Economic costs of reduced irrigation water availability in Uzbekistan (Central Asia)

Reduced river runoff and expected upstream infrastructural developments are both potential threats to irrigation water availability for the downstream countries in Central Asia. Although it has been recurrently mentioned that a reduction in water supply will hamper irrigation in the downstream count...

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Autores principales: Bekchanov, Maksud, Lamers, John P.A.
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Springer 2016
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/77032
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author Bekchanov, Maksud
Lamers, John P.A.
author_browse Bekchanov, Maksud
Lamers, John P.A.
author_facet Bekchanov, Maksud
Lamers, John P.A.
author_sort Bekchanov, Maksud
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Reduced river runoff and expected upstream infrastructural developments are both potential threats to irrigation water availability for the downstream countries in Central Asia. Although it has been recurrently mentioned that a reduction in water supply will hamper irrigation in the downstream countries, the magnitude of associated economic losses, economy-wide repercussions on employment rates, and degradation of irrigated lands has not been quantified as yet. A computable general equilibrium model is used to assess the economy-wide consequences of a reduced water supply in Uzbekistan—a country that encompasses more than half of the entire irrigated croplands in Central Asia. Modeling findings showed that a 10–20 % reduction in water supply, as expected in the near future, may reduce the areas to be irrigated by 241,000–374,000 hectares and may cause unemployment to a population of 712–868,000, resulting in a loss for the national income of 3.6–4.3 %. A series of technical, financial, and institutional measures, implementable at all levels starting from the farm to the basin scale, are discussed for reducing the expected water risks. The prospects of improving the basin-wide water management governance, increasing water and energy use efficiency, and establishing the necessary legal and institutional frameworks for enhancing the introduction of needed technological and socioeconomic change are argued as options for gaining more regional water security and equity.
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spelling CGSpace770322024-08-27T10:34:50Z Economic costs of reduced irrigation water availability in Uzbekistan (Central Asia) Bekchanov, Maksud Lamers, John P.A. economic aspects macroeconomics costs irrigation water water availability water supply water governance water use water power agriculture unemployment farmland land use income river basins downstream energy consumption models public services resource management value added household consumption Reduced river runoff and expected upstream infrastructural developments are both potential threats to irrigation water availability for the downstream countries in Central Asia. Although it has been recurrently mentioned that a reduction in water supply will hamper irrigation in the downstream countries, the magnitude of associated economic losses, economy-wide repercussions on employment rates, and degradation of irrigated lands has not been quantified as yet. A computable general equilibrium model is used to assess the economy-wide consequences of a reduced water supply in Uzbekistan—a country that encompasses more than half of the entire irrigated croplands in Central Asia. Modeling findings showed that a 10–20 % reduction in water supply, as expected in the near future, may reduce the areas to be irrigated by 241,000–374,000 hectares and may cause unemployment to a population of 712–868,000, resulting in a loss for the national income of 3.6–4.3 %. A series of technical, financial, and institutional measures, implementable at all levels starting from the farm to the basin scale, are discussed for reducing the expected water risks. The prospects of improving the basin-wide water management governance, increasing water and energy use efficiency, and establishing the necessary legal and institutional frameworks for enhancing the introduction of needed technological and socioeconomic change are argued as options for gaining more regional water security and equity. 2016-12 2016-09-13T04:24:54Z 2016-09-13T04:24:54Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/77032 en Limited Access Springer Bekchanov, Maksud; Lamers, J. P. A. 2016. Economic costs of reduced irrigation water availability in Uzbekistan (Central Asia) Regional Environmental Change, 21p. (Online first). doi: 10.1007/s10113-016-0961-z
spellingShingle economic aspects
macroeconomics
costs
irrigation water
water availability
water supply
water governance
water use
water power
agriculture
unemployment
farmland
land use
income
river basins
downstream
energy consumption
models
public services
resource management
value added
household consumption
Bekchanov, Maksud
Lamers, John P.A.
Economic costs of reduced irrigation water availability in Uzbekistan (Central Asia)
title Economic costs of reduced irrigation water availability in Uzbekistan (Central Asia)
title_full Economic costs of reduced irrigation water availability in Uzbekistan (Central Asia)
title_fullStr Economic costs of reduced irrigation water availability in Uzbekistan (Central Asia)
title_full_unstemmed Economic costs of reduced irrigation water availability in Uzbekistan (Central Asia)
title_short Economic costs of reduced irrigation water availability in Uzbekistan (Central Asia)
title_sort economic costs of reduced irrigation water availability in uzbekistan central asia
topic economic aspects
macroeconomics
costs
irrigation water
water availability
water supply
water governance
water use
water power
agriculture
unemployment
farmland
land use
income
river basins
downstream
energy consumption
models
public services
resource management
value added
household consumption
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/77032
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AT lamersjohnpa economiccostsofreducedirrigationwateravailabilityinuzbekistancentralasia