto de Fisiología y Recursos Genéticos Vegetales Fil: Arcamone, Julieta Rocio. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales “Mario Gulich”; Argentina Fil: Arcamone, Julieta Rocio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina Fil: Silvetti, Luna Emilce. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales “Mario Gulich”; Argentina Fil: Silvetti, Luna Emilce. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina Fil: Bellis, Laura Marisa. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales “Mario Gulich”; Argentina. Fil: Bellis, Laura Marisa. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina Fil: Bellis, Laura Marisa. Universidad Nacional de Córdoba. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas, Físicas y Naturales; Argentina Fil: Baldini, Carolina. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales “Mario Gulich”; Argentina Fil: Baldini, Carolina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina Fil: Alvarez, María Paula. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales “Mario Gulich”; Argentina. Fil: Alvarez, María Paula. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina Fil: Naval-Fernández, María Cecilia. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales “Mario Gulich”; Argentina. Fil: Naval-Fernández, María Cecilia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina Fil: Albornoz, Jimena Victoria. Instituto de Altos Estudios Espaciales “Mario Gulich”; Argentina Fil: Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA). Instituto de Fisiología y Recursos Genéticos Vegetales; Argentina Fil: Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Unidad de Estudios Agropecuarios (UDEA); Argentina 2025-12-30T14:07:35Z 2025-12-30T14:07:35Z 2025-07 info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/24819 https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/15/6874 2071-1050 https://doi.org/10.3390/su17156874 eng info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0) application/pdf MDPI Sustainability 17 (15) : 6874. (July 2025)
spellingShingle Cambio de Uso de la Tierra
Conservación de la Diversidad Biológica
Pájaros
Conservación de la Naturaleza
Land Use Change
Biodiversity Conservation
Birds
Nature Conservation
Región Chaqueña, Argentina
Arcamone, Julieta Rocio
Silvetti, Luna Emilce
Bellis, Laura Marisa
Baldini, Carolina
Alvarez, María Paula
Naval-Fernández, María Cecilia
Albornoz, Jimena Victoria
Gavier Pizarro, Gregorio Ignacio
Functional Connectivity in Future Land-Use Change Scenarios as a Tool for Assessing Priority Conservation Areas for Key Bird Species: A Case Study from the Chaco Serrano
title Functional Connectivity in Future Land-Use Change Scenarios as a Tool for Assessing Priority Conservation Areas for Key Bird Species: A Case Study from the Chaco Serrano
title_full Functional Connectivity in Future Land-Use Change Scenarios as a Tool for Assessing Priority Conservation Areas for Key Bird Species: A Case Study from the Chaco Serrano
title_fullStr Functional Connectivity in Future Land-Use Change Scenarios as a Tool for Assessing Priority Conservation Areas for Key Bird Species: A Case Study from the Chaco Serrano
title_full_unstemmed Functional Connectivity in Future Land-Use Change Scenarios as a Tool for Assessing Priority Conservation Areas for Key Bird Species: A Case Study from the Chaco Serrano
title_short Functional Connectivity in Future Land-Use Change Scenarios as a Tool for Assessing Priority Conservation Areas for Key Bird Species: A Case Study from the Chaco Serrano
title_sort functional connectivity in future land use change scenarios as a tool for assessing priority conservation areas for key bird species a case study from the chaco serrano
topic Cambio de Uso de la Tierra
Conservación de la Diversidad Biológica
Pájaros
Conservación de la Naturaleza
Land Use Change
Biodiversity Conservation
Birds
Nature Conservation
Región Chaqueña, Argentina
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/24819
https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/15/6874
https://doi.org/10.3390/su17156874
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