US food security and climate change: agricultural futures
Agreement is developing among agricultural scientists on the emerging inability of agriculture to meet growing global food demands. Changes in trends of weather conditions projected by global climate models will challenge physiological limits of crops and exacerbate the global food challenge by 2050...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | Inglés |
| Published: |
ZBW - German National Library of Economics
2013
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/52133 |
| _version_ | 1855526498826452992 |
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| author | Takle ES Gustafson D Beachy, Roger N. Nelson, Gerald C. Mason-D'Croz, Daniel Palazzo, Amanda |
| author_browse | Beachy, Roger N. Gustafson D Mason-D'Croz, Daniel Nelson, Gerald C. Palazzo, Amanda Takle ES |
| author_facet | Takle ES Gustafson D Beachy, Roger N. Nelson, Gerald C. Mason-D'Croz, Daniel Palazzo, Amanda |
| author_sort | Takle ES |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Agreement is developing among agricultural scientists on the emerging inability of agriculture to meet growing global food demands. Changes in trends of weather conditions projected by global climate models will challenge physiological limits of crops and exacerbate the global food challenge by 2050. These climate- and constraint-driven crop production challenges are interconnected within a complex global economy, where diverse factors add to price volatility and food scarcity. Our scenarios of the impact of climate change on food security through 2050 for internationally traded crops show that climate change does not threaten near-term US food security due to the availability of adaptation strategies. However, as climate continues to change beyond 2050 current adaptation measures will not be sufficient to meet growing food demand. Climate scenarios for higher-level carbon emissions exacerbate the food shortfall, although uncertainty in projections of future precipitation is a limitation to impact studies. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace52133 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2013 |
| publishDateRange | 2013 |
| publishDateSort | 2013 |
| publisher | ZBW - German National Library of Economics |
| publisherStr | ZBW - German National Library of Economics |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace521332025-11-13T10:38:45Z US food security and climate change: agricultural futures Takle ES Gustafson D Beachy, Roger N. Nelson, Gerald C. Mason-D'Croz, Daniel Palazzo, Amanda climate agriculture food security adaptation Agreement is developing among agricultural scientists on the emerging inability of agriculture to meet growing global food demands. Changes in trends of weather conditions projected by global climate models will challenge physiological limits of crops and exacerbate the global food challenge by 2050. These climate- and constraint-driven crop production challenges are interconnected within a complex global economy, where diverse factors add to price volatility and food scarcity. Our scenarios of the impact of climate change on food security through 2050 for internationally traded crops show that climate change does not threaten near-term US food security due to the availability of adaptation strategies. However, as climate continues to change beyond 2050 current adaptation measures will not be sufficient to meet growing food demand. Climate scenarios for higher-level carbon emissions exacerbate the food shortfall, although uncertainty in projections of future precipitation is a limitation to impact studies. 2013-12-01 2014-12-16T06:37:35Z 2014-12-16T06:37:35Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/52133 en Open Access ZBW - German National Library of Economics Takle ES, Gustafson D, Beachy R, Nelson GC, Mason-D’Croz D, Palazzo A. 2013. US food security and climate change: agricultural futures. Economics 7. |
| spellingShingle | climate agriculture food security adaptation Takle ES Gustafson D Beachy, Roger N. Nelson, Gerald C. Mason-D'Croz, Daniel Palazzo, Amanda US food security and climate change: agricultural futures |
| title | US food security and climate change: agricultural futures |
| title_full | US food security and climate change: agricultural futures |
| title_fullStr | US food security and climate change: agricultural futures |
| title_full_unstemmed | US food security and climate change: agricultural futures |
| title_short | US food security and climate change: agricultural futures |
| title_sort | us food security and climate change agricultural futures |
| topic | climate agriculture food security adaptation |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/52133 |
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