Spatial variation of crop yield response to climate change in East Africa

There is general consensus that the impacts of climate change on agriculture will add significantly to the development challenges of ensuring food security and reducing poverty, particularly in Africa. While these changes will influence agriculture at a broad scale, regional or country-level assessm...

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Autores principales: Thornton, Philip K., Jones, Peter G., Alagarswamy, G., Andresen, J.
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier 2009
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/49
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author Thornton, Philip K.
Jones, Peter G.
Alagarswamy, G.
Andresen, J.
author_browse Alagarswamy, G.
Andresen, J.
Jones, Peter G.
Thornton, Philip K.
author_facet Thornton, Philip K.
Jones, Peter G.
Alagarswamy, G.
Andresen, J.
author_sort Thornton, Philip K.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description There is general consensus that the impacts of climate change on agriculture will add significantly to the development challenges of ensuring food security and reducing poverty, particularly in Africa. While these changes will influence agriculture at a broad scale, regional or country-level assessments can miss critical detail. We use high-resolution methods to generate characteristic daily weather data for a combination of different future emission scenarios and climate models to drive detailed simulation models of the maize and bean crops. For the East African region, there is considerable spatial and temporal variation in this crop response. We evaluate the response of maize and beans to a changing climate, as a prelude to detailed targeting of options that can help smallholder households adapt. The results argue strongly against the idea of large, spatially contiguous development domains for identifying and implementing adaptation options, particularly in regions with large variations in topography and current average temperatures. Rather, they underline the importance of localised, community-based efforts to increase local adaptive capacity, take advantage of changes that may lead to increased crop and livestock productivity where this is possible, and to buffer the situations where increased stresses are likely.
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spelling CGSpace492023-12-08T19:36:04Z Spatial variation of crop yield response to climate change in East Africa Thornton, Philip K. Jones, Peter G. Alagarswamy, G. Andresen, J. maize phaseolus agricultural development small farms There is general consensus that the impacts of climate change on agriculture will add significantly to the development challenges of ensuring food security and reducing poverty, particularly in Africa. While these changes will influence agriculture at a broad scale, regional or country-level assessments can miss critical detail. We use high-resolution methods to generate characteristic daily weather data for a combination of different future emission scenarios and climate models to drive detailed simulation models of the maize and bean crops. For the East African region, there is considerable spatial and temporal variation in this crop response. We evaluate the response of maize and beans to a changing climate, as a prelude to detailed targeting of options that can help smallholder households adapt. The results argue strongly against the idea of large, spatially contiguous development domains for identifying and implementing adaptation options, particularly in regions with large variations in topography and current average temperatures. Rather, they underline the importance of localised, community-based efforts to increase local adaptive capacity, take advantage of changes that may lead to increased crop and livestock productivity where this is possible, and to buffer the situations where increased stresses are likely. 2009-02 2009-11-01T11:04:07Z 2009-11-01T11:04:07Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/49 en Limited Access Elsevier Thornton, P.K.; Jones, P.G.; Alagarswamy, G.; Andresen, J. 2009. Spatial variation of crop yield response to climate change in East Africa. Global Environmental Change. v. 19(1). p. 54-65.
spellingShingle maize
phaseolus
agricultural development
small farms
Thornton, Philip K.
Jones, Peter G.
Alagarswamy, G.
Andresen, J.
Spatial variation of crop yield response to climate change in East Africa
title Spatial variation of crop yield response to climate change in East Africa
title_full Spatial variation of crop yield response to climate change in East Africa
title_fullStr Spatial variation of crop yield response to climate change in East Africa
title_full_unstemmed Spatial variation of crop yield response to climate change in East Africa
title_short Spatial variation of crop yield response to climate change in East Africa
title_sort spatial variation of crop yield response to climate change in east africa
topic maize
phaseolus
agricultural development
small farms
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/49
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AT andresenj spatialvariationofcropyieldresponsetoclimatechangeineastafrica