Coupling of pollination services and coffee suitability under climate change
Climate change will cause geographic range shifts for pollinators and major crops, with global implications for food security and rural livelihoods. However, little is known about the potential for coupled impacts of climate change on pollinators and crops. Coffee production exemplifies this issue,...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | Inglés |
| Published: |
National Academy of Sciences
2017
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/88002 |
| _version_ | 1855517265615650816 |
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| author | Imbach, Pablo Fung, Emily Hannah, Lee Navarro Racines, Carlos Eduardo Roubik, David W. Ricketts, Taylor H. Harvey, Celia A. Donatti, Camila I. Läderach, Peter R.D. Locatelli, Bruno Roehrdanz, Patrick R. |
| author_browse | Donatti, Camila I. Fung, Emily Hannah, Lee Harvey, Celia A. Imbach, Pablo Locatelli, Bruno Läderach, Peter R.D. Navarro Racines, Carlos Eduardo Ricketts, Taylor H. Roehrdanz, Patrick R. Roubik, David W. |
| author_facet | Imbach, Pablo Fung, Emily Hannah, Lee Navarro Racines, Carlos Eduardo Roubik, David W. Ricketts, Taylor H. Harvey, Celia A. Donatti, Camila I. Läderach, Peter R.D. Locatelli, Bruno Roehrdanz, Patrick R. |
| author_sort | Imbach, Pablo |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Climate change will cause geographic range shifts for pollinators and major crops, with global implications for food security and rural livelihoods. However, little is known about the potential for coupled impacts of climate change on pollinators and crops. Coffee production exemplifies this issue, because large losses in areas suitable for coffee production have been projected due to climate change and because coffee production is dependent on bee pollination. We modeled the potential distributions of coffee and coffee pollinators under current and future climates in Latin America to understand whether future coffee-suitable areas will also be suitable for pollinators. Our results suggest that coffee-suitable areas will be reduced 73–88% by 2050 across warming scenarios, a decline 46–76% greater than estimated by global assessments. Mean bee richness will decline 8–18% within future coffee-suitable areas, but all are predicted to contain at least 5 bee species, and 46–59% of future coffee-suitable areas will contain 10 or more species. In our models, coffee suitability and bee richness each increase (i.e., positive coupling) in 10–22% of future coffee-suitable areas. Diminished coffee suitability and bee richness (i.e., negative coupling), however, occur in 34–51% of other areas. Finally, in 31–33% of the future coffee distribution areas, bee richness decreases and coffee suitability increases. Assessing coupled effects of climate change on crop suitability and pollination can help target appropriate management practices, including forest conservation, shade adjustment, crop rotation, or status quo, in different regions. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace88002 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2017 |
| publishDateRange | 2017 |
| publishDateSort | 2017 |
| publisher | National Academy of Sciences |
| publisherStr | National Academy of Sciences |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace880022025-04-17T08:26:05Z Coupling of pollination services and coffee suitability under climate change Imbach, Pablo Fung, Emily Hannah, Lee Navarro Racines, Carlos Eduardo Roubik, David W. Ricketts, Taylor H. Harvey, Celia A. Donatti, Camila I. Läderach, Peter R.D. Locatelli, Bruno Roehrdanz, Patrick R. coffee adaptation adaptación smallholders pollination climate change cambio climático Climate change will cause geographic range shifts for pollinators and major crops, with global implications for food security and rural livelihoods. However, little is known about the potential for coupled impacts of climate change on pollinators and crops. Coffee production exemplifies this issue, because large losses in areas suitable for coffee production have been projected due to climate change and because coffee production is dependent on bee pollination. We modeled the potential distributions of coffee and coffee pollinators under current and future climates in Latin America to understand whether future coffee-suitable areas will also be suitable for pollinators. Our results suggest that coffee-suitable areas will be reduced 73–88% by 2050 across warming scenarios, a decline 46–76% greater than estimated by global assessments. Mean bee richness will decline 8–18% within future coffee-suitable areas, but all are predicted to contain at least 5 bee species, and 46–59% of future coffee-suitable areas will contain 10 or more species. In our models, coffee suitability and bee richness each increase (i.e., positive coupling) in 10–22% of future coffee-suitable areas. Diminished coffee suitability and bee richness (i.e., negative coupling), however, occur in 34–51% of other areas. Finally, in 31–33% of the future coffee distribution areas, bee richness decreases and coffee suitability increases. Assessing coupled effects of climate change on crop suitability and pollination can help target appropriate management practices, including forest conservation, shade adjustment, crop rotation, or status quo, in different regions. 2017-09-26 2017-09-21T20:39:42Z 2017-09-21T20:39:42Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/88002 en Open Access National Academy of Sciences Imbach, Pablo; Fung, Emily; Hannah, Lee; Navarro-Racines, Carlos E.; Roubik, David W.; Ricketts, Taylor H.; Harvey, Celia A.; Donatti, Camila I.; Läderach, Peter; Locatelli, Bruno; Roehrdanz, Patrick R.. 2017. Coupling of pollination services and coffee suitability under climate change . Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 114(39): 10438-10442 |
| spellingShingle | coffee adaptation adaptación smallholders pollination climate change cambio climático Imbach, Pablo Fung, Emily Hannah, Lee Navarro Racines, Carlos Eduardo Roubik, David W. Ricketts, Taylor H. Harvey, Celia A. Donatti, Camila I. Läderach, Peter R.D. Locatelli, Bruno Roehrdanz, Patrick R. Coupling of pollination services and coffee suitability under climate change |
| title | Coupling of pollination services and coffee suitability under climate change |
| title_full | Coupling of pollination services and coffee suitability under climate change |
| title_fullStr | Coupling of pollination services and coffee suitability under climate change |
| title_full_unstemmed | Coupling of pollination services and coffee suitability under climate change |
| title_short | Coupling of pollination services and coffee suitability under climate change |
| title_sort | coupling of pollination services and coffee suitability under climate change |
| topic | coffee adaptation adaptación smallholders pollination climate change cambio climático |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/88002 |
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