Replication Data for: Climate change adaptation of coffee production in space and time

Coffee is grown in more than 60 tropical countries on over 11 million ha by an estimated 25 million farmers, most of whom are smallholders. Several regional studies demonstrate the climate sensitivity of coffee (Coffea arabica) and the likely impact of climate change on coffee suitability, yield, in...

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Autores principales: Läderach, Peter R.D., Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando, Navarro Racines, Carlos Eduardo, Zelaya Martinez, Carlos, Martínez Valle, Armando Isaac, Jarvis, Andy
Formato: Conjunto de datos
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Center for Tropical Agriculture 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/99234
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author Läderach, Peter R.D.
Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando
Navarro Racines, Carlos Eduardo
Zelaya Martinez, Carlos
Martínez Valle, Armando Isaac
Jarvis, Andy
author_browse Jarvis, Andy
Läderach, Peter R.D.
Martínez Valle, Armando Isaac
Navarro Racines, Carlos Eduardo
Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando
Zelaya Martinez, Carlos
author_facet Läderach, Peter R.D.
Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando
Navarro Racines, Carlos Eduardo
Zelaya Martinez, Carlos
Martínez Valle, Armando Isaac
Jarvis, Andy
author_sort Läderach, Peter R.D.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Coffee is grown in more than 60 tropical countries on over 11 million ha by an estimated 25 million farmers, most of whom are smallholders. Several regional studies demonstrate the climate sensitivity of coffee (Coffea arabica) and the likely impact of climate change on coffee suitability, yield, increased pest and disease pressure and farmers’ livelihoods. The objectives of this paper are (i) to quantify the impact of progressive climate change to grow coffee and to produce high quality coffee in Nicaragua and (ii) to develop an adaptation framework across time and space to guide adaptation planning. We used coffee location and cup quality data from Nicaragua in combination with the Maxent and CaNaSTA crop suitability models, the WorldClim historical data and the CMIP3 global circulation models to predict the likely impact of climate change on coffee suitability and quality. We distinguished four different impact scenarios: Very high (coffee disappears), high (large negative changes), medium (little negative changes) and increase (positive changes) in climate suitability. During the Nicaraguan coffee roundtable, most promising adaptation strategies were identified, which we then used to develop a two-dimensional adaptation framework for coffee in time and space. Our analysis indicates that incremental adaptation may occur over short-term horizons at lower altitudes, whereas the same areas may undergo transformative adaptation in the longer term. At higher elevations incremental adaptation may be needed in the long term. The same principle and framework is applicable across coffee growing regions around the world. (2016-10)
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spelling CGSpace992342025-03-13T09:44:25Z Replication Data for: Climate change adaptation of coffee production in space and time Läderach, Peter R.D. Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando Navarro Racines, Carlos Eduardo Zelaya Martinez, Carlos Martínez Valle, Armando Isaac Jarvis, Andy climate change adaptation nicaragua coffee Coffee is grown in more than 60 tropical countries on over 11 million ha by an estimated 25 million farmers, most of whom are smallholders. Several regional studies demonstrate the climate sensitivity of coffee (Coffea arabica) and the likely impact of climate change on coffee suitability, yield, increased pest and disease pressure and farmers’ livelihoods. The objectives of this paper are (i) to quantify the impact of progressive climate change to grow coffee and to produce high quality coffee in Nicaragua and (ii) to develop an adaptation framework across time and space to guide adaptation planning. We used coffee location and cup quality data from Nicaragua in combination with the Maxent and CaNaSTA crop suitability models, the WorldClim historical data and the CMIP3 global circulation models to predict the likely impact of climate change on coffee suitability and quality. We distinguished four different impact scenarios: Very high (coffee disappears), high (large negative changes), medium (little negative changes) and increase (positive changes) in climate suitability. During the Nicaraguan coffee roundtable, most promising adaptation strategies were identified, which we then used to develop a two-dimensional adaptation framework for coffee in time and space. Our analysis indicates that incremental adaptation may occur over short-term horizons at lower altitudes, whereas the same areas may undergo transformative adaptation in the longer term. At higher elevations incremental adaptation may be needed in the long term. The same principle and framework is applicable across coffee growing regions around the world. (2016-10) 2019-01-14 2019-01-30T12:52:02Z 2019-01-30T12:52:02Z Dataset https://hdl.handle.net/10568/99234 en Open Access International Center for Tropical Agriculture Läderach, Peter; Ramirez Villegas, Julian; Navarro Racines, Carlos E; Zelaya Martinez, Carlos; Martinez Valle, Armando; Jarvis, Andy, 2019, "Replication Data for: Climate change adaptation of coffee production in space and time", https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/TSUPE1, Harvard Dataverse, V1
spellingShingle climate change
adaptation
nicaragua
coffee
Läderach, Peter R.D.
Ramírez Villegas, Julián Armando
Navarro Racines, Carlos Eduardo
Zelaya Martinez, Carlos
Martínez Valle, Armando Isaac
Jarvis, Andy
Replication Data for: Climate change adaptation of coffee production in space and time
title Replication Data for: Climate change adaptation of coffee production in space and time
title_full Replication Data for: Climate change adaptation of coffee production in space and time
title_fullStr Replication Data for: Climate change adaptation of coffee production in space and time
title_full_unstemmed Replication Data for: Climate change adaptation of coffee production in space and time
title_short Replication Data for: Climate change adaptation of coffee production in space and time
title_sort replication data for climate change adaptation of coffee production in space and time
topic climate change
adaptation
nicaragua
coffee
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/99234
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