Replication Data for: Vulnerability to climate change of cocoa in West Africa: Patterns, opportunities and limits to adaptation

We use a combination of a statistical model of climatic suitability (Maxent) and the analysis of individual, potentially limiting climate variables. We find that: 1) contrary to expectation, maximum dry season temperatures are projected to become as or more limiting for cocoa as dry season water ava...

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Autores principales: Schroth, Götz, Läderach, Peter R.D., Martínez Valle, Armando Isaac, Bunn, Christian, Jassogne, Laurence T.P.
Formato: Conjunto de datos
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: 2016
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/76699
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author Schroth, Götz
Läderach, Peter R.D.
Martínez Valle, Armando Isaac
Bunn, Christian
Jassogne, Laurence T.P.
author_browse Bunn, Christian
Jassogne, Laurence T.P.
Läderach, Peter R.D.
Martínez Valle, Armando Isaac
Schroth, Götz
author_facet Schroth, Götz
Läderach, Peter R.D.
Martínez Valle, Armando Isaac
Bunn, Christian
Jassogne, Laurence T.P.
author_sort Schroth, Götz
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description We use a combination of a statistical model of climatic suitability (Maxent) and the analysis of individual, potentially limiting climate variables. We find that: 1) contrary to expectation, maximum dry season temperatures are projected to become as or more limiting for cocoa as dry season water availability; 2) to reduce the vulnerability of cocoa to excessive dry season temperatures, the systematic use of adaptation strategies like shade trees in cocoa farms will be necessary, in reversal of the current trend of shade reduction; 3) there is a strong differentiation of climate vulnerability within the cocoa belt, with the most vulnerable areas near the forest-savanna transition in Nigeria and eastern Côte d'Ivoire, and the least vulnerable areas in the southern parts of Cameroon, Ghana, Côte d'Ivoire and Liberia; 4) this spatial differentiation of climate vulnerability may lead to future shifts in cocoa production within the region, with the opportunity of partially compensating losses and gains, but also the risk of local production expansion leading to new deforestation.
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spelling CGSpace766992025-03-13T09:45:05Z Replication Data for: Vulnerability to climate change of cocoa in West Africa: Patterns, opportunities and limits to adaptation Schroth, Götz Läderach, Peter R.D. Martínez Valle, Armando Isaac Bunn, Christian Jassogne, Laurence T.P. climate change adaptation climatic data deforestation drought stress theobroma cacao We use a combination of a statistical model of climatic suitability (Maxent) and the analysis of individual, potentially limiting climate variables. We find that: 1) contrary to expectation, maximum dry season temperatures are projected to become as or more limiting for cocoa as dry season water availability; 2) to reduce the vulnerability of cocoa to excessive dry season temperatures, the systematic use of adaptation strategies like shade trees in cocoa farms will be necessary, in reversal of the current trend of shade reduction; 3) there is a strong differentiation of climate vulnerability within the cocoa belt, with the most vulnerable areas near the forest-savanna transition in Nigeria and eastern Côte d'Ivoire, and the least vulnerable areas in the southern parts of Cameroon, Ghana, Côte d'Ivoire and Liberia; 4) this spatial differentiation of climate vulnerability may lead to future shifts in cocoa production within the region, with the opportunity of partially compensating losses and gains, but also the risk of local production expansion leading to new deforestation. 2016 2016-08-31T20:49:00Z 2016-08-31T20:49:00Z Dataset https://hdl.handle.net/10568/76699 en Open Access Schroth, Götz; Läderach, Peter; Martinez-Valle, Armando; Bunn, Christian; Jassogne, Laurence, 2016, "Replication Data for: Vulnerability to climate change of cocoa in West Africa: Patterns, opportunities and limits to adaptation", doi:10.7910/DVN/5W7LGW, Harvard Dataverse, V1
spellingShingle climate change adaptation
climatic data
deforestation
drought stress
theobroma cacao
Schroth, Götz
Läderach, Peter R.D.
Martínez Valle, Armando Isaac
Bunn, Christian
Jassogne, Laurence T.P.
Replication Data for: Vulnerability to climate change of cocoa in West Africa: Patterns, opportunities and limits to adaptation
title Replication Data for: Vulnerability to climate change of cocoa in West Africa: Patterns, opportunities and limits to adaptation
title_full Replication Data for: Vulnerability to climate change of cocoa in West Africa: Patterns, opportunities and limits to adaptation
title_fullStr Replication Data for: Vulnerability to climate change of cocoa in West Africa: Patterns, opportunities and limits to adaptation
title_full_unstemmed Replication Data for: Vulnerability to climate change of cocoa in West Africa: Patterns, opportunities and limits to adaptation
title_short Replication Data for: Vulnerability to climate change of cocoa in West Africa: Patterns, opportunities and limits to adaptation
title_sort replication data for vulnerability to climate change of cocoa in west africa patterns opportunities and limits to adaptation
topic climate change adaptation
climatic data
deforestation
drought stress
theobroma cacao
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/76699
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