A spatial framework for ex-ante impact assessment of agricultural technologies

Traditional agricultural research and extension relies on replicated field experiments, on-farm trials, and demonstration plots to evaluate and adapt agronomic technologies that aim to increase productivity, reduce risk, and protect the environment for a given biophysical and socio-economic context....

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Autores principales: Andrade, J.F., Edreira, J.I.R., Farrow, A., Loon, Marloes P. van, Craufurd, Peter Q., Rurinda, J., Zingore, S., Chamberlin, Jordan, Claessens, Lieven, Adewopo, Julius, Ittersum, Martin K. van, Cassman, Kenneth G., Grassini, P.
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/99233
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author Andrade, J.F.
Edreira, J.I.R.
Farrow, A.
Loon, Marloes P. van
Craufurd, Peter Q.
Rurinda, J.
Zingore, S.
Chamberlin, Jordan
Claessens, Lieven
Adewopo, Julius
Ittersum, Martin K. van
Cassman, Kenneth G.
Grassini, P.
author_browse Adewopo, Julius
Andrade, J.F.
Cassman, Kenneth G.
Chamberlin, Jordan
Claessens, Lieven
Craufurd, Peter Q.
Edreira, J.I.R.
Farrow, A.
Grassini, P.
Ittersum, Martin K. van
Loon, Marloes P. van
Rurinda, J.
Zingore, S.
author_facet Andrade, J.F.
Edreira, J.I.R.
Farrow, A.
Loon, Marloes P. van
Craufurd, Peter Q.
Rurinda, J.
Zingore, S.
Chamberlin, Jordan
Claessens, Lieven
Adewopo, Julius
Ittersum, Martin K. van
Cassman, Kenneth G.
Grassini, P.
author_sort Andrade, J.F.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Traditional agricultural research and extension relies on replicated field experiments, on-farm trials, and demonstration plots to evaluate and adapt agronomic technologies that aim to increase productivity, reduce risk, and protect the environment for a given biophysical and socio-economic context. To date, these efforts lack a generic and robust spatial framework for ex-ante assessment that: (i) provides strategic insight to guide decisions about the number and location of testing sites, (ii) define the target domain for scaling-out a given technology or technology package, and (iii) estimate potential impact from widespread adoption of the technology(ies) being evaluated. In this study, we developed a data-rich spatial framework to guide agricultural research and development (AR&D) prioritization and to perform ex-ante impact assessment. The framework uses “technology extrapolation domains”, which delineate regions with similar climate and soil type combined with other biophysical and socio-economic factors that influence technology adoption. We provide proof of concept for the framework using a maize agronomy project in three sub-Saharan Africa countries (Ethiopia, Nigeria, and Tanzania) as a case study. We used maize area and rural population coverage as indicators to estimate potential project impact in each country. The project conducted 496 nutrient omission trials located at both on-farm and research station sites across these three countries. Reallocation of test sites towards domains with a larger proportion of national maize area could increase coverage of maize area by 79–134% and of rural population by 14–33% in Nigeria and Ethiopia. This study represents a first step in developing a generic, transparent, and scientifically robust framework to estimate ex-ante impact of AR&D programs that aim to increase food production and reduce poverty and hunger.
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spelling CGSpace992332025-11-11T10:39:29Z A spatial framework for ex-ante impact assessment of agricultural technologies Andrade, J.F. Edreira, J.I.R. Farrow, A. Loon, Marloes P. van Craufurd, Peter Q. Rurinda, J. Zingore, S. Chamberlin, Jordan Claessens, Lieven Adewopo, Julius Ittersum, Martin K. van Cassman, Kenneth G. Grassini, P. agricultural research for development spatial framework impact assessment climate change agriculture food security Traditional agricultural research and extension relies on replicated field experiments, on-farm trials, and demonstration plots to evaluate and adapt agronomic technologies that aim to increase productivity, reduce risk, and protect the environment for a given biophysical and socio-economic context. To date, these efforts lack a generic and robust spatial framework for ex-ante assessment that: (i) provides strategic insight to guide decisions about the number and location of testing sites, (ii) define the target domain for scaling-out a given technology or technology package, and (iii) estimate potential impact from widespread adoption of the technology(ies) being evaluated. In this study, we developed a data-rich spatial framework to guide agricultural research and development (AR&D) prioritization and to perform ex-ante impact assessment. The framework uses “technology extrapolation domains”, which delineate regions with similar climate and soil type combined with other biophysical and socio-economic factors that influence technology adoption. We provide proof of concept for the framework using a maize agronomy project in three sub-Saharan Africa countries (Ethiopia, Nigeria, and Tanzania) as a case study. We used maize area and rural population coverage as indicators to estimate potential project impact in each country. The project conducted 496 nutrient omission trials located at both on-farm and research station sites across these three countries. Reallocation of test sites towards domains with a larger proportion of national maize area could increase coverage of maize area by 79–134% and of rural population by 14–33% in Nigeria and Ethiopia. This study represents a first step in developing a generic, transparent, and scientifically robust framework to estimate ex-ante impact of AR&D programs that aim to increase food production and reduce poverty and hunger. 2019-03 2019-01-30T12:41:06Z 2019-01-30T12:41:06Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/99233 en Open Access application/pdf Elsevier Andrade, J.F., Edreira, J.I.R., Farrow, A., van Loon, M.P., Craufurd, P.Q., Rurinda, J., ... & Adewopo, J. (2019). A spatial framework for ex-ante impact assessment of agricultural technologies. Global Food Security, 20, 72-81.
spellingShingle agricultural research for development
spatial
framework
impact assessment
climate change
agriculture
food security
Andrade, J.F.
Edreira, J.I.R.
Farrow, A.
Loon, Marloes P. van
Craufurd, Peter Q.
Rurinda, J.
Zingore, S.
Chamberlin, Jordan
Claessens, Lieven
Adewopo, Julius
Ittersum, Martin K. van
Cassman, Kenneth G.
Grassini, P.
A spatial framework for ex-ante impact assessment of agricultural technologies
title A spatial framework for ex-ante impact assessment of agricultural technologies
title_full A spatial framework for ex-ante impact assessment of agricultural technologies
title_fullStr A spatial framework for ex-ante impact assessment of agricultural technologies
title_full_unstemmed A spatial framework for ex-ante impact assessment of agricultural technologies
title_short A spatial framework for ex-ante impact assessment of agricultural technologies
title_sort spatial framework for ex ante impact assessment of agricultural technologies
topic agricultural research for development
spatial
framework
impact assessment
climate change
agriculture
food security
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/99233
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