Analysis of relationships between production of yam [Dioscorea spp.] and its determinants in Nigeria: a cointegration approach

The associations between the production and some of the variously-debated factors that have the tendency to influence it, including cultivated land area, yield, and climatic conditions, were investigated for yams (Discora Roundata), a leading tuber crop in Nigeria. Secondary data collected from two...

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Main Authors: Ojiako, I., Tarawali, G., Akwarandu, B., Okechukwu, R.U., Idowu, A.
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/76678
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author Ojiako, I.
Tarawali, G.
Akwarandu, B.
Okechukwu, R.U.
Idowu, A.
author_browse Akwarandu, B.
Idowu, A.
Ojiako, I.
Okechukwu, R.U.
Tarawali, G.
author_facet Ojiako, I.
Tarawali, G.
Akwarandu, B.
Okechukwu, R.U.
Idowu, A.
author_sort Ojiako, I.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The associations between the production and some of the variously-debated factors that have the tendency to influence it, including cultivated land area, yield, and climatic conditions, were investigated for yams (Discora Roundata), a leading tuber crop in Nigeria. Secondary data collected from two reliable sources covering the 1961-2008 periods were used for the study. Data were analyzed using advanced econometric cointegration technique. Results of the unit roots tests revealed that production, land area, and yield of yams were each integrated of order one, I(1), compelling their use for cointegration analysis. However, the two included climatic factors, rainfall and temperature integrated only at levels, I(0), making them unsuitable for use in cointegration tests and were consequently dropped. Results showed further that cointegration existed between production and land area on the one hand and yield on the other. The resultant trace- and maximum eigenvalue statistics were 29.83 (p<0.01) and 29.22 (p<0.01) respectively for test involving production and land area, and 29.85 (p<0.01) and 29.23 (p<0.1) respectively for test of production with yield. The Bivariate Granger causality tests could not reveal any causality either from land area to production or vise versa. Also, although causality could not be revealed from yield to production, an inverse, but weak, causality (F=2.83; p<0.05) was observed from production to yield. The implication of the finding is that past values of cultivated land area and yield could not be used as reliable indicators for predicting the future values of yam production in Nigeria. A lot more other factors had contributed to past fluctuations in yam production and there was need to adopt an across-the-board approach in the development of the yams sector in Nigeria.
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spelling CGSpace766782023-06-08T14:51:49Z Analysis of relationships between production of yam [Dioscorea spp.] and its determinants in Nigeria: a cointegration approach Ojiako, I. Tarawali, G. Akwarandu, B. Okechukwu, R.U. Idowu, A. yams production yield weather condition The associations between the production and some of the variously-debated factors that have the tendency to influence it, including cultivated land area, yield, and climatic conditions, were investigated for yams (Discora Roundata), a leading tuber crop in Nigeria. Secondary data collected from two reliable sources covering the 1961-2008 periods were used for the study. Data were analyzed using advanced econometric cointegration technique. Results of the unit roots tests revealed that production, land area, and yield of yams were each integrated of order one, I(1), compelling their use for cointegration analysis. However, the two included climatic factors, rainfall and temperature integrated only at levels, I(0), making them unsuitable for use in cointegration tests and were consequently dropped. Results showed further that cointegration existed between production and land area on the one hand and yield on the other. The resultant trace- and maximum eigenvalue statistics were 29.83 (p<0.01) and 29.22 (p<0.01) respectively for test involving production and land area, and 29.85 (p<0.01) and 29.23 (p<0.1) respectively for test of production with yield. The Bivariate Granger causality tests could not reveal any causality either from land area to production or vise versa. Also, although causality could not be revealed from yield to production, an inverse, but weak, causality (F=2.83; p<0.05) was observed from production to yield. The implication of the finding is that past values of cultivated land area and yield could not be used as reliable indicators for predicting the future values of yam production in Nigeria. A lot more other factors had contributed to past fluctuations in yam production and there was need to adopt an across-the-board approach in the development of the yams sector in Nigeria. 2013 2016-08-30T12:46:27Z 2016-08-30T12:46:27Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/76678 en Limited Access Ojiako, I., Tarawali, G., Akwarandu, B., Okechukwu, R. & Idowu, A. (2013). Analysis of relationships between production of yam [Dioscorea spp.] and its determinants in Nigeria: a cointegration approach. African Journal of Root and Tuber Crops, 10(1), 1-8.
spellingShingle yams
production
yield
weather condition
Ojiako, I.
Tarawali, G.
Akwarandu, B.
Okechukwu, R.U.
Idowu, A.
Analysis of relationships between production of yam [Dioscorea spp.] and its determinants in Nigeria: a cointegration approach
title Analysis of relationships between production of yam [Dioscorea spp.] and its determinants in Nigeria: a cointegration approach
title_full Analysis of relationships between production of yam [Dioscorea spp.] and its determinants in Nigeria: a cointegration approach
title_fullStr Analysis of relationships between production of yam [Dioscorea spp.] and its determinants in Nigeria: a cointegration approach
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of relationships between production of yam [Dioscorea spp.] and its determinants in Nigeria: a cointegration approach
title_short Analysis of relationships between production of yam [Dioscorea spp.] and its determinants in Nigeria: a cointegration approach
title_sort analysis of relationships between production of yam dioscorea spp and its determinants in nigeria a cointegration approach
topic yams
production
yield
weather condition
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/76678
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