Issues and strategies in ex-post evaluation of intervention against animal disease outbreaks and spread
Animal disease outbreaks pose a significant threat in terms of potential economic losses, reduced productivity, and negative impacts on public health, food security and nutrition. This paper considers four issues in ex-post evaluation of animal disease interventions: firstly, a counterfactual involv...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | Inglés |
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Elsevier
2014
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/52229 |
| _version_ | 1855514229477474304 |
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| author | Fadiga, M.L. Katjiuongua, Hikuepi B. |
| author_browse | Fadiga, M.L. Katjiuongua, Hikuepi B. |
| author_facet | Fadiga, M.L. Katjiuongua, Hikuepi B. |
| author_sort | Fadiga, M.L. |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Animal disease outbreaks pose a significant threat in terms of potential economic losses, reduced productivity, and negative impacts on public health, food security and nutrition. This paper considers four issues in ex-post evaluation of animal disease interventions: firstly, a counterfactual involves simulating disease trajectories without the intervention. But some diseases can become endemic or become dormant after an outbreak, making it a challenge to know the true trajectory without the intervention. Secondly, without adequate design of controls and treatments, how can the estimated impacts be attributed to a given intervention? Thirdly, how do we assess costs saved by the intervention? Fourthly, given data uncertainty, would a stochastic simulation give better estimates than a deterministic one in solving for key variables? This paper addresses these issues and proposes solutions that bridge the gap between household level analysis and macro-level simulations in modelling the impact of animal diseases outbreaks. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace52229 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2014 |
| publishDateRange | 2014 |
| publishDateSort | 2014 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| publisherStr | Elsevier |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace522292023-12-08T19:36:04Z Issues and strategies in ex-post evaluation of intervention against animal disease outbreaks and spread Fadiga, M.L. Katjiuongua, Hikuepi B. animal diseases disease control zoonoses development food science Animal disease outbreaks pose a significant threat in terms of potential economic losses, reduced productivity, and negative impacts on public health, food security and nutrition. This paper considers four issues in ex-post evaluation of animal disease interventions: firstly, a counterfactual involves simulating disease trajectories without the intervention. But some diseases can become endemic or become dormant after an outbreak, making it a challenge to know the true trajectory without the intervention. Secondly, without adequate design of controls and treatments, how can the estimated impacts be attributed to a given intervention? Thirdly, how do we assess costs saved by the intervention? Fourthly, given data uncertainty, would a stochastic simulation give better estimates than a deterministic one in solving for key variables? This paper addresses these issues and proposes solutions that bridge the gap between household level analysis and macro-level simulations in modelling the impact of animal diseases outbreaks. 2014-12 2014-12-17T07:04:51Z 2014-12-17T07:04:51Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/52229 en Limited Access Elsevier Fadiga, M.L. and Katjiuongua, H.B. 2014. Issues and strategies in ex-post evaluation of intervention against animal disease outbreaks and spread. Food Policy 49(2): 418-424. |
| spellingShingle | animal diseases disease control zoonoses development food science Fadiga, M.L. Katjiuongua, Hikuepi B. Issues and strategies in ex-post evaluation of intervention against animal disease outbreaks and spread |
| title | Issues and strategies in ex-post evaluation of intervention against animal disease outbreaks and spread |
| title_full | Issues and strategies in ex-post evaluation of intervention against animal disease outbreaks and spread |
| title_fullStr | Issues and strategies in ex-post evaluation of intervention against animal disease outbreaks and spread |
| title_full_unstemmed | Issues and strategies in ex-post evaluation of intervention against animal disease outbreaks and spread |
| title_short | Issues and strategies in ex-post evaluation of intervention against animal disease outbreaks and spread |
| title_sort | issues and strategies in ex post evaluation of intervention against animal disease outbreaks and spread |
| topic | animal diseases disease control zoonoses development food science |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/52229 |
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