The Philippines energy future and low-carbon development strategies

This paper presents an assessment of alternative, long-term energy supply and low-carbon strategies for the Philippine power sector from 2014 to 2040 using TIMES model. It examines the potential contribution of renewable energy to diversify the Philippine energy supply-mix to meet future electricity...

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Main Authors: Mondal, Md. Hossain Alam, Rosegrant, Mark W., Ringler, Claudia, Pradesha, Angga, Valmonte-Santos, Rowena
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Elsevier 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/99335
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author Mondal, Md. Hossain Alam
Rosegrant, Mark W.
Ringler, Claudia
Pradesha, Angga
Valmonte-Santos, Rowena
author_browse Mondal, Md. Hossain Alam
Pradesha, Angga
Ringler, Claudia
Rosegrant, Mark W.
Valmonte-Santos, Rowena
author_facet Mondal, Md. Hossain Alam
Rosegrant, Mark W.
Ringler, Claudia
Pradesha, Angga
Valmonte-Santos, Rowena
author_sort Mondal, Md. Hossain Alam
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This paper presents an assessment of alternative, long-term energy supply and low-carbon strategies for the Philippine power sector from 2014 to 2040 using TIMES model. It examines the potential contribution of renewable energy to diversify the Philippine energy supply-mix to meet future electricity demands. The reference scenario compares the impact of four alternative policy goals: (1) carbon tax, (2) targeted renewable-based power generation, (3) limited coal share in supply-mix, and (4) renewables subsidy. The reference scenario shows a significant increase of the share of coal-based power generation and import dependency of fossil-fuel increases from 227 PJ in 2016 to 1073 PJ in 2040. The model results for the alternative policy scenarios show a large potential for renewable energy-based power generation. The alternative policy options show a significant decrease of import dependency in the energy supply-mix for power generation. Most alternative policy scenarios project a higher total system cost, with the exception of the subsidy scenario. System cost increases only 2.6% in the renewables target scenario relative to the reference scenario. However, long-term benefits from investing in the alternative policy options would need to be considered, including diversification of energy supply-mix, improved energy security, and progress toward a low-carbon society.
format Journal Article
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institution CGIAR Consortium
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publishDate 2018
publishDateRange 2018
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spelling CGSpace993352025-11-12T04:47:55Z The Philippines energy future and low-carbon development strategies Mondal, Md. Hossain Alam Rosegrant, Mark W. Ringler, Claudia Pradesha, Angga Valmonte-Santos, Rowena energy policies linear programming optimization methods renewable energy fossil fuels energy resources energy demand energy security energy climate change This paper presents an assessment of alternative, long-term energy supply and low-carbon strategies for the Philippine power sector from 2014 to 2040 using TIMES model. It examines the potential contribution of renewable energy to diversify the Philippine energy supply-mix to meet future electricity demands. The reference scenario compares the impact of four alternative policy goals: (1) carbon tax, (2) targeted renewable-based power generation, (3) limited coal share in supply-mix, and (4) renewables subsidy. The reference scenario shows a significant increase of the share of coal-based power generation and import dependency of fossil-fuel increases from 227 PJ in 2016 to 1073 PJ in 2040. The model results for the alternative policy scenarios show a large potential for renewable energy-based power generation. The alternative policy options show a significant decrease of import dependency in the energy supply-mix for power generation. Most alternative policy scenarios project a higher total system cost, with the exception of the subsidy scenario. System cost increases only 2.6% in the renewables target scenario relative to the reference scenario. However, long-term benefits from investing in the alternative policy options would need to be considered, including diversification of energy supply-mix, improved energy security, and progress toward a low-carbon society. 2018-03 2019-02-08T04:13:36Z 2019-02-08T04:13:36Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/99335 en Open Access application/pdf Elsevier Mondal, Md. Hossain Alam; Rosegrant, Mark W.; Ringler, Claudia; Pradesha, Angga; Valmonte-Santos, Rowena. 2018. The Philippines energy future and low-carbon development strategies. Energy 147(15): 142-154. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2018.01.039
spellingShingle energy policies
linear programming
optimization methods
renewable energy
fossil fuels
energy resources
energy demand
energy security
energy
climate change
Mondal, Md. Hossain Alam
Rosegrant, Mark W.
Ringler, Claudia
Pradesha, Angga
Valmonte-Santos, Rowena
The Philippines energy future and low-carbon development strategies
title The Philippines energy future and low-carbon development strategies
title_full The Philippines energy future and low-carbon development strategies
title_fullStr The Philippines energy future and low-carbon development strategies
title_full_unstemmed The Philippines energy future and low-carbon development strategies
title_short The Philippines energy future and low-carbon development strategies
title_sort philippines energy future and low carbon development strategies
topic energy policies
linear programming
optimization methods
renewable energy
fossil fuels
energy resources
energy demand
energy security
energy
climate change
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/99335
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