Ensembles and uncertainty in climate change impacts

The increasing use of multi-member climate model ensembles for making future climate impact assessments presents both opportunities for understanding uncertainties, and challenges for interpreting the results. We outline current approaches to assessing uncertainties in climate impacts, statistical m...

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Autores principales: Falloon, Pete D., Challinor, Andrew J., Dessai, S., Hoang L, Johnson J, Köhler, Ann-Kristin
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Frontiers Media 2014
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/68179
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author Falloon, Pete D.
Challinor, Andrew J.
Dessai, S.
Hoang L
Johnson J
Köhler, Ann-Kristin
author_browse Challinor, Andrew J.
Dessai, S.
Falloon, Pete D.
Hoang L
Johnson J
Köhler, Ann-Kristin
author_facet Falloon, Pete D.
Challinor, Andrew J.
Dessai, S.
Hoang L
Johnson J
Köhler, Ann-Kristin
author_sort Falloon, Pete D.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The increasing use of multi-member climate model ensembles for making future climate impact assessments presents both opportunities for understanding uncertainties, and challenges for interpreting the results. We outline current approaches to assessing uncertainties in climate impacts, statistical methods for assessing uncertainties, issues regarding model integration and complexity, and ways in which uncertainty frameworks can be used to inform adaptation decisions, with case studies focused on agriculture. Finally, we highlight future research needs and provide recommendations for making further progress.
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publishDate 2014
publishDateRange 2014
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publisherStr Frontiers Media
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spelling CGSpace681792025-12-08T10:29:22Z Ensembles and uncertainty in climate change impacts Falloon, Pete D. Challinor, Andrew J. Dessai, S. Hoang L Johnson J Köhler, Ann-Kristin climate change agriculture food security models adaptation The increasing use of multi-member climate model ensembles for making future climate impact assessments presents both opportunities for understanding uncertainties, and challenges for interpreting the results. We outline current approaches to assessing uncertainties in climate impacts, statistical methods for assessing uncertainties, issues regarding model integration and complexity, and ways in which uncertainty frameworks can be used to inform adaptation decisions, with case studies focused on agriculture. Finally, we highlight future research needs and provide recommendations for making further progress. 2014 2015-09-16T17:00:32Z 2015-09-16T17:00:32Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/68179 en Open Access Frontiers Media Falloon P, Challinor A, Dessai S, Hoang L, Johnson J, Koehler AK. 2014. Ensembles and uncertainty in climate change impacts. Frontiers in Environmental Science 2:33.
spellingShingle climate change
agriculture
food security
models
adaptation
Falloon, Pete D.
Challinor, Andrew J.
Dessai, S.
Hoang L
Johnson J
Köhler, Ann-Kristin
Ensembles and uncertainty in climate change impacts
title Ensembles and uncertainty in climate change impacts
title_full Ensembles and uncertainty in climate change impacts
title_fullStr Ensembles and uncertainty in climate change impacts
title_full_unstemmed Ensembles and uncertainty in climate change impacts
title_short Ensembles and uncertainty in climate change impacts
title_sort ensembles and uncertainty in climate change impacts
topic climate change
agriculture
food security
models
adaptation
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/68179
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AT johnsonj ensemblesanduncertaintyinclimatechangeimpacts
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