Analyzing urban expansion and land use dynamics in Bagua Grande and Chachapoyas using cloud computing and predictive modeling

02/12/2024: Correction: Analyzing Urban Expansion and Land Use Dynamics in Bagua Grande and Chachapoyas Using Cloud Computing and Predictive Modeling Correction to: Earth Systems and Environmenthttps://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-024-00470-5 In this paper, author would like to replace the existing figu...

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Autores principales: Barboza, Elgar, Turpo, Efrain Y., Salas Lopez, Rolando, Silva López, Jhonsy O., Cruz Luis, Juancarlos Alejandro, Vásquez, Héctor V., Purohit, Sanju, Aslam, Muhammad, Tariq, Aqil
Formato: Artículo
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Springer Nature 2024
Materias:
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12955/2624
https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-024-00470-5
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author Barboza, Elgar
Turpo, Efrain Y.
Salas Lopez, Rolando
Silva López, Jhonsy O.
Cruz Luis, Juancarlos Alejandro
Vásquez, Héctor V.
Purohit, Sanju
Aslam, Muhammad
Tariq, Aqil
author_browse Aslam, Muhammad
Barboza, Elgar
Cruz Luis, Juancarlos Alejandro
Purohit, Sanju
Salas Lopez, Rolando
Silva López, Jhonsy O.
Tariq, Aqil
Turpo, Efrain Y.
Vásquez, Héctor V.
author_facet Barboza, Elgar
Turpo, Efrain Y.
Salas Lopez, Rolando
Silva López, Jhonsy O.
Cruz Luis, Juancarlos Alejandro
Vásquez, Héctor V.
Purohit, Sanju
Aslam, Muhammad
Tariq, Aqil
author_sort Barboza, Elgar
collection Repositorio INIA
description 02/12/2024: Correction: Analyzing Urban Expansion and Land Use Dynamics in Bagua Grande and Chachapoyas Using Cloud Computing and Predictive Modeling Correction to: Earth Systems and Environmenthttps://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-024-00470-5 In this paper, author would like to replace the existing figures with the correct figures for Figure 3, Figure 6, and Figure 8. Further to this he would like to add e-mail id of the authors Sanju Purohit and Muhammad Aslam. Cite: Barboza, E.; Turpo, E. Y.; Lopez, R. S.; Silva-López, J. O.; Cruz, J.; Vásquez, H. V.; ... & Tariq, A. (2024). Correction: Analyzing urban expansion and land use dynamics in Bagua Grande and Chachapoyas using cloud computing and predictive modeling. Earth Systems and Environment, 1-17. doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-024-00523-9
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institution Institucional Nacional de Innovación Agraria
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spelling INIA26242025-06-05T14:12:11Z Analyzing urban expansion and land use dynamics in Bagua Grande and Chachapoyas using cloud computing and predictive modeling Barboza, Elgar Turpo, Efrain Y. Salas Lopez, Rolando Silva López, Jhonsy O. Cruz Luis, Juancarlos Alejandro Vásquez, Héctor V. Purohit, Sanju Aslam, Muhammad Tariq, Aqil Cloud computing Time series Forests Urban planning MOLUSCE https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#4.01.02 Land use 02/12/2024: Correction: Analyzing Urban Expansion and Land Use Dynamics in Bagua Grande and Chachapoyas Using Cloud Computing and Predictive Modeling Correction to: Earth Systems and Environmenthttps://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-024-00470-5 In this paper, author would like to replace the existing figures with the correct figures for Figure 3, Figure 6, and Figure 8. Further to this he would like to add e-mail id of the authors Sanju Purohit and Muhammad Aslam. Cite: Barboza, E.; Turpo, E. Y.; Lopez, R. S.; Silva-López, J. O.; Cruz, J.; Vásquez, H. V.; ... & Tariq, A. (2024). Correction: Analyzing urban expansion and land use dynamics in Bagua Grande and Chachapoyas using cloud computing and predictive modeling. Earth Systems and Environment, 1-17. doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-024-00523-9 Urban growth and Land Use/Land Cover (LULC) changes have increased in recent decades due to anthropogenic activities. This study explored past and projected future LULC changes