Exante economic impact assessment of genetically modified banana resistant to Xanthomonas wilt in the great lakes region of Africa

Credible empirical evidence is scanty on the social implications of genetically modified (GM) crops in Africa, especially on vegetatively propagated crops. Little is known about the future success of introducing GM technologies into staple crops such as bananas, which are widely produced and consume...

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Main Authors: Ainembabazi, John H., Tripathi, L., Rusike, Joseph, Abdoulaye, Tahirou, Manyong, Victor M.
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Public Library of Science 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/72998
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author Ainembabazi, John H.
Tripathi, L.
Rusike, Joseph
Abdoulaye, Tahirou
Manyong, Victor M.
author_browse Abdoulaye, Tahirou
Ainembabazi, John H.
Manyong, Victor M.
Rusike, Joseph
Tripathi, L.
author_facet Ainembabazi, John H.
Tripathi, L.
Rusike, Joseph
Abdoulaye, Tahirou
Manyong, Victor M.
author_sort Ainembabazi, John H.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Credible empirical evidence is scanty on the social implications of genetically modified (GM) crops in Africa, especially on vegetatively propagated crops. Little is known about the future success of introducing GM technologies into staple crops such as bananas, which are widely produced and consumed in the Great Lakes Region of Africa (GLA). GM banana has a potential to control the destructive banana Xanthomonas wilt disease. To gain a better understanding of future adoption and consumption of GM banana in the GLA countries which are yet to permit the production of GM crops; specifically, to evaluate the potential economic impacts of GM cultivars resistant to banana Xanthomonas wilt disease. The paper uses data collected from farmers, traders, agricultural extension agents and key informants in the GLA. We analyze the perceptions of the respondents about the adoption and consumption of GM crop. Economic surplus model is used to determine future economic benefits and costs of producing GM banana. On the release of GM banana for commercialization, the expected initial adoption rate ranges from 21 to 70%, while the ceiling adoption rate is up to 100%. Investment in the development of GM banana is economically viable. However, aggregate benefits vary substantially across the target countries ranging from US$ 20 million to 953 million, highest in countries where disease incidence and production losses are high, ranging from 51 to 83% of production. The findings support investment in the development of GM banana resistant to Xanthomonas wilt disease. The main beneficiaries of this technology development are farmers and consumers, although the latter benefit more than the former from reduced prices. Designing a participatory breeding program involving farmers and consumers signifies the successful adoption and consumption of GM banana in the target countries.
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spelling CGSpace729982025-11-11T10:43:23Z Exante economic impact assessment of genetically modified banana resistant to Xanthomonas wilt in the great lakes region of Africa Ainembabazi, John H. Tripathi, L. Rusike, Joseph Abdoulaye, Tahirou Manyong, Victor M. xanthomonas genetically modified bananas Credible empirical evidence is scanty on the social implications of genetically modified (GM) crops in Africa, especially on vegetatively propagated crops. Little is known about the future success of introducing GM technologies into staple crops such as bananas, which are widely produced and consumed in the Great Lakes Region of Africa (GLA). GM banana has a potential to control the destructive banana Xanthomonas wilt disease. To gain a better understanding of future adoption and consumption of GM banana in the GLA countries which are yet to permit the production of GM crops; specifically, to evaluate the potential economic impacts of GM cultivars resistant to banana Xanthomonas wilt disease. The paper uses data collected from farmers, traders, agricultural extension agents and key informants in the GLA. We analyze the perceptions of the respondents about the adoption and consumption of GM crop. Economic surplus model is used to determine future economic benefits and costs of producing GM banana. On the release of GM banana for commercialization, the expected initial adoption rate ranges from 21 to 70%, while the ceiling adoption rate is up to 100%. Investment in the development of GM banana is economically viable. However, aggregate benefits vary substantially across the target countries ranging from US$ 20 million to 953 million, highest in countries where disease incidence and production losses are high, ranging from 51 to 83% of production. The findings support investment in the development of GM banana resistant to Xanthomonas wilt disease. The main beneficiaries of this technology development are farmers and consumers, although the latter benefit more than the former from reduced prices. Designing a participatory breeding program involving farmers and consumers signifies the successful adoption and consumption of GM banana in the target countries. 2015-09 2016-04-21T07:16:27Z 2016-04-21T07:16:27Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/72998 en Open Access application/pdf Public Library of Science Ainembabazi, J.H., Tripathi, L., Rusike, J., Abdoulaye, T. & Manyong, V. (2015). Ex-ante economic impact assessment of genetically modified banana resistant to xanthomonas wilt in the great lakes region of Africa. PloS one, 10(9), e0138998.
spellingShingle xanthomonas
genetically modified
bananas
Ainembabazi, John H.
Tripathi, L.
Rusike, Joseph
Abdoulaye, Tahirou
Manyong, Victor M.
Exante economic impact assessment of genetically modified banana resistant to Xanthomonas wilt in the great lakes region of Africa
title Exante economic impact assessment of genetically modified banana resistant to Xanthomonas wilt in the great lakes region of Africa
title_full Exante economic impact assessment of genetically modified banana resistant to Xanthomonas wilt in the great lakes region of Africa
title_fullStr Exante economic impact assessment of genetically modified banana resistant to Xanthomonas wilt in the great lakes region of Africa
title_full_unstemmed Exante economic impact assessment of genetically modified banana resistant to Xanthomonas wilt in the great lakes region of Africa
title_short Exante economic impact assessment of genetically modified banana resistant to Xanthomonas wilt in the great lakes region of Africa
title_sort exante economic impact assessment of genetically modified banana resistant to xanthomonas wilt in the great lakes region of africa
topic xanthomonas
genetically modified
bananas
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/72998
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