Climate change mitigation policies and poverty in developing countries

Mitigation of the potential impacts of climate change is one of the leading policy concerns of the 21st century. However, there continues to be heated debate about the nature, the content and, most importantly, the impact of the policy actions needed to limit greenhouse gas emissions. One contributi...

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Main Authors: Hussein Z, Hertel, Thomas W., Golub A
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: IOP Publishing 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/52093
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author Hussein Z
Hertel, Thomas W.
Golub A
author_browse Golub A
Hertel, Thomas W.
Hussein Z
author_facet Hussein Z
Hertel, Thomas W.
Golub A
author_sort Hussein Z
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Mitigation of the potential impacts of climate change is one of the leading policy concerns of the 21st century. However, there continues to be heated debate about the nature, the content and, most importantly, the impact of the policy actions needed to limit greenhouse gas emissions. One contributing factor is the lack of systematic evidence on the impact of mitigation policy on the welfare of the poor in developing countries. In this letter we consider two alternative policy scenarios, one in which only the Annex I countries take action, and the second in which the first policy is accompanied by a forest carbon sequestration policy in the non-Annex regions. Using an economic climate policy analysis framework, we assess the poverty impacts of the above policy scenarios on seven socio-economic groups in 14 developing countries. We find that the Annex-I-only policy is poverty friendly, since it enhances the competitiveness of non-Annex countries—particularly in agricultural production. However, once forest carbon sequestration incentives in the non-Annex regions are added to the policy package, the overall effect is to raise poverty in the majority of our sample countries. The reason for this outcome is that the dominant impacts of this policy are to raise returns to land, reduce agricultural output and raise food prices. Since poor households rely primarily on their own labor for income, and generally own little land, and since they also spend a large share of their income on food, they are generally hurt on both the earning and the spending fronts. This result is troubling, since forest carbon sequestration—particularly through avoided deforestation—is a promising, low cost option for climate change mitigation.
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spelling CGSpace520932025-02-19T14:32:12Z Climate change mitigation policies and poverty in developing countries Hussein Z Hertel, Thomas W. Golub A climate agriculture environmental policies carbon sequestration greenhouse gases Mitigation of the potential impacts of climate change is one of the leading policy concerns of the 21st century. However, there continues to be heated debate about the nature, the content and, most importantly, the impact of the policy actions needed to limit greenhouse gas emissions. One contributing factor is the lack of systematic evidence on the impact of mitigation policy on the welfare of the poor in developing countries. In this letter we consider two alternative policy scenarios, one in which only the Annex I countries take action, and the second in which the first policy is accompanied by a forest carbon sequestration policy in the non-Annex regions. Using an economic climate policy analysis framework, we assess the poverty impacts of the above policy scenarios on seven socio-economic groups in 14 developing countries. We find that the Annex-I-only policy is poverty friendly, since it enhances the competitiveness of non-Annex countries—particularly in agricultural production. However, once forest carbon sequestration incentives in the non-Annex regions are added to the policy package, the overall effect is to raise poverty in the majority of our sample countries. The reason for this outcome is that the dominant impacts of this policy are to raise returns to land, reduce agricultural output and raise food prices. Since poor households rely primarily on their own labor for income, and generally own little land, and since they also spend a large share of their income on food, they are generally hurt on both the earning and the spending fronts. This result is troubling, since forest carbon sequestration—particularly through avoided deforestation—is a promising, low cost option for climate change mitigation. 2013-09-01 2014-12-16T06:37:32Z 2014-12-16T06:37:32Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/52093 en Open Access IOP Publishing Hussein Z, Hertel T, Golub A. 2013. Climate change mitigation policies and poverty in developing countries. Environmental Research Letters 8: 035009.
spellingShingle climate
agriculture
environmental policies
carbon sequestration
greenhouse gases
Hussein Z
Hertel, Thomas W.
Golub A
Climate change mitigation policies and poverty in developing countries
title Climate change mitigation policies and poverty in developing countries
title_full Climate change mitigation policies and poverty in developing countries
title_fullStr Climate change mitigation policies and poverty in developing countries
title_full_unstemmed Climate change mitigation policies and poverty in developing countries
title_short Climate change mitigation policies and poverty in developing countries
title_sort climate change mitigation policies and poverty in developing countries
topic climate
agriculture
environmental policies
carbon sequestration
greenhouse gases
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/52093
work_keys_str_mv AT husseinz climatechangemitigationpoliciesandpovertyindevelopingcountries
AT hertelthomasw climatechangemitigationpoliciesandpovertyindevelopingcountries
AT goluba climatechangemitigationpoliciesandpovertyindevelopingcountries