Third Consecutive La Niña? What to Expect from Soybean Yields in the United States, Brazil and Argentina
International long-term forecast models hint at the possibility of a third consecutive La Niña event this year. It is not uncommon to see La Niña occurring over two successive seasons. This happened in both 2021-2022 and 2011-2012. However, it is rare to see three consecutive La Niña events. But wha...
| Autores principales: | , , |
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| Formato: | Artículo |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
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University of Illinois
2022
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| Acceso en línea: | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/13054 https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2022/05/third-consecutive-la-nina-what-to-expect-from-soybean-yields-in-the-united-states-brazil-and-argentina.html |
| _version_ | 1855485095819870208 |
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| author | Cabrini, Silvina María Colussi, Joana Schnitkey, Gary |
| author_browse | Cabrini, Silvina María Colussi, Joana Schnitkey, Gary |
| author_facet | Cabrini, Silvina María Colussi, Joana Schnitkey, Gary |
| author_sort | Cabrini, Silvina María |
| collection | INTA Digital |
| description | International long-term forecast models hint at the possibility of a third consecutive La Niña event this year. It is not uncommon to see La Niña occurring over two successive seasons. This happened in both 2021-2022 and 2011-2012. However, it is rare to see three consecutive La Niña events. But what could this mean for soybean production in Brazil, the United States, and Argentina? This article presents descriptive analyses of deviations from the trendline of soybean yields over the last 30 years in these countries, the three largest producers and exporters of soybeans in the world, to predict what to expect from soybean yields this year. Although, the strength of individual La Niña events and various climate factors make each event unique. |
| format | Artículo |
| id | INTA13054 |
| institution | Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA -Argentina) |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2022 |
| publishDateRange | 2022 |
| publishDateSort | 2022 |
| publisher | University of Illinois |
| publisherStr | University of Illinois |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | INTA130542022-10-05T12:11:10Z Third Consecutive La Niña? What to Expect from Soybean Yields in the United States, Brazil and Argentina Cabrini, Silvina María Colussi, Joana Schnitkey, Gary Soja Rendimiento Brasil Estados Unidos Argentina Soybeans Yields Fenómeno La Niña International long-term forecast models hint at the possibility of a third consecutive La Niña event this year. It is not uncommon to see La Niña occurring over two successive seasons. This happened in both 2021-2022 and 2011-2012. However, it is rare to see three consecutive La Niña events. But what could this mean for soybean production in Brazil, the United States, and Argentina? This article presents descriptive analyses of deviations from the trendline of soybean yields over the last 30 years in these countries, the three largest producers and exporters of soybeans in the world, to predict what to expect from soybean yields this year. Although, the strength of individual La Niña events and various climate factors make each event unique. Los modelos internacionales de pronóstico a largo plazo apuntan a la posibilidad de un tercer evento consecutivo de La Niña este año. No es raro ver que La Niña ocurra durante dos temporadas sucesivas. Esto sucedió tanto en 2021-2022 como en 2011-2012. Sin embargo, es raro ver tres eventos consecutivos de La Niña. Pero, ¿qué podría significar esto para la producción de soja en Brasil, Estados Unidos y Argentina? Este artículo presenta análisis descriptivos de las desviaciones de la línea de tendencia de los rendimientos de soja durante los últimos 30 años en estos países, los tres mayores productores y exportadores de soja del mundo, para predecir qué esperar de los rendimientos de soja este año. Aunque, la fuerza de los eventos individuales de La Niña y varios factores climáticos hacen que cada evento sea único. Estación Experimental Agropecuaria Pergamino Fil: Cabrini, Silvina María. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA). Estación Experimental Agropecuaria Pergamino; Argentina Fil: Colussi, Joana. University of Illinois. Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics; Estados Unidos Fil: Schnitkey, Gary. University of Illinois. Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics; Estados Unidos 2022-10-05T12:06:30Z 2022-10-05T12:06:30Z 2022-05-23 info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/13054 https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2022/05/third-consecutive-la-nina-what-to-expect-from-soybean-yields-in-the-united-states-brazil-and-argentina.html eng info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0) application/pdf University of Illinois Farmdoc daily (12) : 75. (2022) |
| spellingShingle | Soja Rendimiento Brasil Estados Unidos Argentina Soybeans Yields Fenómeno La Niña Cabrini, Silvina María Colussi, Joana Schnitkey, Gary Third Consecutive La Niña? What to Expect from Soybean Yields in the United States, Brazil and Argentina |
| title | Third Consecutive La Niña? What to Expect from Soybean Yields in the United States, Brazil and Argentina |
| title_full | Third Consecutive La Niña? What to Expect from Soybean Yields in the United States, Brazil and Argentina |
| title_fullStr | Third Consecutive La Niña? What to Expect from Soybean Yields in the United States, Brazil and Argentina |
| title_full_unstemmed | Third Consecutive La Niña? What to Expect from Soybean Yields in the United States, Brazil and Argentina |
| title_short | Third Consecutive La Niña? What to Expect from Soybean Yields in the United States, Brazil and Argentina |
| title_sort | third consecutive la nina what to expect from soybean yields in the united states brazil and argentina |
| topic | Soja Rendimiento Brasil Estados Unidos Argentina Soybeans Yields Fenómeno La Niña |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/13054 https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2022/05/third-consecutive-la-nina-what-to-expect-from-soybean-yields-in-the-united-states-brazil-and-argentina.html |
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