Weather-based logistic models to estimate total fumonisin levels in maize kernels at export terminals in Argentina
Maize fumonisin (FB) contamination is strongly driven by the weather conditions and crop resistance. Logistic regression techniques were used to quantify the effect of weather-based variables on total FB content in kernel samples coming from many locations of the Argentinean Pampas region (over thre...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Artículo |
| Language: | Inglés |
| Published: |
2018
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| Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/1909 https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40858-017-0199-4# https://doi.org/10.1007/s40858-017-0199-4 |
| _version_ | 1855482962030624768 |
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| author | Sancho, Ana Maria Moschini, Ricardo Carlos Fillipini, S. Rojas, Dante Emanuel Ricca, Alejandra Patricia |
| author_browse | Fillipini, S. Moschini, Ricardo Carlos Ricca, Alejandra Patricia Rojas, Dante Emanuel Sancho, Ana Maria |
| author_facet | Sancho, Ana Maria Moschini, Ricardo Carlos Fillipini, S. Rojas, Dante Emanuel Ricca, Alejandra Patricia |
| author_sort | Sancho, Ana Maria |
| collection | INTA Digital |
| description | Maize fumonisin (FB) contamination is strongly driven by the weather conditions and crop resistance. Logistic regression techniques were used to quantify the effect of weather-based variables on total FB content in kernel samples coming from many locations of the Argentinean Pampas region (over three growing seasons), and collected immediately after arriving at export terminals. The samples were analyzed by the HPLC method and grouped according to their proximity to the available weather stations (n = 52). The highest correlations between binary and ordinal FB levels and weather variables were found in an early critical period (17 December to 15 January) where maize silking phase (Si) frequently occurs and in a late period (15 February to 2 April) around physiological maturity (PM). The best-fitted models included variables calculated around Si that would meet the requirements of infection of F. verticillioides (precipitation-induced wetness events, high humidity and warm temperatures). Around PM, the effect of the number of days with precipitation combined with lower temperatures (13.3° to 25 °C) that would slow the kernel drying process was included, increasing the FB accumulation. An integrated system for FB management in the maize value chain should use validated weather-based models as tools for estimating seasonal kernel FB contamination levels in the Pampas region, being able to improve kernel sampling efficiency at export terminals and mills. |
| format | Artículo |
| id | INTA1909 |
| institution | Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA -Argentina) |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2018 |
| publishDateRange | 2018 |
| publishDateSort | 2018 |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | INTA19092019-06-10T17:42:02Z Weather-based logistic models to estimate total fumonisin levels in maize kernels at export terminals in Argentina Sancho, Ana Maria Moschini, Ricardo Carlos Fillipini, S. Rojas, Dante Emanuel Ricca, Alejandra Patricia Fusarium Fumonisinas Maíz Germen Exportaciones Logística Datos Meteorológicos Fumonisins Maize Kernels Exports Logistics Weather Data Fusarium Verticillioides Argentina Maize fumonisin (FB) contamination is strongly driven by the weather conditions and crop resistance. Logistic regression techniques were used to quantify the effect of weather-based variables on total FB content in kernel samples coming from many locations of the Argentinean Pampas region (over three growing seasons), and collected immediately after arriving at export terminals. The samples were analyzed by the HPLC method and grouped according to their proximity to the available weather stations (n = 52). The highest correlations between binary and ordinal FB levels and weather variables were found in an early critical period (17 December to 15 January) where maize silking phase (Si) frequently occurs and in a late period (15 February to 2 April) around physiological maturity (PM). The best-fitted models included variables calculated around Si that would meet the requirements of infection of F. verticillioides (precipitation-induced wetness events, high humidity and warm temperatures). Around PM, the effect of the number of days with precipitation combined with lower temperatures (13.3° to 25 °C) that would slow the kernel drying process was included, increasing the FB accumulation. An integrated system for FB management in the maize value chain should use validated weather-based models as tools for estimating seasonal kernel FB contamination levels in the Pampas region, being able to improve kernel sampling efficiency at export terminals and mills. Instituto de Tecnología de Alimentos Fil: Sancho, Ana María. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA). Instituto Tecnología Alimentos; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de Luján; Argentina Fil: Moschini, Ricardo Carlos. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA). Instituto de Clima y Agua; Argentina Fil: Fillipini, S. Universidad Nacional de Luján; Argentina Fil: Rojas, Dante Emanuel. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA). Instituto Tecnología Alimentos; Argentina Fil: Ricca, Alejandra Patricia. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA). Instituto Tecnología Alimentos; Argentina 2018-02-28T14:45:07Z 2018-02-28T14:45:07Z 2017-11 info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/1909 https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40858-017-0199-4# 1983-2052 (Online) https://doi.org/10.1007/s40858-017-0199-4 eng info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess application/pdf Argentina (nation) Tropical plant pathology. (November 2017) |
| spellingShingle | Fusarium Fumonisinas Maíz Germen Exportaciones Logística Datos Meteorológicos Fumonisins Maize Kernels Exports Logistics Weather Data Fusarium Verticillioides Argentina Sancho, Ana Maria Moschini, Ricardo Carlos Fillipini, S. Rojas, Dante Emanuel Ricca, Alejandra Patricia Weather-based logistic models to estimate total fumonisin levels in maize kernels at export terminals in Argentina |
| title | Weather-based logistic models to estimate total fumonisin levels in maize kernels at export terminals in Argentina |
| title_full | Weather-based logistic models to estimate total fumonisin levels in maize kernels at export terminals in Argentina |
| title_fullStr | Weather-based logistic models to estimate total fumonisin levels in maize kernels at export terminals in Argentina |
| title_full_unstemmed | Weather-based logistic models to estimate total fumonisin levels in maize kernels at export terminals in Argentina |
| title_short | Weather-based logistic models to estimate total fumonisin levels in maize kernels at export terminals in Argentina |
| title_sort | weather based logistic models to estimate total fumonisin levels in maize kernels at export terminals in argentina |
| topic | Fusarium Fumonisinas Maíz Germen Exportaciones Logística Datos Meteorológicos Fumonisins Maize Kernels Exports Logistics Weather Data Fusarium Verticillioides Argentina |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/1909 https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40858-017-0199-4# https://doi.org/10.1007/s40858-017-0199-4 |
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