The importance of health co-benefits in macroeconomic assessments of UK Greenhouse Gas emission reduction strategies

We employ a single-country dynamically-recursive Computable General Equilibrium model to make health-focussed macroeconomic assessments of three contingent UK Greenhouse Gas (GHG) mitigation strategies, designed to achieve 2030 emission targets as suggested by the UK Committee on Climate Change. In...

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Autores principales: Tarp Jensen H, Keogh-Brown MR, Smith, R.D., Chalabi Z, Dangour, Alan D., Davies, M., Edwards, P., Garnett, Tara, Givoni M, Griffiths U, Hamilton I, Jarrett J, Roberts I, Wilkinson P, Woodend, John, Haines A
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Springer 2013
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/52136
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author Tarp Jensen H
Keogh-Brown MR
Smith, R.D.
Chalabi Z
Dangour, Alan D.
Davies, M.
Edwards, P.
Garnett, Tara
Givoni M
Griffiths U
Hamilton I
Jarrett J
Roberts I
Wilkinson P
Woodend, John
Haines A
author_browse Chalabi Z
Dangour, Alan D.
Davies, M.
Edwards, P.
Garnett, Tara
Givoni M
Griffiths U
Haines A
Hamilton I
Jarrett J
Keogh-Brown MR
Roberts I
Smith, R.D.
Tarp Jensen H
Wilkinson P
Woodend, John
author_facet Tarp Jensen H
Keogh-Brown MR
Smith, R.D.
Chalabi Z
Dangour, Alan D.
Davies, M.
Edwards, P.
Garnett, Tara
Givoni M
Griffiths U
Hamilton I
Jarrett J
Roberts I
Wilkinson P
Woodend, John
Haines A
author_sort Tarp Jensen H
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description We employ a single-country dynamically-recursive Computable General Equilibrium model to make health-focussed macroeconomic assessments of three contingent UK Greenhouse Gas (GHG) mitigation strategies, designed to achieve 2030 emission targets as suggested by the UK Committee on Climate Change. In contrast to previous assessment studies, our main focus is on health co-benefits additional to those from reduced local air pollution. We employ a conservative cost-effectiveness methodology with a zero net cost threshold. Our urban transport strategy (with cleaner vehicles and increased active travel) brings important health co-benefits and is likely to be strongly cost-effective; our food and agriculture strategy (based on abatement technologies and reduction in livestock production) brings worthwhile health co-benefits, but is unlikely to eliminate net costs unless new technological measures are included; our household energy efficiency strategy is likely to break even only over the long term after the investment programme has ceased (beyond our 20 year time horizon). We conclude that UK policy makers will, most likely, have to adopt elements which involve initial net societal costs in order to achieve future emission targets and longer-term benefits from GHG reduction. Cost-effectiveness of GHG strategies is likely to require technological mitigation interventions and/or demand-constraining interventions with important health co-benefits and other efficiency-enhancing policies that promote internalization of externalities. Health co-benefits can play a crucial role in bringing down net costs, but our results also suggest the need for adopting holistic assessment methodologies which give proper consideration to welfare-improving health co-benefits with potentially negative economic repercussions (such as increased longevity).
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spelling CGSpace521362025-02-19T13:42:02Z The importance of health co-benefits in macroeconomic assessments of UK Greenhouse Gas emission reduction strategies Tarp Jensen H Keogh-Brown MR Smith, R.D. Chalabi Z Dangour, Alan D. Davies, M. Edwards, P. Garnett, Tara Givoni M Griffiths U Hamilton I Jarrett J Roberts I Wilkinson P Woodend, John Haines A climate agriculture macroeconomics greenhouse gases health adaptation We employ a single-country dynamically-recursive Computable General Equilibrium model to make health-focussed macroeconomic assessments of three contingent UK Greenhouse Gas (GHG) mitigation strategies, designed to achieve 2030 emission targets as suggested by the UK Committee on Climate Change. In contrast to previous assessment studies, our main focus is on health co-benefits additional to those from reduced local air pollution. We employ a conservative cost-effectiveness methodology with a zero net cost threshold. Our urban transport strategy (with cleaner vehicles and increased active travel) brings important health co-benefits and is likely to be strongly cost-effective; our food and agriculture strategy (based on abatement technologies and reduction in livestock production) brings worthwhile health co-benefits, but is unlikely to eliminate net costs unless new technological measures are included; our household energy efficiency strategy is likely to break even only over the long term after the investment programme has ceased (beyond our 20 year time horizon). We conclude that UK policy makers will, most likely, have to adopt elements which involve initial net societal costs in order to achieve future emission targets and longer-term benefits from GHG reduction. Cost-effectiveness of GHG strategies is likely to require technological mitigation interventions and/or demand-constraining interventions with important health co-benefits and other efficiency-enhancing policies that promote internalization of externalities. Health co-benefits can play a crucial role in bringing down net costs, but our results also suggest the need for adopting holistic assessment methodologies which give proper consideration to welfare-improving health co-benefits with potentially negative economic repercussions (such as increased longevity). 2013-11 2014-12-16T06:37:35Z 2014-12-16T06:37:35Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/52136 en Open Access Springer Tarp Jensen H, Keogh-Brown MR, Smith RD, Chalabi Z, Dangour AD, Davies M, Edwards P, Garnett T, Givoni M, Griffiths U, Hamilton I, Jarrett J, Roberts I, Wilkinson P, Woodcock J, Haines A. 2013. The importance of health co-benefits in macroeconomic assessments of UK Greenhouse Gas emission reduction strategies. Climatic Change 121(2):223-237.
spellingShingle climate
agriculture
macroeconomics
greenhouse gases
health
adaptation
Tarp Jensen H
Keogh-Brown MR
Smith, R.D.
Chalabi Z
Dangour, Alan D.
Davies, M.
Edwards, P.
Garnett, Tara
Givoni M
Griffiths U
Hamilton I
Jarrett J
Roberts I
Wilkinson P
Woodend, John
Haines A
The importance of health co-benefits in macroeconomic assessments of UK Greenhouse Gas emission reduction strategies
title The importance of health co-benefits in macroeconomic assessments of UK Greenhouse Gas emission reduction strategies
title_full The importance of health co-benefits in macroeconomic assessments of UK Greenhouse Gas emission reduction strategies
title_fullStr The importance of health co-benefits in macroeconomic assessments of UK Greenhouse Gas emission reduction strategies
title_full_unstemmed The importance of health co-benefits in macroeconomic assessments of UK Greenhouse Gas emission reduction strategies
title_short The importance of health co-benefits in macroeconomic assessments of UK Greenhouse Gas emission reduction strategies
title_sort importance of health co benefits in macroeconomic assessments of uk greenhouse gas emission reduction strategies
topic climate
agriculture
macroeconomics
greenhouse gases
health
adaptation
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/52136
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