Hydrological responses to climate change in Mt. Elgon watersheds

Study Region: The Upper catchments of the Nzoia River basin in western Kenya. Study Focus: The potential streamflow responses to climate change in the upper Nzoia River basin are studied. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was forced with monthly temperature and precipitation change scenario...

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Main Authors: Musau, J., Sang, J., Gathenya, J., Luedeling, Eike
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Elsevier 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/95546
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author Musau, J.
Sang, J.
Gathenya, J.
Luedeling, Eike
author_browse Gathenya, J.
Luedeling, Eike
Musau, J.
Sang, J.
author_facet Musau, J.
Sang, J.
Gathenya, J.
Luedeling, Eike
author_sort Musau, J.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Study Region: The Upper catchments of the Nzoia River basin in western Kenya. Study Focus: The potential streamflow responses to climate change in the upper Nzoia River basin are studied. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was forced with monthly temperature and precipitation change scenarios for the periods 2011–2040 (2020s), 2041–2070 (2050s) and 2071–2100 (2080s). Data from 10 climate models and three greenhouse gases emission scenarios was downscaled using the delta change method and used in the SWAT model. Streamflow data for the periods 1986–1998 and 1973–1985 was used for model calibration and validation respectively. New Hydrological Insights for the Region: Comparison between the simulated baseline and future streamflow shows that in the Koitobos and Kimilili watersheds, August to December streamflow is likely to be highly altered. In the Kuywa watershed, March to June flows is likely to change considerably due to climate change. Major streamflow changes are likely in March to June and August to November in the Rongai watershed. Projected changes differed between the four watersheds despite their proximity, indicating different sensitivities to climate change and uncertainty about the potential hydrological impacts of climate change in the area.
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spelling CGSpace955462025-06-17T08:23:12Z Hydrological responses to climate change in Mt. Elgon watersheds Musau, J. Sang, J. Gathenya, J. Luedeling, Eike climate change hydrology watershed management Study Region: The Upper catchments of the Nzoia River basin in western Kenya. Study Focus: The potential streamflow responses to climate change in the upper Nzoia River basin are studied. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was forced with monthly temperature and precipitation change scenarios for the periods 2011–2040 (2020s), 2041–2070 (2050s) and 2071–2100 (2080s). Data from 10 climate models and three greenhouse gases emission scenarios was downscaled using the delta change method and used in the SWAT model. Streamflow data for the periods 1986–1998 and 1973–1985 was used for model calibration and validation respectively. New Hydrological Insights for the Region: Comparison between the simulated baseline and future streamflow shows that in the Koitobos and Kimilili watersheds, August to December streamflow is likely to be highly altered. In the Kuywa watershed, March to June flows is likely to change considerably due to climate change. Major streamflow changes are likely in March to June and August to November in the Rongai watershed. Projected changes differed between the four watersheds despite their proximity, indicating different sensitivities to climate change and uncertainty about the potential hydrological impacts of climate change in the area. 2015-03 2018-07-03T11:03:11Z 2018-07-03T11:03:11Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/95546 en Open Access Elsevier Musau, J., Sang, J., Gathenya, J., Luedeling, E.. 2015. Hydrological responses to climate change in Mt. Elgon watersheds Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 3 : 223-246. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2014.12.001
spellingShingle climate change
hydrology
watershed management
Musau, J.
Sang, J.
Gathenya, J.
Luedeling, Eike
Hydrological responses to climate change in Mt. Elgon watersheds
title Hydrological responses to climate change in Mt. Elgon watersheds
title_full Hydrological responses to climate change in Mt. Elgon watersheds
title_fullStr Hydrological responses to climate change in Mt. Elgon watersheds
title_full_unstemmed Hydrological responses to climate change in Mt. Elgon watersheds
title_short Hydrological responses to climate change in Mt. Elgon watersheds
title_sort hydrological responses to climate change in mt elgon watersheds
topic climate change
hydrology
watershed management
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/95546
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AT sangj hydrologicalresponsestoclimatechangeinmtelgonwatersheds
AT gathenyaj hydrologicalresponsestoclimatechangeinmtelgonwatersheds
AT luedelingeike hydrologicalresponsestoclimatechangeinmtelgonwatersheds