Modeling the current and future habitat suitability of Neltuma pallida in the dry forest of northern Peru under climate change scenarios to 2100
The development of anthropic activities and climate change effects impact worldwide species' ecosystems and habitats. Habitats' adequate prediction can be an important tool to assess current and future trends. In addition, it allows strategies development for their conservation. The Neltuma pallida...
| Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Formato: | info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
John Wiley & Sons Inc.
2024
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12955/2562 https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.70158 |
| _version_ | 1855028700678979584 |
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| author | Barboza Castillo, Elgar Bravo Morales, Nino Cotrina Sanchez, Alexander Salazar Coronel, Wilian Gálvez Paucar, David Gonzales, Jhony Saravia Navarro, David Valqui Valqui, Lamberto Cárdenas Rengifo, Gloria Patricia Ocaña Reyes, Jimmy Alcides Cruz Luis, Juancarlos Arbizu Berrocal, Carlos Irvin |
| author_browse | Arbizu Berrocal, Carlos Irvin Barboza Castillo, Elgar Bravo Morales, Nino Cotrina Sanchez, Alexander Cruz Luis, Juancarlos Cárdenas Rengifo, Gloria Patricia Gonzales, Jhony Gálvez Paucar, David Ocaña Reyes, Jimmy Alcides Salazar Coronel, Wilian Saravia Navarro, David Valqui Valqui, Lamberto |
| author_facet | Barboza Castillo, Elgar Bravo Morales, Nino Cotrina Sanchez, Alexander Salazar Coronel, Wilian Gálvez Paucar, David Gonzales, Jhony Saravia Navarro, David Valqui Valqui, Lamberto Cárdenas Rengifo, Gloria Patricia Ocaña Reyes, Jimmy Alcides Cruz Luis, Juancarlos Arbizu Berrocal, Carlos Irvin |
| author_sort | Barboza Castillo, Elgar |
| collection | Repositorio INIA |
| description | The development of anthropic activities and climate change effects impact worldwide species' ecosystems and habitats. Habitats' adequate prediction can be an important tool to assess current and future trends. In addition, it allows strategies development for their conservation. The Neltuma pallida of the forest region in northern Peru, although very significant, has experienced a decline in recent years. The objective of this research is to evaluate the current and future distribution and conservation status of N. pallida in the Peruvian dry forest under climate change (Location: Republic of Peru). A total of 132 forest presence records and 10 variables (bioclimatic, topographic, and soil) were processed and selected to obtain the current and future distribution for 2100, using Google Earth Engine (GEE), RStudio, and MaxEnt. The area under the curve values fell within the range of 0.93–0.95, demonstrating a strong predictive capability for both present and future potential habitats. The findings indicated that the likely range of habitats for N. pallida was shaped by factors such as the average temperature of wettest quarter, maximum temperature of warmest month, elevation, rainfall, and precipitation of driest month. The main suitable areas were in the central regions of the geographical departments of Tumbes, Piura, and Lambayeque, as well as in the northern part of La Libertad. It is critical to determine the habitat suitability of plant species for conservation managers since this information stimulates the development of policies that favor sustainable use programs. In addition, these results can contribute significantly to identify new areas for designing strategies for populations conserving and recovering with an ecological restoration approach. |
| format | info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
| id | INIA2562 |
| institution | Institucional Nacional de Innovación Agraria |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2024 |
| publishDateRange | 2024 |
| publishDateSort | 2024 |
| publisher | John Wiley & Sons Inc. |
| publisherStr | John Wiley & Sons Inc. |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | INIA25622024-09-02T17:21:38Z Modeling the current and future habitat suitability of Neltuma pallida in the dry forest of northern Peru under climate change scenarios to 2100 Barboza Castillo, Elgar Bravo Morales, Nino Cotrina Sanchez, Alexander Salazar Coronel, Wilian Gálvez Paucar, David Gonzales, Jhony Saravia Navarro, David Valqui Valqui, Lamberto Cárdenas Rengifo, Gloria Patricia Ocaña Reyes, Jimmy Alcides Cruz Luis, Juancarlos Arbizu Berrocal, Carlos Irvin Biodiversity Coastal dry forest Google earth engine Habitat MaxEnt https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#1.06.06 Biodiversity Biodiversidad Dry forests Bosque seco Satellite imagery Imagen por satélite Habitats Habitat Entropy Entropía The development of anthropic activities and climate change effects impact worldwide species' ecosystems and habitats. Habitats' adequate prediction can be an important tool to assess current and future trends. In addition, it allows strategies development for their conservation. The Neltuma pallida of the forest region in northern Peru, although very significant, has experienced a decline in recent years. The