Mapping climate change adaptive capacity and vulnerability of smallholder agricultural livelihoods in Central America: ranking and descriptive approaches to support adaptation strategies

Climate change is one of the main threats to rural livelihoods in Central America, especially for small and medium-sized farmers. Climate change vulnerability assessment (CCVA) integrates biophysical and socioeconomic information to support policy decisions. We present a CCVA of agricultural livelih...

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Autores principales: Bouroncle, Claudia, Imbach, Pablo, Rodríguez Sánchez, Beatriz, Medellín, Claudia, Martínez Valle, Armando Isaac, Läderach, Peter R.D.
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Springer 2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/77177
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author Bouroncle, Claudia
Imbach, Pablo
Rodríguez Sánchez, Beatriz
Medellín, Claudia
Martínez Valle, Armando Isaac
Läderach, Peter R.D.
author_browse Bouroncle, Claudia
Imbach, Pablo
Läderach, Peter R.D.
Martínez Valle, Armando Isaac
Medellín, Claudia
Rodríguez Sánchez, Beatriz
author_facet Bouroncle, Claudia
Imbach, Pablo
Rodríguez Sánchez, Beatriz
Medellín, Claudia
Martínez Valle, Armando Isaac
Läderach, Peter R.D.
author_sort Bouroncle, Claudia
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Climate change is one of the main threats to rural livelihoods in Central America, especially for small and medium-sized farmers. Climate change vulnerability assessment (CCVA) integrates biophysical and socioeconomic information to support policy decisions. We present a CCVA of agricultural livelihoods of four countries in Central America, at the municipality level. We use the IPCC definition of vulnerability, and address the potential impact of climate change on suitability for major crops and adaptive capacity using indicators of basic human needs, as well as resources for innovation and action framed in a livelihoods approach. Adaptive capacity was estimated using ranking techniques for municipalities and descriptive multivariate analysis. Projected changes in climate suitability for crops show a wide variation between Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras and Nicaragua, and within each country. Cluster analysis of adaptive capacity values shows a gradient between higher values close to urban areas and lower values in agricultural frontier areas and in those prone to drought. Municipalities with a high proportional area under subsistence crops tend to have less resources to promote innovation and action for adaptation. Our results suggest that a full spectrum of adaptation levels and strategies must be considered in the region to achieve different adaptation goals. They also show that the adaptive capacity ranking and characterization are complementary and support geographical prioritization and identification of adaptation strategies, respectively.
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spelling CGSpace771772025-03-13T09:45:31Z Mapping climate change adaptive capacity and vulnerability of smallholder agricultural livelihoods in Central America: ranking and descriptive approaches to support adaptation strategies Bouroncle, Claudia Imbach, Pablo Rodríguez Sánchez, Beatriz Medellín, Claudia Martínez Valle, Armando Isaac Läderach, Peter R.D. climate change smallholders livelihoods crop modelling adaptation farmers cambio climático medios de vida modelización de los cultivos adaptación agricultores Climate change is one of the main threats to rural livelihoods in Central America, especially for small and medium-sized farmers. Climate change vulnerability assessment (CCVA) integrates biophysical and socioeconomic information to support policy decisions. We present a CCVA of agricultural livelihoods of four countries in Central America, at the municipality level. We use the IPCC definition of vulnerability, and address the potential impact of climate change on suitability for major crops and adaptive capacity using indicators of basic human needs, as well as resources for innovation and action framed in a livelihoods approach. Adaptive capacity was estimated using ranking techniques for municipalities and descriptive multivariate analysis. Projected changes in climate suitability for crops show a wide variation between Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras and Nicaragua, and within each country. Cluster analysis of adaptive capacity values shows a gradient between higher values close to urban areas and lower values in agricultural frontier areas and in those prone to drought. Municipalities with a high proportional area under subsistence crops tend to have less resources to promote innovation and action for adaptation. Our results suggest that a full spectrum of adaptation levels and strategies must be considered in the region to achieve different adaptation goals. They also show that the adaptive capacity ranking and characterization are complementary and support geographical prioritization and identification of adaptation strategies, respectively. 2017-03 2016-09-30T15:57:09Z 2016-09-30T15:57:09Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/77177 en Open Access Springer Bouroncle, Claudia; Imbach, Pablo; Rodríguez-Sánchez, Beatriz; Medellín, Claudia; Martinez-Valle, Armando; Läderach, Peter. 2016. Mapping climate change adaptive capacity and vulnerability of smallholder agricultural livelihoods in Central America: ranking and descriptive approaches to support adaptation strategies . Climatic Change . 1-15 p.
spellingShingle climate change
smallholders
livelihoods
crop modelling
adaptation
farmers
cambio climático
medios de vida
modelización de los cultivos
adaptación
agricultores
Bouroncle, Claudia
Imbach, Pablo
Rodríguez Sánchez, Beatriz
Medellín, Claudia
Martínez Valle, Armando Isaac
Läderach, Peter R.D.
Mapping climate change adaptive capacity and vulnerability of smallholder agricultural livelihoods in Central America: ranking and descriptive approaches to support adaptation strategies
title Mapping climate change adaptive capacity and vulnerability of smallholder agricultural livelihoods in Central America: ranking and descriptive approaches to support adaptation strategies
title_full Mapping climate change adaptive capacity and vulnerability of smallholder agricultural livelihoods in Central America: ranking and descriptive approaches to support adaptation strategies
title_fullStr Mapping climate change adaptive capacity and vulnerability of smallholder agricultural livelihoods in Central America: ranking and descriptive approaches to support adaptation strategies
title_full_unstemmed Mapping climate change adaptive capacity and vulnerability of smallholder agricultural livelihoods in Central America: ranking and descriptive approaches to support adaptation strategies
title_short Mapping climate change adaptive capacity and vulnerability of smallholder agricultural livelihoods in Central America: ranking and descriptive approaches to support adaptation strategies
title_sort mapping climate change adaptive capacity and vulnerability of smallholder agricultural livelihoods in central america ranking and descriptive approaches to support adaptation strategies
topic climate change
smallholders
livelihoods
crop modelling
adaptation
farmers
cambio climático
medios de vida
modelización de los cultivos
adaptación
agricultores
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/77177
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