Improved forages and milk production in East Africa. A case study in the series: Economic foresight for understanding the role of investments in agriculture for the global food system

Production of livestock and dairy products in Sub-Saharan Africa has not kept pace with growing demand. The potential exists to close this gap in a climate-friendly way through the introduction of improved forage varieties of the Brachiaria genus. We assess the potential economic impact of the devel...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Gonzáles, Carlos, Schiek, Benjamin E., Mwendia, Solomon W., Prager, Steven D.
Formato: Informe técnico
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Center for Tropical Agriculture 2016
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/77557
_version_ 1855515166771249152
author Gonzáles, Carlos
Schiek, Benjamin E.
Mwendia, Solomon W.
Prager, Steven D.
author_browse Gonzáles, Carlos
Mwendia, Solomon W.
Prager, Steven D.
Schiek, Benjamin E.
author_facet Gonzáles, Carlos
Schiek, Benjamin E.
Mwendia, Solomon W.
Prager, Steven D.
author_sort Gonzáles, Carlos
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Production of livestock and dairy products in Sub-Saharan Africa has not kept pace with growing demand. The potential exists to close this gap in a climate-friendly way through the introduction of improved forage varieties of the Brachiaria genus. We assess the potential economic impact of the development and release of such varieties in six East African countries using an economic surplus model. Results are presented across a range of potential scenarios involving different adoption rates and percentage increases in productivity. For all but the lowest levels of adoption and productivity increases, improved forages have the potential for positive return on investment. Using these results, we present formulae that help readers calculate the adoption rate or percentage increase in productivity necessary to achieve specific desired levels of net benefit. Overall, the model output suggests that investment in a forages research program related to both the qualities of the forage itself as well as programs to enhance dissemination and adoption of new materials would be low risk and with high likelihood for positive outcome, generating discounted net benefits on the order of potentially tens of millions of dollars.
format Informe técnico
id CGSpace77557
institution CGIAR Consortium
language Inglés
publishDate 2016
publishDateRange 2016
publishDateSort 2016
publisher International Center for Tropical Agriculture
publisherStr International Center for Tropical Agriculture
record_format dspace
spelling CGSpace775572025-11-05T17:09:30Z Improved forages and milk production in East Africa. A case study in the series: Economic foresight for understanding the role of investments in agriculture for the global food system Gonzáles, Carlos Schiek, Benjamin E. Mwendia, Solomon W. Prager, Steven D. milk production brachiaria livestock economic analysis models producción lechera ganado análisis económico modelos Production of livestock and dairy products in Sub-Saharan Africa has not kept pace with growing demand. The potential exists to close this gap in a climate-friendly way through the introduction of improved forage varieties of the Brachiaria genus. We assess the potential economic impact of the development and release of such varieties in six East African countries using an economic surplus model. Results are presented across a range of potential scenarios involving different adoption rates and percentage increases in productivity. For all but the lowest levels of adoption and productivity increases, improved forages have the potential for positive return on investment. Using these results, we present formulae that help readers calculate the adoption rate or percentage increase in productivity necessary to achieve specific desired levels of net benefit. Overall, the model output suggests that investment in a forages research program related to both the qualities of the forage itself as well as programs to enhance dissemination and adoption of new materials would be low risk and with high likelihood for positive outcome, generating discounted net benefits on the order of potentially tens of millions of dollars. 2016 2016-11-01T15:36:49Z 2016-11-01T15:36:49Z Report https://hdl.handle.net/10568/77557 en Open Access application/pdf International Center for Tropical Agriculture Gonzáles, Carlos; Schiek, Ben; Mwendia, Solomon; Prager, Steven Dean. 2016. Improved forages and milk production in East Africa. A case study in the series: Economic foresight for understanding the role of investments in agriculture for the global food system. Centro Internacional de Agricultura Tropical (CIAT), Cali, CO. 54 p. (Publicación CIAT No. 422)
spellingShingle milk production
brachiaria
livestock
economic analysis
models
producción lechera
ganado
análisis económico
modelos
Gonzáles, Carlos
Schiek, Benjamin E.
Mwendia, Solomon W.
Prager, Steven D.
Improved forages and milk production in East Africa. A case study in the series: Economic foresight for understanding the role of investments in agriculture for the global food system
title Improved forages and milk production in East Africa. A case study in the series: Economic foresight for understanding the role of investments in agriculture for the global food system
title_full Improved forages and milk production in East Africa. A case study in the series: Economic foresight for understanding the role of investments in agriculture for the global food system
title_fullStr Improved forages and milk production in East Africa. A case study in the series: Economic foresight for understanding the role of investments in agriculture for the global food system
title_full_unstemmed Improved forages and milk production in East Africa. A case study in the series: Economic foresight for understanding the role of investments in agriculture for the global food system
title_short Improved forages and milk production in East Africa. A case study in the series: Economic foresight for understanding the role of investments in agriculture for the global food system
title_sort improved forages and milk production in east africa a case study in the series economic foresight for understanding the role of investments in agriculture for the global food system
topic milk production
brachiaria
livestock
economic analysis
models
producción lechera
ganado
análisis económico
modelos
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/77557
work_keys_str_mv AT gonzalescarlos improvedforagesandmilkproductionineastafricaacasestudyintheserieseconomicforesightforunderstandingtheroleofinvestmentsinagriculturefortheglobalfoodsystem
AT schiekbenjamine improvedforagesandmilkproductionineastafricaacasestudyintheserieseconomicforesightforunderstandingtheroleofinvestmentsinagriculturefortheglobalfoodsystem
AT mwendiasolomonw improvedforagesandmilkproductionineastafricaacasestudyintheserieseconomicforesightforunderstandingtheroleofinvestmentsinagriculturefortheglobalfoodsystem
AT pragerstevend improvedforagesandmilkproductionineastafricaacasestudyintheserieseconomicforesightforunderstandingtheroleofinvestmentsinagriculturefortheglobalfoodsystem