Projected shifts in Coffea arabica suitability among major global producing regions due to climate change
Regional studies have shown that climate change will affect climatic suitability for Arabica coffee (Coffea arabica) within current regions of production. Increases in temperature and changes in precipitation patterns will decrease yield, reduce quality and increase pest and disease pressure. This i...
| Autores principales: | , , , , |
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| Formato: | Journal Article |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Public Library of Science
2015
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/65365 |
| _version_ | 1855524163458957312 |
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| author | Ovalle Rivera, Oriana Läderach, Peter R.D. Bunn, Christian Obersteiner, Michael Schroth, Götz |
| author_browse | Bunn, Christian Läderach, Peter R.D. Obersteiner, Michael Ovalle Rivera, Oriana Schroth, Götz |
| author_facet | Ovalle Rivera, Oriana Läderach, Peter R.D. Bunn, Christian Obersteiner, Michael Schroth, Götz |
| author_sort | Ovalle Rivera, Oriana |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Regional studies have shown that climate change will affect climatic suitability for Arabica coffee (Coffea arabica) within current regions of production. Increases in temperature and changes in precipitation patterns will decrease yield, reduce quality and increase pest and disease pressure. This is the first global study on the impact of climate change on suitability to grow Arabica coffee. We modeled the global distribution of Arabica coffee under changes in climatic suitability by 2050s as projected by 21 global circulation models. The results suggest decreased areas suitable for Arabica coffee in Mesoamerica at lower altitudes. In South America close to the equator higher elevations could benefit, but higher latitudes lose suitability. Coffee regions in Ethiopia and Kenya are projected to become more suitable but those in India and Vietnam to become less suitable. Globally, we predict decreases in climatic suitability at lower altitudes and high latitudes, which may shift production among the major regions that produce Arabica coffee. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace65365 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2015 |
| publishDateRange | 2015 |
| publishDateSort | 2015 |
| publisher | Public Library of Science |
| publisherStr | Public Library of Science |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace653652025-04-17T08:26:20Z Projected shifts in Coffea arabica suitability among major global producing regions due to climate change Ovalle Rivera, Oriana Läderach, Peter R.D. Bunn, Christian Obersteiner, Michael Schroth, Götz climate change coffea arabica adaptation coffea canephora cambio climatico adaptación Regional studies have shown that climate change will affect climatic suitability for Arabica coffee (Coffea arabica) within current regions of production. Increases in temperature and changes in precipitation patterns will decrease yield, reduce quality and increase pest and disease pressure. This is the first global study on the impact of climate change on suitability to grow Arabica coffee. We modeled the global distribution of Arabica coffee under changes in climatic suitability by 2050s as projected by 21 global circulation models. The results suggest decreased areas suitable for Arabica coffee in Mesoamerica at lower altitudes. In South America close to the equator higher elevations could benefit, but higher latitudes lose suitability. Coffee regions in Ethiopia and Kenya are projected to become more suitable but those in India and Vietnam to become less suitable. Globally, we predict decreases in climatic suitability at lower altitudes and high latitudes, which may shift production among the major regions that produce Arabica coffee. 2015-04-14 2015-04-30T14:32:59Z 2015-04-30T14:32:59Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/65365 en Open Access Public Library of Science Ovalle Rivera, Oriana; Läderach, Peter; Bunn, Christian; Obersteiner, Michael; Schroth, Götz. 2015. Projected shifts in Coffea arabica suitability among major global producing regions due to climate change. PLoS One 10(4):e0124155. |
| spellingShingle | climate change coffea arabica adaptation coffea canephora cambio climatico adaptación Ovalle Rivera, Oriana Läderach, Peter R.D. Bunn, Christian Obersteiner, Michael Schroth, Götz Projected shifts in Coffea arabica suitability among major global producing regions due to climate change |
| title | Projected shifts in Coffea arabica suitability among major global producing regions due to climate change |
| title_full | Projected shifts in Coffea arabica suitability among major global producing regions due to climate change |
| title_fullStr | Projected shifts in Coffea arabica suitability among major global producing regions due to climate change |
| title_full_unstemmed | Projected shifts in Coffea arabica suitability among major global producing regions due to climate change |
| title_short | Projected shifts in Coffea arabica suitability among major global producing regions due to climate change |
| title_sort | projected shifts in coffea arabica suitability among major global producing regions due to climate change |
| topic | climate change coffea arabica adaptation coffea canephora cambio climatico adaptación |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/65365 |
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