Economic, Production, and Poverty Impacts of Investing in Maize Tolerant to Drought in Africa: An Ex-Ante Assessment

The potential impacts of investing in drought tolerant maize (DTM) in 13 countries of eastern, southern and western Africa were analyzed through an innovative economic surplus analysis framework, to identify where greatest economic returns and poverty reduction may be achieved. Assuming a potential...

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Autores principales: La Rovere, R., Abdoulaye, Tahirou, Kostandini, G., Guo, Zhe, Mwangi, W., MacRobert, J., Dixon, John A.
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Project MUSE 2014
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/73032
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author La Rovere, R.
Abdoulaye, Tahirou
Kostandini, G.
Guo, Zhe
Mwangi, W.
MacRobert, J.
Dixon, John A.
author_browse Abdoulaye, Tahirou
Dixon, John A.
Guo, Zhe
Kostandini, G.
La Rovere, R.
MacRobert, J.
Mwangi, W.
author_facet La Rovere, R.
Abdoulaye, Tahirou
Kostandini, G.
Guo, Zhe
Mwangi, W.
MacRobert, J.
Dixon, John A.
author_sort La Rovere, R.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The potential impacts of investing in drought tolerant maize (DTM) in 13 countries of eastern, southern and western Africa were analyzed through an innovative economic surplus analysis framework, to identify where greatest economic returns and poverty reduction may be achieved. Assuming a potential full replacement of improved varieties with DTM varieties, by 2016 there would be economic gains of US$ 907 million over all countries under conservative yield gains, or US$ 1,535 million under optimistic yield gains. Largest gains in terms of consumer and producers surplus are in Nigeria, Zimbabwe and Malawi. However, in terms of production gains and poverty reduction, the countries gaining most are Nigeria, Kenya and Malawi (in terms of production); and Zimbabwe, Malawi and Kenya (number of people out of poverty). A total of 4 million people — both producers and consumers— would have their poverty greatly reduced in all countries. To achieve these impacts, deployment strategies are discussed and various options are suggested, which depend on local context and state of the national seed sectors.
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spelling CGSpace730322025-07-30T19:50:37Z Economic, Production, and Poverty Impacts of Investing in Maize Tolerant to Drought in Africa: An Ex-Ante Assessment La Rovere, R. Abdoulaye, Tahirou Kostandini, G. Guo, Zhe Mwangi, W. MacRobert, J. Dixon, John A. ex ante impact assessment maize drought tolerance poverty The potential impacts of investing in drought tolerant maize (DTM) in 13 countries of eastern, southern and western Africa were analyzed through an innovative economic surplus analysis framework, to identify where greatest economic returns and poverty reduction may be achieved. Assuming a potential full replacement of improved varieties with DTM varieties, by 2016 there would be economic gains of US$ 907 million over all countries under conservative yield gains, or US$ 1,535 million under optimistic yield gains. Largest gains in terms of consumer and producers surplus are in Nigeria, Zimbabwe and Malawi. However, in terms of production gains and poverty reduction, the countries gaining most are Nigeria, Kenya and Malawi (in terms of production); and Zimbabwe, Malawi and Kenya (number of people out of poverty). A total of 4 million people — both producers and consumers— would have their poverty greatly reduced in all countries. To achieve these impacts, deployment strategies are discussed and various options are suggested, which depend on local context and state of the national seed sectors. 2014 2016-04-21T07:18:22Z 2016-04-21T07:18:22Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/73032 en Limited Access Project MUSE La Rovere, R., Abdoulaye, T., Kostandini, G., Guo, Z., Mwangi, W., MacRobert, J. & Dixon, J. (2014). Economic, production, and poverty impacts of investing in maize tolerant to drought in africa: an ex-ante assessment. The Journal of Developing Areas, 48(1), 199-225.
spellingShingle ex ante impact assessment
maize
drought tolerance
poverty
La Rovere, R.
Abdoulaye, Tahirou
Kostandini, G.
Guo, Zhe
Mwangi, W.
MacRobert, J.
Dixon, John A.
Economic, Production, and Poverty Impacts of Investing in Maize Tolerant to Drought in Africa: An Ex-Ante Assessment
title Economic, Production, and Poverty Impacts of Investing in Maize Tolerant to Drought in Africa: An Ex-Ante Assessment
title_full Economic, Production, and Poverty Impacts of Investing in Maize Tolerant to Drought in Africa: An Ex-Ante Assessment
title_fullStr Economic, Production, and Poverty Impacts of Investing in Maize Tolerant to Drought in Africa: An Ex-Ante Assessment
title_full_unstemmed Economic, Production, and Poverty Impacts of Investing in Maize Tolerant to Drought in Africa: An Ex-Ante Assessment
title_short Economic, Production, and Poverty Impacts of Investing in Maize Tolerant to Drought in Africa: An Ex-Ante Assessment
title_sort economic production and poverty impacts of investing in maize tolerant to drought in africa an ex ante assessment
topic ex ante impact assessment
maize
drought tolerance
poverty
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/73032
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