Spatial analysis of temporal changes in the pandemic of severe cassava mosaic disease in Northwestern Tanzania

To improve understanding of the dynamics of the cassava mosaic disease (CMD) pandemic front, geospatial approaches were applied to the analysis of 3 years’ data obtained from a 2-by-2° (approximately 222-by-222 km) area of northwestern Tanzania. In total, 80 farmers’ fields were assessed in each of...

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Autores principales: Szyniszewska, Anna M., Busungu, C., Boni, S.B., Shirima, R., Bouwmeester, H.J., Legg, James P.
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Scientific Societies 2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/87969
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author Szyniszewska, Anna M.
Busungu, C.
Boni, S.B.
Shirima, R.
Bouwmeester, H.J.
Legg, James P.
author_browse Boni, S.B.
Bouwmeester, H.J.
Busungu, C.
Legg, James P.
Shirima, R.
Szyniszewska, Anna M.
author_facet Szyniszewska, Anna M.
Busungu, C.
Boni, S.B.
Shirima, R.
Bouwmeester, H.J.
Legg, James P.
author_sort Szyniszewska, Anna M.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description To improve understanding of the dynamics of the cassava mosaic disease (CMD) pandemic front, geospatial approaches were applied to the analysis of 3 years’ data obtained from a 2-by-2° (approximately 222-by-222 km) area of northwestern Tanzania. In total, 80 farmers’ fields were assessed in each of 2009, 2010, and 2011, with 20 evenly distributed fields per 1-by-1° quadrant. CMD-associated variables (CMD incidence, CMD severity, vector-borne CMD infection, and vector abundance) increased in magnitude from 2009 to 2010 but showed little change from 2010 to 2011. Increases occurred primarily in the two westernmost quadrants of the study area. A pandemic “front” was defined by determining the values of CMD incidence and whitefly abundance where predicted disease gradients were greatest. The pandemic-associated virus (East African cassava mosaic virus-Uganda) and vector genotype (Bemisia tabaci sub-Saharan Africa 1–subgroup 1) were both present within the area bounded by the CMD incidence front but both also occurred ahead of the front. The average speed and direction of movement of the CMD incidence front (22.9 km/year; southeast) and whitefly abundance front (46.6 km/year; southeast) were calculated, and production losses due to CMD were estimated to range from US$4.3 million to 12.2 million.
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spelling CGSpace879692025-11-11T10:38:26Z Spatial analysis of temporal changes in the pandemic of severe cassava mosaic disease in Northwestern Tanzania Szyniszewska, Anna M. Busungu, C. Boni, S.B. Shirima, R. Bouwmeester, H.J. Legg, James P. african cassava mosaic virus diseases cassava food security pandemic spatial analysis geospatial To improve understanding of the dynamics of the cassava mosaic disease (CMD) pandemic front, geospatial approaches were applied to the analysis of 3 years’ data obtained from a 2-by-2° (approximately 222-by-222 km) area of northwestern Tanzania. In total, 80 farmers’ fields were assessed in each of 2009, 2010, and 2011, with 20 evenly distributed fields per 1-by-1° quadrant. CMD-associated variables (CMD incidence, CMD severity, vector-borne CMD infection, and vector abundance) increased in magnitude from 2009 to 2010 but showed little change from 2010 to 2011. Increases occurred primarily in the two westernmost quadrants of the study area. A pandemic “front” was defined by determining the values of CMD incidence and whitefly abundance where predicted disease gradients were greatest. The pandemic-associated virus (East African cassava mosaic virus-Uganda) and vector genotype (Bemisia tabaci sub-Saharan Africa 1–subgroup 1) were both present within the area bounded by the CMD incidence front but both also occurred ahead of the front. The average speed and direction of movement of the CMD incidence front (22.9 km/year; southeast) and whitefly abundance front (46.6 km/year; southeast) were calculated, and production losses due to CMD were estimated to range from US$4.3 million to 12.2 million. 2017-10 2017-09-20T09:12:10Z 2017-09-20T09:12:10Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/87969 en Open Access application/pdf Scientific Societies Szyniszewska, A.M., Busungu, C., Boni, S.B., Shirima, R.R., Bouwmeester, H. & Legg, J.P. (2017). Spatial analysis of temporal changes in the pandemic of severe cassava mosaic disease in North-Western Tanzania. Phytopathology, 107(10), 1229-1242.
spellingShingle african cassava mosaic virus
diseases
cassava
food security
pandemic
spatial analysis
geospatial
Szyniszewska, Anna M.
Busungu, C.
Boni, S.B.
Shirima, R.
Bouwmeester, H.J.
Legg, James P.
Spatial analysis of temporal changes in the pandemic of severe cassava mosaic disease in Northwestern Tanzania
title Spatial analysis of temporal changes in the pandemic of severe cassava mosaic disease in Northwestern Tanzania
title_full Spatial analysis of temporal changes in the pandemic of severe cassava mosaic disease in Northwestern Tanzania
title_fullStr Spatial analysis of temporal changes in the pandemic of severe cassava mosaic disease in Northwestern Tanzania
title_full_unstemmed Spatial analysis of temporal changes in the pandemic of severe cassava mosaic disease in Northwestern Tanzania
title_short Spatial analysis of temporal changes in the pandemic of severe cassava mosaic disease in Northwestern Tanzania
title_sort spatial analysis of temporal changes in the pandemic of severe cassava mosaic disease in northwestern tanzania
topic african cassava mosaic virus
diseases
cassava
food security
pandemic
spatial analysis
geospatial
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/87969
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