The Use of Mixed Effects Models for Obtaining Low-Cost Ecosystem Carbon Stock Estimates in Mangroves of the Asia-Pacific

Mangroves provide extensive ecosystem services that support local livelihoods and international environmental goals, including coastal protection, biodiversity conservation and the sequestration of carbon (C). While voluntary C market projects seeking to preserve and enhance forest C stocks offer a...

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Main Authors: Bukoski, J.J., Broadhead, J.S., Donato, D.C., Murdiyarso, Daniel, Gregoire, T.G.
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Public Library of Science 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/93931
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author Bukoski, J.J.
Broadhead, J.S.
Donato, D.C.
Murdiyarso, Daniel
Gregoire, T.G.
author_browse Broadhead, J.S.
Bukoski, J.J.
Donato, D.C.
Gregoire, T.G.
Murdiyarso, Daniel
author_facet Bukoski, J.J.
Broadhead, J.S.
Donato, D.C.
Murdiyarso, Daniel
Gregoire, T.G.
author_sort Bukoski, J.J.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Mangroves provide extensive ecosystem services that support local livelihoods and international environmental goals, including coastal protection, biodiversity conservation and the sequestration of carbon (C). While voluntary C market projects seeking to preserve and enhance forest C stocks offer a potential means of generating finance for mangrove conservation, their implementation faces barriers due to the high costs of quantifying C stocks through field inventories. To streamline C quantification in mangrove conservation projects, we develop predictive models for (i) biomass-based C stocks, and (ii) soil-based C stocks for the mangroves of the Asia-Pacific. We compile datasets of mangrove biomass C (197 observations from 48 sites) and soil organic C (99 observations from 27 sites) to parameterize the predictive models, and use linear mixed effect models to model the expected C as a function of stand attributes. The most parsimonious biomass model predicts total biomass C stocks as a function of both basal area and the interaction between latitude and basal area, whereas the most parsimonious soil C model predicts soil C stocks as a function of the logarithmic transformations of both latitude and basal area. Random effects are specified by site for both models, which are found to explain a substantial proportion of variance within the estimation datasets and indicate significant heterogeneity across-sites within the region. The root mean square error (RMSE) of the biomass C model is approximated at 24.6 Mg/ha (18.4% of mean biomass C in the dataset), whereas the RMSE of the soil C model is estimated at 4.9 mg C/cm3 (14.1% of mean soil C). The results point to a need for standardization of forest metrics to facilitate meta-analyses, as well as provide important considerations for refining ecosystem C stock models in mangroves.
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spelling CGSpace939312025-06-17T08:23:20Z The Use of Mixed Effects Models for Obtaining Low-Cost Ecosystem Carbon Stock Estimates in Mangroves of the Asia-Pacific Bukoski, J.J. Broadhead, J.S. Donato, D.C. Murdiyarso, Daniel Gregoire, T.G. mangroves swamps biomass forests forest ecology trees ecosystems Mangroves provide extensive ecosystem services that support local livelihoods and international environmental goals, including coastal protection, biodiversity conservation and the sequestration of carbon (C). While voluntary C market projects seeking to preserve and enhance forest C stocks offer a potential means of generating finance for mangrove conservation, their implementation faces barriers due to the high costs of quantifying C stocks through field inventories. To streamline C quantification in mangrove conservation projects, we develop predictive models for (i) biomass-based C stocks, and (ii) soil-based C stocks for the mangroves of the Asia-Pacific. We compile datasets of mangrove biomass C (197 observations from 48 sites) and soil organic C (99 observations from 27 sites) to parameterize the predictive models, and use linear mixed effect models to model the expected C as a function of stand attributes. The most parsimonious biomass model predicts total biomass C stocks as a function of both basal area and the interaction between latitude and basal area, whereas the most parsimonious soil C model predicts soil C stocks as a function of the logarithmic transformations of both latitude and basal area. Random effects are specified by site for both models, which are found to explain a substantial proportion of variance within the estimation datasets and indicate significant heterogeneity across-sites within the region. The root mean square error (RMSE) of the biomass C model is approximated at 24.6 Mg/ha (18.4% of mean biomass C in the dataset), whereas the RMSE of the soil C model is estimated at 4.9 mg C/cm3 (14.1% of mean soil C). The results point to a need for standardization of forest metrics to facilitate meta-analyses, as well as provide important considerations for refining ecosystem C stock models in mangroves. 2017 2018-07-03T10:56:39Z 2018-07-03T10:56:39Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/93931 en Open Access Public Library of Science Bukoski, J.J., Broadhead, J.S., Donato, D.C., Murdiyarso, D., Gregoire, T.G.. 2017. The Use of Mixed Effects Models for Obtaining Low-Cost Ecosystem Carbon Stock Estimates in Mangroves of the Asia-Pacific PLoS ONE, 12 (1) : e0169096. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0169096
spellingShingle mangroves
swamps
biomass
forests
forest ecology
trees
ecosystems
Bukoski, J.J.
Broadhead, J.S.
Donato, D.C.
Murdiyarso, Daniel
Gregoire, T.G.
The Use of Mixed Effects Models for Obtaining Low-Cost Ecosystem Carbon Stock Estimates in Mangroves of the Asia-Pacific
title The Use of Mixed Effects Models for Obtaining Low-Cost Ecosystem Carbon Stock Estimates in Mangroves of the Asia-Pacific
title_full The Use of Mixed Effects Models for Obtaining Low-Cost Ecosystem Carbon Stock Estimates in Mangroves of the Asia-Pacific
title_fullStr The Use of Mixed Effects Models for Obtaining Low-Cost Ecosystem Carbon Stock Estimates in Mangroves of the Asia-Pacific
title_full_unstemmed The Use of Mixed Effects Models for Obtaining Low-Cost Ecosystem Carbon Stock Estimates in Mangroves of the Asia-Pacific
title_short The Use of Mixed Effects Models for Obtaining Low-Cost Ecosystem Carbon Stock Estimates in Mangroves of the Asia-Pacific
title_sort use of mixed effects models for obtaining low cost ecosystem carbon stock estimates in mangroves of the asia pacific
topic mangroves
swamps
biomass
forests
forest ecology
trees
ecosystems
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/93931
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