A mathematical model for the dynamics of banana Xanthomonas Wilt with vertical transmission and inflorescence infection

A mathematical model for Banana Xanthomonas Wilt (BXW) spread by insect vector is presented. The model incorporates inflorescence infection and vertical transmission from the mother corm to attached suckers, but not tool-based transmission by humans. Expressions for the basic reproduction number [Fo...

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Autores principales: Nakakawa, J., Mugisha, J.Y.T., Shaw, M.W., Karamura, E.B.
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: World Scientific Publishing 2016
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/72811
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author Nakakawa, J.
Mugisha, J.Y.T.
Shaw, M.W.
Karamura, E.B.
author_browse Karamura, E.B.
Mugisha, J.Y.T.
Nakakawa, J.
Shaw, M.W.
author_facet Nakakawa, J.
Mugisha, J.Y.T.
Shaw, M.W.
Karamura, E.B.
author_sort Nakakawa, J.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description A mathematical model for Banana Xanthomonas Wilt (BXW) spread by insect vector is presented. The model incorporates inflorescence infection and vertical transmission from the mother corm to attached suckers, but not tool-based transmission by humans. Expressions for the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] are obtained and it is verified that disease persists, at a unique endemic level, when [Formula: see text]. From sensitivity analysis, inflorescence infection rate and roguing rate were the parameters with most influence on disease persistence and equilibrium level. Vertical transmission parameters had less effect on persistence threshold values. Parameters were approximately estimated from field data. The model indicates that single stem removal is a feasible approach to eradication if spread is mainly via inflorescence infection. This requires continuous surveillance and debudding such that a 50% reduction in inflorescence infection and 2–3 weeks interval of surveillance would eventually lead to full recovery of banana plantations and hence improved production.
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spelling CGSpace728112025-12-08T10:29:22Z A mathematical model for the dynamics of banana Xanthomonas Wilt with vertical transmission and inflorescence infection Nakakawa, J. Mugisha, J.Y.T. Shaw, M.W. Karamura, E.B. xanthomonas campestris inflorescences infection roguing vertical transmission mathematical models A mathematical model for Banana Xanthomonas Wilt (BXW) spread by insect vector is presented. The model incorporates inflorescence infection and vertical transmission from the mother corm to attached suckers, but not tool-based transmission by humans. Expressions for the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] are obtained and it is verified that disease persists, at a unique endemic level, when [Formula: see text]. From sensitivity analysis, inflorescence infection rate and roguing rate were the parameters with most influence on disease persistence and equilibrium level. Vertical transmission parameters had less effect on persistence threshold values. Parameters were approximately estimated from field data. The model indicates that single stem removal is a feasible approach to eradication if spread is mainly via inflorescence infection. This requires continuous surveillance and debudding such that a 50% reduction in inflorescence infection and 2–3 weeks interval of surveillance would eventually lead to full recovery of banana plantations and hence improved production. 2016-03 2016-04-06T09:47:07Z 2016-04-06T09:47:07Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/72811 en Limited Access application/pdf World Scientific Publishing Nakakawa, J.; Mugisha, J.Y.T.; Shaw, M.W.; Karamura, E. (2016) A mathematical model for the dynamics of banana Xanthomonas Wilt with vertical transmission and inflorescence infection. Journal of Biological Systems, 24 (1) p. 147–165 ISSN: 0218-3390
spellingShingle xanthomonas campestris
inflorescences
infection
roguing
vertical transmission
mathematical models
Nakakawa, J.
Mugisha, J.Y.T.
Shaw, M.W.
Karamura, E.B.
A mathematical model for the dynamics of banana Xanthomonas Wilt with vertical transmission and inflorescence infection
title A mathematical model for the dynamics of banana Xanthomonas Wilt with vertical transmission and inflorescence infection
title_full A mathematical model for the dynamics of banana Xanthomonas Wilt with vertical transmission and inflorescence infection
title_fullStr A mathematical model for the dynamics of banana Xanthomonas Wilt with vertical transmission and inflorescence infection
title_full_unstemmed A mathematical model for the dynamics of banana Xanthomonas Wilt with vertical transmission and inflorescence infection
title_short A mathematical model for the dynamics of banana Xanthomonas Wilt with vertical transmission and inflorescence infection
title_sort mathematical model for the dynamics of banana xanthomonas wilt with vertical transmission and inflorescence infection
topic xanthomonas campestris
inflorescences
infection
roguing
vertical transmission
mathematical models
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/72811
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