objective of this research is to evaluate the current and future distribution and conservation status of N. pallida in the Peruvian dry forest under climate change (Location: Republic of Peru). A total of 132 forest presence records and 10 variables (bioclimatic, topographic, and soil) were processed and selected to obtain the current and future distribution for 2100, using Google Earth Engine (GEE), RStudio, and MaxEnt. The area under the curve values fell within the range of 0.93–0.95, demonstrating a strong predictive capability for both present and future potential habitats. The findings indicated that the likely range of habitats for N. pallida was shaped by factors such as the average temperature of wettest quarter, maximum temperature of warmest month, elevation, rainfall, and precipitation of driest month. The main suitable areas were in the central regions of the geographical departments of Tumbes, Piura, and Lambayeque, as well as in the northern part of La Libertad. It is critical to determine the habitat suitability of plant species for conservation managers since this information stimulates the development of policies that favor sustainable use programs. In addition, these results can contribute significantly to identify new areas for designing strategies for populations conserving and recovering with an ecological restoration approach. This research was funded by the following three research projects of the Peruvian Government: (i) “Creación del servicio de agricultura de precisión en los Departamentos de Lambayeque, Huancavelica, Ucayali y San Martín 4 Departamentos,” (ii) “Mejoramiento de los servicios de investigación y transferencia tecnológica en el manejo y recuperación de suelos agrícolas degradados y aguas para riego en la pequeña y mediana agricultura en los departamentos de Lima, Áncash, San Martín, Cajamarca, Lambayeque, Junín, Ayacucho, Arequipa, Puno y Ucayali,” and (iii) Creación del Servicio de laboratorio de Biología Molecular para la Investigación en la Universidad Nacional de Frontera–Distrito de Sullana, with grant numbers CUI 2449640, CUI 2487112, and CUI 2437731, respectively. 2024-09-02T17:21:36Z 2024-09-02T17:21:36Z 2024-08-27 info:eu-repo/semantics/article Barboza, E.; Bravo, N.; Cotrina-Sanchez, A.; Salazar, W.; Gálvez-Paucar, D.; Gonzales, J.; Saravia, D., Valqui-Valqui, L.; Cárdenas, G.P.; Ocaña, J.; Cruz-Luis, J. & Arbizu, C.I. (2024). Modeling the current and future habitat suitability of Neltuma pallida in the dry forest of northern Peru under climate change scenarios to 2100. Ecology and Evolution, 14, e70158. doi: 10.1002/ece3.70158 2045-7758 https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12955/2562 https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.70158 eng urn:issn:2045-7758 Ecology and Evolution info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ application/pdf application/pdf John Wiley & Sons Inc. GB Instituto Nacional de Innovación Agraria Repositorio Institucional - INIA |
| spellingShingle | Biodiversity Coastal dry forest Google earth engine Habitat MaxEnt https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#1.06.06 Biodiversity Biodiversidad Dry forests Bosque seco Satellite imagery Imagen por satélite Habitats Habitat Entropy Entropía Barboza Castillo, Elgar Bravo Morales, Nino Cotrina Sanchez, Alexander Salazar Coronel, Wilian Gálvez Paucar, David Gonzales, Jhony Saravia Navarro, David Valqui Valqui, Lamberto Cárdenas Rengifo, Gloria Patricia Ocaña Reyes, Jimmy Alcides Cruz Luis, Juancarlos Arbizu Berrocal, Carlos Irvin Modeling the current and future habitat suitability of Neltuma pallida in the dry forest of northern Peru under climate change scenarios to 2100 |
| title | Modeling the current and future habitat suitability of Neltuma pallida in the dry forest of northern Peru under climate change scenarios to 2100 |
| title_full | Modeling the current and future habitat suitability of Neltuma pallida in the dry forest of northern Peru under climate change scenarios to 2100 |
| title_fullStr | Modeling the current and future habitat suitability of Neltuma pallida in the dry forest of northern Peru under climate change scenarios to 2100 |
| title_full_unstemmed | Modeling the current and future habitat suitability of Neltuma pallida in the dry forest of northern Peru under climate change scenarios to 2100 |
| title_short | Modeling the current and future habitat suitability of Neltuma pallida in the dry forest of northern Peru under climate change scenarios to 2100 |
| title_sort | modeling the current and future habitat suitability of neltuma pallida in the dry forest of northern peru under climate change scenarios to 2100 |
| topic | Biodiversity Coastal dry forest Google earth engine Habitat MaxEnt https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#1.06.06 Biodiversity Biodiversidad Dry forests Bosque seco Satellite imagery Imagen por satélite Habitats Habitat Entropy Entropía |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12955/2562 https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.70158 |
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