Understanding the impacts of climate change in the Tana River Basin, Kenya

In the Tana River Basin in Kenya, six Regional Circulation Models (RCMs) simulating two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) (i.e., 4.5 and 8.5) were used as input to the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model to determine the possible implications for the hydrology and water resources...

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Autor principal: Muthuwatta, Lal P.
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Copernicus GmbH 2018
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/96602
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author Muthuwatta, Lal P.
author_browse Muthuwatta, Lal P.
author_facet Muthuwatta, Lal P.
author_sort Muthuwatta, Lal P.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description In the Tana River Basin in Kenya, six Regional Circulation Models (RCMs) simulating two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) (i.e., 4.5 and 8.5) were used as input to the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model to determine the possible implications for the hydrology and water resources of the basin. Four hydrological characteristics – water yield, groundwater recharge, base flow and flow regulation – were determined and mapped throughout the basin for three 30-year time periods: 2020–2049, 2040–2069 and 2070–2099. Results were compared with a baseline period, 1983–2011. All four hydrological characteristics show steady increases under both RCPs for the entire basin but with considerable spatial heterogeneity and greater increases under RCP 8.5 than RCP 4.5. The results have important implications for the way water resources in the basin are managed. It is imperative that water managers and policy makers take into account the additional challenges imposed by climate change in operating built infrastructure.
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spelling CGSpace966022025-02-19T13:42:37Z Understanding the impacts of climate change in the Tana River Basin, Kenya Muthuwatta, Lal P. climate change river basins soil water resources water management water yield assessment hydrology groundwater recharge policy making performance indexes rain In the Tana River Basin in Kenya, six Regional Circulation Models (RCMs) simulating two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) (i.e., 4.5 and 8.5) were used as input to the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model to determine the possible implications for the hydrology and water resources of the basin. Four hydrological characteristics – water yield, groundwater recharge, base flow and flow regulation – were determined and mapped throughout the basin for three 30-year time periods: 2020–2049, 2040–2069 and 2070–2099. Results were compared with a baseline period, 1983–2011. All four hydrological characteristics show steady increases under both RCPs for the entire basin but with considerable spatial heterogeneity and greater increases under RCP 8.5 than RCP 4.5. The results have important implications for the way water resources in the basin are managed. It is imperative that water managers and policy makers take into account the additional challenges imposed by climate change in operating built infrastructure. 2018 2018-08-20T09:12:19Z 2018-08-20T09:12:19Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/96602 en Open Access Copernicus GmbH Muthuwatta, Lal; Sood, A.; McCartney, Matthew; Silva, N. S.; Opere, A. 2018. Understanding the impacts of climate change in the Tana River Basin, Kenya. Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences, 379:37-42. doi: 10.5194/piahs-379-37-2018, 2018
spellingShingle climate change
river basins
soil
water resources
water management
water yield
assessment
hydrology
groundwater recharge
policy making
performance indexes
rain
Muthuwatta, Lal P.
Understanding the impacts of climate change in the Tana River Basin, Kenya
title Understanding the impacts of climate change in the Tana River Basin, Kenya
title_full Understanding the impacts of climate change in the Tana River Basin, Kenya
title_fullStr Understanding the impacts of climate change in the Tana River Basin, Kenya
title_full_unstemmed Understanding the impacts of climate change in the Tana River Basin, Kenya
title_short Understanding the impacts of climate change in the Tana River Basin, Kenya
title_sort understanding the impacts of climate change in the tana river basin kenya
topic climate change
river basins
soil
water resources
water management
water yield
assessment
hydrology
groundwater recharge
policy making
performance indexes
rain
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/96602
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