Wheat Outlook After Five Months of War in Ukraine

Even with the projection of increased wheat production in some countries, the world harvest is expected to be a little smaller as a result of effects of the war in Ukraine. Global production for the marketing year 2022/2023 is estimated to be 771.64 million metric tons, down 7.4 million tons (-1%) f...

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Autores principales: Colussi, Joana, Schnitkey, Gary, Cabrini, Silvina María
Formato: Artículo
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: University of Illinois 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/12988
https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2022/08/wheat-outlook-after-five-months-of-war-in-ukraine.html
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author Colussi, Joana
Schnitkey, Gary
Cabrini, Silvina María
author_browse Cabrini, Silvina María
Colussi, Joana
Schnitkey, Gary
author_facet Colussi, Joana
Schnitkey, Gary
Cabrini, Silvina María
author_sort Colussi, Joana
collection INTA Digital
description Even with the projection of increased wheat production in some countries, the world harvest is expected to be a little smaller as a result of effects of the war in Ukraine. Global production for the marketing year 2022/2023 is estimated to be 771.64 million metric tons, down 7.4 million tons (-1%) from last year, according to the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) projection. Canada, Russia, and Brazil expect to have larger harvests, while Ukraine, Australia, and Argentina are expected to be smaller. Soon after the beginning of the war, the expectation was that Argentina and Brazil, the primary wheatproducing nations in South America (see farmdoc daily April 8, 2022), could increase the planting of wheat. Brazil increased hectares while Argentina did not. Meanwhile, Russia and Ukraine agreed to reopen Ukrainian Black Sea ports for grain exports on July 22, raising hopes that an international food crisis aggravated by the Russian invasion can be averted. On August 1st the first grain ship departed from Odessa port in Ukraine since the conflict started last February. However, Ukraine farmers and others have doubts about blockade on grain shipments easing. The two nations combined shipped over 50 million metric tons of wheat last year, according to data from the USDA
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spelling INTA129882022-10-05T12:11:42Z Wheat Outlook After Five Months of War in Ukraine Colussi, Joana Schnitkey, Gary Cabrini, Silvina María Trigo Crisis Económica Crisis Agrícola Wheat Economic Crises Agricultural Crises Ukraine Ucrania Even with the projection of increased wheat production in some countries, the world harvest is expected to be a little smaller as a result of effects of the war in Ukraine. Global production for the marketing year 2022/2023 is estimated to be 771.64 million metric tons, down 7.4 million tons (-1%) from last year, according to the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) projection. Canada, Russia, and Brazil expect to have larger harvests, while Ukraine, Australia, and Argentina are expected to be smaller. Soon after the beginning of the war, the expectation was that Argentina and Brazil, the primary wheatproducing nations in South America (see farmdoc daily April 8, 2022), could increase the planting of wheat. Brazil increased hectares while Argentina did not. Meanwhile, Russia and Ukraine agreed to reopen Ukrainian Black Sea ports for grain exports on July 22, raising hopes that an international food crisis aggravated by the Russian invasion can be averted. On August 1st the first grain ship departed from Odessa port in Ukraine since the conflict started last February. However, Ukraine farmers and others have doubts about blockade on grain shipments easing. The two nations combined shipped over 50 million metric tons of wheat last year, according to data from the USDA Aún con la proyección de mayor producción de trigo en algunos países, se espera la cosecha mundial sea un poco más pequeña como resultado de los efectos de la guerra en Ucrania. En la producción global para la campaña de comercialización se estima que 2022/2023 será de 771,64 millones de toneladas métricas, 7,4 millones de toneladas menos (-1%) que el año pasado, según la proyección del Departamento de Agricultura de los Estados Unidos (USDA). Canadá, Rusia y Brasil esperan tener cosechas más grandes, mientras que Ucrania, Australia y Argentina se espera que sean más pequeñas. Después del inicio de la guerra, la expectativa era que Argentina y Brasil, las principales naciones productoras de trigo en América del Sur (ver diario farmdoc 8 de abril de 2022), pudieran aumentar la siembra de trigo. Brasil aumentó hectáreas mientras que Argentina no lo hizo. Mientras tanto, Rusia y Ucrania acordaron reabrir los puertos ucranianos del Mar Negro para las exportaciones de granos el 22 de julio, aumentando la esperanza de que se pueda evitar una crisis alimentaria internacional agravada por la invasión rusa. El 1 de agosto partió del puerto de Odessa en Ucrania el primer barco de granos desde que comenzó el conflicto en febrero pasado. Sin embargo, los agricultores de Ucrania y otros tienen dudas sobre la relajación del bloqueo de los envíos de granos. Las naciones combinadas enviaron más de 50 millones de toneladas métricas de trigo el año pasado, según datos de la USDA. Estación Experimental Agropecuaria Pergamino Fil: Colussi, Joana. University of Illinois. Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics; Estados Unidos Fil: Schnitkey, Gary. University of Illinois. Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics; Estados Unidos Fil: Cabrini, Silvina María. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA). Estación Experimental Agropecuaria Pergamino; Argentina 2022-09-28T10:28:28Z 2022-09-28T10:28:28Z 2022-08-01 info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/12988 https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2022/08/wheat-outlook-after-five-months-of-war-in-ukraine.html eng info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0) application/pdf University of Illinois Farmdoc daily (12) : 112. (2022)
spellingShingle Trigo
Crisis Económica
Crisis Agrícola
Wheat
Economic Crises
Agricultural Crises
Ukraine
Ucrania
Colussi, Joana
Schnitkey, Gary
Cabrini, Silvina María
Wheat Outlook After Five Months of War in Ukraine
title Wheat Outlook After Five Months of War in Ukraine
title_full Wheat Outlook After Five Months of War in Ukraine
title_fullStr Wheat Outlook After Five Months of War in Ukraine
title_full_unstemmed Wheat Outlook After Five Months of War in Ukraine
title_short Wheat Outlook After Five Months of War in Ukraine
title_sort wheat outlook after five months of war in ukraine
topic Trigo
Crisis Económica
Crisis Agrícola
Wheat
Economic Crises
Agricultural Crises
Ukraine
Ucrania
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/12988
https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2022/08/wheat-outlook-after-five-months-of-war-in-ukraine.html
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