Ex-ante analysis of the Sorghum and millet improvement program

The Southern African Development Community (SADC)/International Crops Research Institute for the Semi-Arid Tropics Sorghum and Millet Improvement Program (SMIP) was started in 1983 as a regional initiative of the SADC in collaboration with one of the International Agricultural Research Centres. This...

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Autores principales: Anandajayasekeram, P., Martella, D.R., Sanders, J., Kupfuma, B.
Formato: Capítulo de libro
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: CAB International 2007
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/49969
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author Anandajayasekeram, P.
Martella, D.R.
Sanders, J.
Kupfuma, B.
author_browse Anandajayasekeram, P.
Kupfuma, B.
Martella, D.R.
Sanders, J.
author_facet Anandajayasekeram, P.
Martella, D.R.
Sanders, J.
Kupfuma, B.
author_sort Anandajayasekeram, P.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The Southern African Development Community (SADC)/International Crops Research Institute for the Semi-Arid Tropics Sorghum and Millet Improvement Program (SMIP) was started in 1983 as a regional initiative of the SADC in collaboration with one of the International Agricultural Research Centres. This chapter deals with the estimation of the rate of return for the combined investments of the National Agricultural Research System and SMIP. By necessity this study is both ex-ante and ex-post. Two scenarios were considered in the analysis: optimistic and conservative. The differences between the two scenarios were based on the levels of adoption ceiling and yield gains assumed. Seven countries released sorghum varieties and five countries released millet varieties under this collaborative programme. Both the Akino-Hayami method and simple benefit-cost analysis were used. The results revealed that if the appropriate discount rate is 10%, investments in sorghum and millet R&D only paid off if the optimistic estimates are the true representation of the adoption of varieties, the yield gains and the research and transfer cost. The rate of return for this scenario is 14 and that for the conservative scenario is about 5%.
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spelling CGSpace499692021-08-08T19:36:24Z Ex-ante analysis of the Sorghum and millet improvement program Anandajayasekeram, P. Martella, D.R. Sanders, J. Kupfuma, B. sorghum millets research breeding methods technology varieties costs hybrids policies economic analysis The Southern African Development Community (SADC)/International Crops Research Institute for the Semi-Arid Tropics Sorghum and Millet Improvement Program (SMIP) was started in 1983 as a regional initiative of the SADC in collaboration with one of the International Agricultural Research Centres. This chapter deals with the estimation of the rate of return for the combined investments of the National Agricultural Research System and SMIP. By necessity this study is both ex-ante and ex-post. Two scenarios were considered in the analysis: optimistic and conservative. The differences between the two scenarios were based on the levels of adoption ceiling and yield gains assumed. Seven countries released sorghum varieties and five countries released millet varieties under this collaborative programme. Both the Akino-Hayami method and simple benefit-cost analysis were used. The results revealed that if the appropriate discount rate is 10%, investments in sorghum and millet R&D only paid off if the optimistic estimates are the true representation of the adoption of varieties, the yield gains and the research and transfer cost. The rate of return for this scenario is 14 and that for the conservative scenario is about 5%. 2007 2014-10-31T06:08:37Z 2014-10-31T06:08:37Z Book Chapter https://hdl.handle.net/10568/49969 en Open Access CAB International
spellingShingle sorghum
millets
research
breeding methods
technology
varieties
costs
hybrids
policies
economic analysis
Anandajayasekeram, P.
Martella, D.R.
Sanders, J.
Kupfuma, B.
Ex-ante analysis of the Sorghum and millet improvement program
title Ex-ante analysis of the Sorghum and millet improvement program
title_full Ex-ante analysis of the Sorghum and millet improvement program
title_fullStr Ex-ante analysis of the Sorghum and millet improvement program
title_full_unstemmed Ex-ante analysis of the Sorghum and millet improvement program
title_short Ex-ante analysis of the Sorghum and millet improvement program
title_sort ex ante analysis of the sorghum and millet improvement program
topic sorghum
millets
research
breeding methods
technology
varieties
costs
hybrids
policies
economic analysis
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/49969
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