Quantitative risk assessment of FMDV introduction in a FMD free country through bone-in beef and offal importation from a FMD free with vaccination country/zone
Quantitative risk assessment was used to estimate the risk of introducing foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) through bone-in beef from Argentina (FMD-free with vaccination status) into other FMD-free countries. A stochastic model was built to characterize all the steps from primary production to bone-in b...
| Autores principales: | , , , , |
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| Formato: | Artículo |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
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Elsevier
2024
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| Acceso en línea: | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/16549 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167587723001599 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2023.105995 |
| _version_ | 1855485785265930240 |
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| author | Brusa, Victoria Durrieu, María Van Gelderen, Carlos Signorini Porchiett, Marcelo Lisandro Schudel, Alejandro |
| author_browse | Brusa, Victoria Durrieu, María Schudel, Alejandro Signorini Porchiett, Marcelo Lisandro Van Gelderen, Carlos |
| author_facet | Brusa, Victoria Durrieu, María Van Gelderen, Carlos Signorini Porchiett, Marcelo Lisandro Schudel, Alejandro |
| author_sort | Brusa, Victoria |
| collection | INTA Digital |
| description | Quantitative risk assessment was used to estimate the risk of introducing foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) through bone-in beef from Argentina (FMD-free with vaccination status) into other FMD-free countries. A stochastic model was built to characterize all the steps from primary production to bone-in beef export and introduction into an FMD-free country. The probability that bone-in beef from at least one animal infected with the FMD virus (FMDV) was exported during a year was 5.27 × 10−3 (95% CI <10−10 – 5.19 x 10–2) or in other words one case in 190 years. The risk of FMDV introduction was sensitive to the probability of an outbreak occurring in Argentina (r [Spearman´s rank correlation] = 0.99) and the number of herds affected during an outbreak (r = 0.10). Additionally, the probability that susceptible animals in the importing country came into contact with infective material (bones) and generated an outbreak was 6.16 × 10−4 (95% CI <10−10 – 6.20 ×10−3) or one FMD outbreak every 1623 years on average. Based on the quantitative risk assessment results, the probability of FMDV introduction into a FMD-free country where vaccination is not practiced from a FMD-free country where vaccination is practiced associated with bone-in beef trade from Argentina was negligible. The risk of an FMD outbreak caused by the potential introduction of the FMDV was associated with the existing conditions in the country. Thus, maintaining the FMD-free status with or without vaccination would not be relevant. |
| format | Artículo |
| id | INTA16549 |
| institution | Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA -Argentina) |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2024 |
| publishDateRange | 2024 |
| publishDateSort | 2024 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| publisherStr | Elsevier |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | INTA165492024-01-12T15:35:31Z Quantitative risk assessment of FMDV introduction in a FMD free country through bone-in beef and offal importation from a FMD free with vaccination country/zone Brusa, Victoria Durrieu, María Van Gelderen, Carlos Signorini Porchiett, Marcelo Lisandro Schudel, Alejandro Evaluación de Riesgos Enfermedades de los Animales Fiebre Aftosa Ganado Bovino Vacunación Comercio Risk Assessment Animal Diseases Foot-and-mouth Disease Cattle Vaccination Trade Quantitative risk assessment was used to estimate the risk of introducing foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) through bone-in beef from Argentina (FMD-free with vaccination status) into other FMD-free countries. A stochastic model was built to characterize all the steps from primary production to bone-in beef export and introduction into an FMD-free country. The probability that bone-in beef from at least one animal infected with the FMD virus (FMDV) was exported during a year was 5.27 × 10−3 (95% CI <10−10 – 5.19 x 10–2) or in other words one case in 190 years. The risk of FMDV introduction was sensitive to the probability of an outbreak occurring in Argentina (r [Spearman´s rank correlation] = 0.99) and the number of herds affected during an outbreak (r = 0.10). Additionally, the probability that susceptible animals in the importing country came into contact with infective material (bones) and generated an outbreak was 6.16 × 10−4 (95% CI <10−10 – 6.20 ×10−3) or one FMD outbreak every 1623 years on average. Based on the quantitative risk assessment results, the probability of FMDV introduction into a FMD-free country where vaccination is not practiced from a FMD-free country where vaccination is practiced associated with bone-in beef trade from Argentina was negligible. The risk of an FMD outbreak caused by the potential introduction of the FMDV was associated with the existing conditions in the country. Thus, maintaining the FMD-free status with or without vaccination would not be relevant. EEA Rafaela Fil: Brusa, Victoria. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico CONICET- La Plata. Instituto de Genética Veterinaria "Ing. Fernando Noel Dulout"; Argentina Fil: Brusa, Victoria. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Veterinarias. Instituto de Genética Veterinaria "Ing. Fernando Noel Dulout"; Argentina Fil: Durrieu, María. Fundación Prosaia; Argentina Fil: Van Gelderen, Carlos. Fundación Prosaia; Argentina Fil: Fil: Signorini, Marcelo. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA). Estación Experimental Agropecuaria Rafaela. Instituto de Investigación de la Cadena Láctea (IDICAL); Argentina Fil: Signorini, Marcelo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Instituto de Investigación de la Cadena Láctea (IDICAL); Argentina Fil: Schudel, Alejandro. Fundación Prosaia; Argentina 2024-01-12T15:32:41Z 2024-01-12T15:32:41Z 2023-09 info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/16549 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167587723001599 0167-5877 1873-1716 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2023.105995 eng info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0) application/pdf Elsevier Preventive Veterinary Medicine 218 : 105995. (September 2023) |
| spellingShingle | Evaluación de Riesgos Enfermedades de los Animales Fiebre Aftosa Ganado Bovino Vacunación Comercio Risk Assessment Animal Diseases Foot-and-mouth Disease Cattle Vaccination Trade Brusa, Victoria Durrieu, María Van Gelderen, Carlos Signorini Porchiett, Marcelo Lisandro Schudel, Alejandro Quantitative risk assessment of FMDV introduction in a FMD free country through bone-in beef and offal importation from a FMD free with vaccination country/zone |
| title | Quantitative risk assessment of FMDV introduction in a FMD free country through bone-in beef and offal importation from a FMD free with vaccination country/zone |
| title_full | Quantitative risk assessment of FMDV introduction in a FMD free country through bone-in beef and offal importation from a FMD free with vaccination country/zone |
| title_fullStr | Quantitative risk assessment of FMDV introduction in a FMD free country through bone-in beef and offal importation from a FMD free with vaccination country/zone |
| title_full_unstemmed | Quantitative risk assessment of FMDV introduction in a FMD free country through bone-in beef and offal importation from a FMD free with vaccination country/zone |
| title_short | Quantitative risk assessment of FMDV introduction in a FMD free country through bone-in beef and offal importation from a FMD free with vaccination country/zone |
| title_sort | quantitative risk assessment of fmdv introduction in a fmd free country through bone in beef and offal importation from a fmd free with vaccination country zone |
| topic | Evaluación de Riesgos Enfermedades de los Animales Fiebre Aftosa Ganado Bovino Vacunación Comercio Risk Assessment Animal Diseases Foot-and-mouth Disease Cattle Vaccination Trade |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/16549 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167587723001599 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2023.105995 |
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