Decomposing producer price risk: a policy analysis tool with an application to northern Kenyan livestock markets

This paper introduces a simple method of price risk decomposition that determines the extent to which producer price risk is attributable to volatile inter-market margins, intra-day variation, intra-week (day of week) variation, or terminal market price variability. We apply the method to livestock...

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Main Authors: Barrett, Christopher B., Luseno, W.K.
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Elsevier 2004
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/929
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author Barrett, Christopher B.
Luseno, W.K.
author_browse Barrett, Christopher B.
Luseno, W.K.
author_facet Barrett, Christopher B.
Luseno, W.K.
author_sort Barrett, Christopher B.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This paper introduces a simple method of price risk decomposition that determines the extent to which producer price risk is attributable to volatile inter-market margins, intra-day variation, intra-week (day of week) variation, or terminal market price variability. We apply the method to livestock markets in northern Kenya, a setting of dramatic price volatility where price stabilization is a live policy issue. In this particular application, we find that large, variable inter-market basis is the most important factor in explaining producer price risk in animals typically traded between markets. Local market conditions explain most price risk in other markets, in which traded animals rarely exit the region. Variability in terminal market prices accounts for relatively little price risk faced by pastoralists in the dry lands of northern Kenya although this is the focus of most present policy prescriptions under discussion.
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spelling CGSpace9292024-08-27T10:35:46Z Decomposing producer price risk: a policy analysis tool with an application to northern Kenyan livestock markets Barrett, Christopher B. Luseno, W.K. This paper introduces a simple method of price risk decomposition that determines the extent to which producer price risk is attributable to volatile inter-market margins, intra-day variation, intra-week (day of week) variation, or terminal market price variability. We apply the method to livestock markets in northern Kenya, a setting of dramatic price volatility where price stabilization is a live policy issue. In this particular application, we find that large, variable inter-market basis is the most important factor in explaining producer price risk in animals typically traded between markets. Local market conditions explain most price risk in other markets, in which traded animals rarely exit the region. Variability in terminal market prices accounts for relatively little price risk faced by pastoralists in the dry lands of northern Kenya although this is the focus of most present policy prescriptions under discussion. 2004-08 2010-03-26T12:27:12Z 2010-03-26T12:27:12Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/929 en Limited Access Elsevier Barrett, C.B.; Luseno, W.K. 2004. Decomposing producer price risk: a policy analysis tool with an application to northern Kenyan livestock markets. Food Policy 29(4):393-405.
spellingShingle Barrett, Christopher B.
Luseno, W.K.
Decomposing producer price risk: a policy analysis tool with an application to northern Kenyan livestock markets
title Decomposing producer price risk: a policy analysis tool with an application to northern Kenyan livestock markets
title_full Decomposing producer price risk: a policy analysis tool with an application to northern Kenyan livestock markets
title_fullStr Decomposing producer price risk: a policy analysis tool with an application to northern Kenyan livestock markets
title_full_unstemmed Decomposing producer price risk: a policy analysis tool with an application to northern Kenyan livestock markets
title_short Decomposing producer price risk: a policy analysis tool with an application to northern Kenyan livestock markets
title_sort decomposing producer price risk a policy analysis tool with an application to northern kenyan livestock markets
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/929
work_keys_str_mv AT barrettchristopherb decomposingproducerpriceriskapolicyanalysistoolwithanapplicationtonorthernkenyanlivestockmarkets
AT lusenowk decomposingproducerpriceriskapolicyanalysistoolwithanapplicationtonorthernkenyanlivestockmarkets