Chinese Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures

Climate change is now affecting agriculture and food production in every country of the world. Here the authors present the IMPACT model results on yield, production, and net trade of major crops in China, and on daily calorie availability as an overall indicator of food security under climate chang...

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Main Authors: Ye L, Tang H, Wu, Wenliang, Yang P, Nelson, Gerald C., Mason-D'Croz, Daniel, Palazzo, Amanda
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: ZBW - German National Library of Economics 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/52160
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author Ye L
Tang H
Wu, Wenliang
Yang P
Nelson, Gerald C.
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
Palazzo, Amanda
author_browse Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
Nelson, Gerald C.
Palazzo, Amanda
Tang H
Wu, Wenliang
Yang P
Ye L
author_facet Ye L
Tang H
Wu, Wenliang
Yang P
Nelson, Gerald C.
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
Palazzo, Amanda
author_sort Ye L
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Climate change is now affecting agriculture and food production in every country of the world. Here the authors present the IMPACT model results on yield, production, and net trade of major crops in China, and on daily calorie availability as an overall indicator of food security under climate change scenarios and socio-economic pathways in 2050. The obtained results show a relatively optimistic outlook on yield, production and trade toward 2050. The outcomes of calorie availability suggest that China will be able to maintain a level of at least 3,000 kilocalories per day through 2010 to 2050. Overall, Chinese agriculture is relatively resilient to climate change. It is unlikely that Chinese food security by 2050 will be compromised in the context of climate change. The major challenge to food security, however, will rise from increasing demand coupled with regional disparities in adaptive capacity to climate change.
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spelling CGSpace521602025-11-13T10:38:51Z Chinese Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures Ye L Tang H Wu, Wenliang Yang P Nelson, Gerald C. Mason-D'Croz, Daniel Palazzo, Amanda climate agriculture food production food security Climate change is now affecting agriculture and food production in every country of the world. Here the authors present the IMPACT model results on yield, production, and net trade of major crops in China, and on daily calorie availability as an overall indicator of food security under climate change scenarios and socio-economic pathways in 2050. The obtained results show a relatively optimistic outlook on yield, production and trade toward 2050. The outcomes of calorie availability suggest that China will be able to maintain a level of at least 3,000 kilocalories per day through 2010 to 2050. Overall, Chinese agriculture is relatively resilient to climate change. It is unlikely that Chinese food security by 2050 will be compromised in the context of climate change. The major challenge to food security, however, will rise from increasing demand coupled with regional disparities in adaptive capacity to climate change. 2014-12-01 2014-12-16T06:37:37Z 2014-12-16T06:37:37Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/52160 en Open Access ZBW - German National Library of Economics Ye L, Tang H, Wu W, Yang P, Nelson GC, Mason-D’Croz D, Palazzo A. 2014. Chinese Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures. Economics 8(2014-1):1-39
spellingShingle climate
agriculture
food production
food security
Ye L
Tang H
Wu, Wenliang
Yang P
Nelson, Gerald C.
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
Palazzo, Amanda
Chinese Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures
title Chinese Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures
title_full Chinese Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures
title_fullStr Chinese Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures
title_full_unstemmed Chinese Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures
title_short Chinese Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures
title_sort chinese food security and climate change agriculture futures
topic climate
agriculture
food production
food security
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/52160
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