Recent loss of closed forests is associated with Ebola virus disease outbreaks

Ebola virus disease (EVD) is a contagious, severe and often lethal form of hemorrhagic fever in humans. The association of EVD outbreaks with forest clearance has been suggested previously but many aspects remained uncharacterized. We used remote sensing techniques to investigate the association bet...

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Main Authors: Olivero, J., Fa, J.E., Real, R., Márquez, A.L., Farfán, M.A., Vargas, J.M., Gaveau, D.L.A., Salim, M.A., Park, D., Suter, J., King, S., Leendertz, S.A., Sheil, D., Nasi, Robert
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Springer 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/93858
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author Olivero, J.
Fa, J.E.
Real, R.
Márquez, A.L.
Farfán, M.A.
Vargas, J.M.
Gaveau, D.L.A.
Salim, M.A.
Park, D.
Suter, J.
King, S.
Leendertz, S.A.
Sheil, D.
Nasi, Robert
author_browse Fa, J.E.
Farfán, M.A.
Gaveau, D.L.A.
King, S.
Leendertz, S.A.
Márquez, A.L.
Nasi, Robert
Olivero, J.
Park, D.
Real, R.
Salim, M.A.
Sheil, D.
Suter, J.
Vargas, J.M.
author_facet Olivero, J.
Fa, J.E.
Real, R.
Márquez, A.L.
Farfán, M.A.
Vargas, J.M.
Gaveau, D.L.A.
Salim, M.A.
Park, D.
Suter, J.
King, S.
Leendertz, S.A.
Sheil, D.
Nasi, Robert
author_sort Olivero, J.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Ebola virus disease (EVD) is a contagious, severe and often lethal form of hemorrhagic fever in humans. The association of EVD outbreaks with forest clearance has been suggested previously but many aspects remained uncharacterized. We used remote sensing techniques to investigate the association between deforestation in time and space, with EVD outbreaks in Central and West Africa. Favorability modeling, centered on 27 EVD outbreak sites and 280 comparable control sites, revealed that outbreaks located along the limits of the rainforest biome were significantly associated with forest losses within the previous 2 years. This association was strongest for closed forests (>83%), both intact and disturbed, of a range of tree heights (5–>19 m). Our results suggest that the increased probability of an EVD outbreak occurring in a site is linked to recent deforestation events, and that preventing the loss of forests could reduce the likelihood of future outbreaks.
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spelling CGSpace938582025-06-17T08:23:24Z Recent loss of closed forests is associated with Ebola virus disease outbreaks Olivero, J. Fa, J.E. Real, R. Márquez, A.L. Farfán, M.A. Vargas, J.M. Gaveau, D.L.A. Salim, M.A. Park, D. Suter, J. King, S. Leendertz, S.A. Sheil, D. Nasi, Robert biogeography epidemiology disease control Ebola virus disease (EVD) is a contagious, severe and often lethal form of hemorrhagic fever in humans. The association of EVD outbreaks with forest clearance has been suggested previously but many aspects remained uncharacterized. We used remote sensing techniques to investigate the association between deforestation in time and space, with EVD outbreaks in Central and West Africa. Favorability modeling, centered on 27 EVD outbreak sites and 280 comparable control sites, revealed that outbreaks located along the limits of the rainforest biome were significantly associated with forest losses within the previous 2 years. This association was strongest for closed forests (>83%), both intact and disturbed, of a range of tree heights (5–>19 m). Our results suggest that the increased probability of an EVD outbreak occurring in a site is linked to recent deforestation events, and that preventing the loss of forests could reduce the likelihood of future outbreaks. 2017 2018-07-03T10:56:31Z 2018-07-03T10:56:31Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/93858 en Open Access Springer Olivero, J., Fa, J.E., Real, R., Márquez, A.L., Farfán, M.A., Vargas, J.M., Gaveau, D.L.A., Salim, M.A., Park, D., Suter, J., King, S., Leendertz, S.A., Sheil, D., Nasi, R.. 2017. Recent loss of closed forests is associated with Ebola virus disease outbreaks Scientific Reports, 7 : 14291. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-14727-9
spellingShingle biogeography
epidemiology
disease control
Olivero, J.
Fa, J.E.
Real, R.
Márquez, A.L.
Farfán, M.A.
Vargas, J.M.
Gaveau, D.L.A.
Salim, M.A.
Park, D.
Suter, J.
King, S.
Leendertz, S.A.
Sheil, D.
Nasi, Robert
Recent loss of closed forests is associated with Ebola virus disease outbreaks
title Recent loss of closed forests is associated with Ebola virus disease outbreaks
title_full Recent loss of closed forests is associated with Ebola virus disease outbreaks
title_fullStr Recent loss of closed forests is associated with Ebola virus disease outbreaks
title_full_unstemmed Recent loss of closed forests is associated with Ebola virus disease outbreaks
title_short Recent loss of closed forests is associated with Ebola virus disease outbreaks
title_sort recent loss of closed forests is associated with ebola virus disease outbreaks
topic biogeography
epidemiology
disease control
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/93858
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