and urban growth patterns in the Bagua Grande and Chachapoyas districts using Landsat imagery, cloud computing, and predictive models for 1990 to 2031. The analysis of satellite images was grouped into four time periods (1990–2000, 2000–2011, 2011–2021 and 2021–2031). The Google Earth Engine (GEE) cloud-based system facilitated the classification of Landsat 5 ETM (1990, 2000, and 2011) and Landsat 8 OLI (2021) images using the Random Forest (RF) model. A simulation model integrating Cellular Automata (CA) and an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) in the MOLUSCE plugin of QGIS was used to forecast urban sprawl to 2031. The resulting maps showed an overall accuracy (OA) of over 92%. A decrease in forested area was observed, from 20,807.97 ha in 1990 to 14,629.44 ha in 2021 in Bagua Grande and from 7,796.08 ha to 3,598.19 ha in Chachapoyas. In contrast, urban areas experienced a significant increase, from 287.49 to 1,128.77 ha in Bagua Grande and from 185.65 to 924.50 ha in Chachapoyas between 1990 and 2021. By 2031, the urban area of Bagua Grande is expected to increase from 1,128.77 to 1,459.25 ha (29%) in a southeast, south, southwest, west, and northwest direction. Chachapoyas expanded from 924.50 to 1138.05 ha (23%) in the southwest, north, northeast, and southeast directions. The study presents an analytical method integrating cloud processing, GIS, and change simulation modeling to evaluate urban growth spatio-temporal patterns and LULC changes. This approach effectively identified the main LULC changes and trends in the study area. In addition, potential urbanization areas are highlighted where there are still opportunities for developing planned and managed urban settlements. 2024-12-26T04:59:21Z 2024-12-26T04:59:21Z 2024-09-26 info:eu-repo/semantics/article Barboza, E.; Turpo, E. Y.; Salas-Lopez, R.; Silva López, Jhonsy O.; Cruz Luis, J.; Vásquez, H. V.; Purohit, S.; Aslam, M.; & Tariq, A. (2024). Analyzing urban expansion and land use dynamics in Bagua Grande and Chachapoyas using cloud computing and predictive modeling. Earth Systems and Environment. doi: 10.1007/s41748-024-00470-5 2509-9434 http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12955/2624 https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-024-00470-5 eng urn:issn:2509-9434 Earth Systems and Environment info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess application/pdf Springer Nature CH Instituto Nacional de Innovación Agraria Repositorio Institucional - INIA
spellingShingle Cloud computing
Time series
Forests
Urban planning
MOLUSCE
https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#4.01.02
Land use
Barboza, Elgar
Turpo, Efrain Y.
Salas Lopez, Rolando
Silva López, Jhonsy O.
Cruz Luis, Juancarlos Alejandro
Vásquez, Héctor V.
Purohit, Sanju
Aslam, Muhammad
Tariq, Aqil
Analyzing urban expansion and land use dynamics in Bagua Grande and Chachapoyas using cloud computing and predictive modeling
title Analyzing urban expansion and land use dynamics in Bagua Grande and Chachapoyas using cloud computing and predictive modeling
title_full Analyzing urban expansion and land use dynamics in Bagua Grande and Chachapoyas using cloud computing and predictive modeling
title_fullStr Analyzing urban expansion and land use dynamics in Bagua Grande and Chachapoyas using cloud computing and predictive modeling
title_full_unstemmed Analyzing urban expansion and land use dynamics in Bagua Grande and Chachapoyas using cloud computing and predictive modeling
title_short Analyzing urban expansion and land use dynamics in Bagua Grande and Chachapoyas using cloud computing and predictive modeling
title_sort analyzing urban expansion and land use dynamics in bagua grande and chachapoyas using cloud computing and predictive modeling
topic Cloud computing
Time series
Forests
Urban planning
MOLUSCE
https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#4.01.02
Land use
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12955/2624
https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-024-00470-5
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